Lakes Blue Energy NL, (LKO) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · AU · Market cap A$42.6M
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price −53.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 96% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.3800). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide (A$0.3800 to A$2.12). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.2650 – A$2.00 · fair‑value band A$0.3800 – A$2.12 · the A$0.2700 price screens below the A$0.5300 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Lakes Blue Energy NL, (LKO) currently trades at A$0.2700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.5300, implying the stock looks roughly 96.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$5.8M. It earns a return on equity of -1.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$2.6M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 39.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.3800 (bear case) to A$2.12 (bull case); at A$0.2700, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at 96%, LKO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$2.09) versus Dividend Discount (A$0.0900). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lakes Blue Energy NL, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration of oil and gas properties. The company holds interests in petroleum and mineral exploration rights in Victoria, South Australia, and Queensland; Papua New Guinea; and the United States.
Full company description
Lakes Blue Energy NL, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration of oil and gas properties. The company holds interests in petroleum and mineral exploration rights in Victoria, South Australia, and Queensland; Papua New Guinea; and the United States. The company was formerly known as Lakes Oil NL and changed its name to Lakes Blue Energy NL in March 2021. Lakes Blue Energy NL was incorporated in 1946 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lakes Blue Energy NL, reported revenue of A$5.6M in FY2025 versus A$190K in FY2021, a compound +132.8%/yr. Reported net income was A$3.7M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥28.97 | ¥32.55 | +12% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $109.04 | $91.79 | -16% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $42.86 | $31.54 | -26% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $139.89 | $130.19 | -7% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $54.86 | $30.68 | -44% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $183.39 | $106.12 | -42% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $43.83 | $27.06 | -38% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$30.46 | A$20.71 | -32% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $48.85 | $42.85 | -12% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $415.70 | $79.20 | -81% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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