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LKP Securities Ltd (LKPSEC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of LKP Securities Ltd ₹10.92, price ₹14.34, upside -23.9%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Financial Services · IN · ISIN INE341H01023

LS Thin data Oct 3, 2026

LKP Securities Ltd

LKPSEC · BSE

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

Low debt
Thin margins · 7.5% net margin (TTM)
Fair value ₹10.92 · Overvalued (−23.9%)
Quality 34/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.4 %/yr in INR)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 39/100
Thin data

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹29.06 ₹7.05 Fair Value ₹10.92 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹7.05 – ₹29.06 · fair‑value band ₹8.46 – ₹14.41 · the ₹14.34 price screens above the ₹10.92 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

LKP Securities Limited provides stock and securities broking, and other financial services in India. It engages in the business of stock, currency, and commodity broking; distribution of mutual funds, as well as third party distribution; and provision of margin trading facility and depository services.

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LKP Securities Limited provides stock and securities broking, and other financial services in India. It engages in the business of stock, currency, and commodity broking; distribution of mutual funds, as well as third party distribution; and provision of margin trading facility and depository services. It also offers equity, future and options, and securities lending and borrowing mechanism, as well as research based equity advisory and trading services to individuals, corporates, and retail clients. The company was founded in 1948 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

Stock analysis

LKP Securities Ltd (LKPSEC) currently trades at ₹14.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹10.92, 23.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹28.68 per share, and 4 of the 8 models we run sit above the ₹14.34 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹3.87, and 4 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹8.46 (bear) to ₹14.41 (bull), the price of ₹14.34 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

LKP Securities Ltd reported revenue of ₹817M in FY2026 versus ₹840M in FY2022, a compound −0.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹103M in FY2026, compounding −6.5%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap ₹1.2B (≈ $12.3M) · P/E ratio 16.3 · P/S ratio 2.05 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.8800 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin 12.6% · Return on equity 10.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −24%, LKPSEC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹8.46 Fair Value ₹10.92 Bull ₹14.41
Price ₹14.34 · Upside -23.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.4508 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings ₹19.75 ₹28.68 ₹41.13 76
Residual Income ₹10.75 ₹11.84 ₹14.51 76
Gordon GGM ₹2.58 ₹4.85 ₹7.78 66
All 8 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹19.75 ₹28.68 ₹41.13 76
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹8.46 ₹21.67 ₹28.21 65
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹2.58 ₹4.85 ₹7.78 66
DDM Multi-Stage ₹2.58 ₹3.87 ₹5.21 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹12.13 ₹16.17 ₹20.21 63
P/B Multiple ₹12.89 ₹17.18 ₹21.48 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹6.14 ₹8.22 ₹12.27 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹10.75 ₹11.84 ₹14.51 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 71
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 22/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+20.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+18.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.18.4% vs 14.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → −1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.9%/yr over ~7Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

LKPSEC screens overvalued: fair value 24% below the price. Compare with Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 456 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −23.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 10.6% · Above median
Return on assets 3.1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7.5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 9.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −6.9% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.13× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.16× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.20× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.5× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)2 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 75
PAST (return on equity)42 · sector 33
HEALTH (low debt)93 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)41 · sector 44

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, MS $188.08 $314.07 +67%
The Goldman Sachs Group GS $900.36 $766.86 −15%
The Charles Schwab Corporation SCHW $97.74 $118.07 +21%
Interactive Brokers Group IBKR $89.24 $23.12 −74%
Robinhood Markets, Inc HOOD $116.22 $47.77 −59%
Macquarie Group MQG A$245.63 A$80.51 −67%
CITIC Securities Company 600030 ¥26.29 ¥18.35 −30%
Guotai Haitong Securities Co 601211 ¥17.21 ¥19.35 +12%
East Money Information Co 300059 ¥18.28 ¥4.94 −73%
Nomura Holdings NMR $9.91 $10.19 +3%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "LKP Securities Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LKPSEC

Frequently asked questions

Is LKP Securities Ltd (LKPSEC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹10.92 versus a price of ₹14.34, about −24% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LKPSEC?
Our model-based fair value for LKP Securities Ltd is ₹10.92 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹14.34.
What is the quality score of LKPSEC?
LKP Securities Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for LKP Securities Ltd (LKPSEC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹10.92 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹8.46, optimistic scenario ₹14.41. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the LKP Securities Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹10.92, about −24% upside versus a price of ₹14.34 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹8.46, optimistic scenario ₹14.41. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of LKP Securities Ltd (LKPSEC)?
LKP Securities Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹981M (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does LKP Securities Ltd pay a dividend?
LKP Securities Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.04% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of LKP Securities Ltd (LKPSEC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For LKP Securities Ltd it is ₹10.92 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ₹14.34. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is LKP Securities Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, LKPSEC trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹14.34, fair value ₹10.92, a gap of about −24% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LKPSEC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹14.34); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹10.92). For LKP Securities Ltd the two are ₹3.42 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is LKP Securities Ltd worth?
The market values LKP Securities Ltd at about ₹1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ₹14.34; our models calculate a fair value of ₹10.92 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LKPSEC?
Our models span a range for LKP Securities Ltd: cautious scenario ₹8.46, base ₹10.92, optimistic ₹14.41 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ₹14.34). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LKPSEC?
LKP Securities Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.3 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹10.92 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 4.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of LKP Securities Ltd (LKPSEC)?
Balance-sheet figures for LKP Securities Ltd (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 10.6%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LKPSEC from its 52-week high?
LKP Securities Ltd trades at ₹14.34, about 35% below its 52-week high of ₹22.10 and 26% above the low of ₹11.39 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹10.92 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to LKP Securities Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is LKP Securities Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ₹14.34, calculated fair value ₹10.92 (−24%), Quality Score 34/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LKPSEC calculated?
We run LKP Securities Ltd through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹10.92, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. LKP Securities Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of LKP Securities Ltd (LKPSEC)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹14.34. Our model-based fair value is ₹10.92, about −24% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with LKP Securities Ltd right now?
Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of LKP Securities Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of LKP Securities Ltd (LKPSEC)?
The market capitalisation of LKP Securities Ltd is ₹1.2B (≈ $12.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of LKP Securities Ltd (LKPSEC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of LKP Securities Ltd is 2.05 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of LKP Securities Ltd (LKPSEC)?
Earnings per share at LKP Securities Ltd are ₹0.8800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of LKP Securities Ltd (LKPSEC)?
The dividend yield of LKP Securities Ltd is 2.0% (payout 33.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of LKP Securities Ltd (LKPSEC)?
The net margin of LKP Securities Ltd is 12.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of LKP Securities Ltd (LKPSEC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of LKP Securities Ltd is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of LKP Securities Ltd (LKPSEC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of LKP Securities Ltd is 1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of LKP Securities Ltd (LKPSEC)?
The operating margin of LKP Securities Ltd is 9.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at LKP Securities Ltd (LKPSEC)?
Revenue at LKP Securities Ltd is growing −6.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at LKP Securities Ltd (LKPSEC)?
Earnings per share at LKP Securities Ltd are growing −67.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does LKP Securities Ltd (LKPSEC) generate?
The free cash flow of LKP Securities Ltd is −₹101M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does LKP Securities Ltd (LKPSEC) carry?
The net debt of LKP Securities Ltd is ₹514M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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