Lincoln Minerals Limited (LML) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$29.6M
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Share price −36.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 21% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0093). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0029 – A$0.0639 · the A$0.0070 price screens below the A$0.0085 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Lincoln Minerals Limited (LML) currently trades at A$0.0070, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0085, implying the stock looks roughly 21.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$602K. Revenue declined 74.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -24.4%. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 84% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 21%, LML screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lincoln Minerals Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia. It primarily explores for graphite, copper, silver, cobalt, iron ore, uranium, manganese, magnetite, hematite-goethite, zinc, lead, and base metal deposits.
Full company description
Lincoln Minerals Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia. It primarily explores for graphite, copper, silver, cobalt, iron ore, uranium, manganese, magnetite, hematite-goethite, zinc, lead, and base metal deposits. The company's flagship project includes the Kookaburra Gully graphite project located on the Eyre Peninsula of South Australia. Lincoln Minerals Limited was incorporated in 1974 and is based in Adelaide, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lincoln Minerals Limited reported revenue of A$602K in FY2025 versus A$55.0K in FY2021, a compound +81.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.3M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 475 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.89 | $8.95 | -40% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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