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Limoneira Company (LMNR) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $237M

LC Limoneira Company logo Limoneira Company LMNR · US
Price$13.86
Fair Value$9.14
Upside-34.1%
Quality31/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -30.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.76% dividend yield
Trails peers (0/12)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Range $5.06 – $12.58 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $4.57 to $9.14 (+100.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +4.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 34% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($12.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($5.06 to $12.58) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$28.25 $9.94 Fair Value $9.14 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $9.94 – $28.25 · fair‑value band $5.06 – $12.58 · the $13.86 price screens above the $9.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Limoneira Company (LMNR) currently trades at $13.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.14, implying the stock looks roughly 34.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Limoneira Company generated revenue of $132M at a net margin of -30.5%. Revenue declined 31.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -23.3%. Net debt stands at $73.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $5.06 (bear case) to $12.58 (bull case); at $13.86, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at -34%, LMNR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $2.27 $3.81 $4.94 70
DDM Multi-Stage $2.27 $3.32 $4.09 61
NCAV (Graham) $4.73 $6.34 $9.46 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.27 $3.81 $4.94 70
DDM Multi-Stage $2.27 $3.32 $4.09 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.73 $6.34 $9.46 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($6.34) versus Dividend Discount ($3.32). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $132M
Revenue growth (YoY) -31.9%
Net margin -30.5%
Return on equity -23.3%
Free cash flow −$19.2M FY2025
Operating margin -28.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-2.28
Dividend yield 1.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +96.0%
Net debt $73.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Limoneira Company operates as an agribusiness company in the United States and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Fresh Lemons, Lemon Packing, Avocados, and Other Agribusiness. It produces, processes, harvests, and packs oranges, specialty citrus, and wine grapes.

Full company description

Limoneira Company operates as an agribusiness company in the United States and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Fresh Lemons, Lemon Packing, Avocados, and Other Agribusiness. It produces, processes, harvests, and packs oranges, specialty citrus, and wine grapes. The company also rents residential housing units and commercial office buildings, as well as leases land to third-party agricultural tenants. In addition, it is involved in the organic recycling operations; provision of farm management services; and development of land parcels, multi-family housing, and single-family homes. The company markets and sells its lemons directly to food service, wholesale, and retail customers; avocados, oranges, specialty citrus, and other crops to third-party packing houses; and wine grapes to wine producers. Limoneira Company was founded in 1893 and is headquartered in Santa Paula, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Limoneira Company reported revenue of $160M in FY2025 versus $166M in FY2021, a compound −1.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$16.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 3/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$160M
Latest YoY
−16.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.6%
Revenue −1.0%/yr
FY21 $166M
FY22 $185M
FY23 $180M
FY24 $192M
FY25 $160M
Net income
FY21 −$3.9M
FY22 −$474K
FY23 $9.4M
FY24 $7.7M
FY25 −$16.0M

LMNR screens 34% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Limoneira Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LMNR

Peer Group

Farm Products · 288 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −34% · Below median
Return on assets -7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -31% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -29% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -32% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.42× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.38× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.79× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 5.92× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 25
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 17
HEALTH 79 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 35 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.90 ¥48.19 +18%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 -17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 188.40 kr 262.59 +39%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
Thaifoods Group TFGR 10.60 THB 23.53 THB +122%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,845 IDR 610.80 IDR -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Limoneira Company (LMNR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.14 versus a price of $13.86, about −34% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LMNR?
Our model-based fair value for Limoneira Company is $9.14 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $13.86.
What is the quality score of LMNR?
Limoneira Company has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Limoneira Company (LMNR)?
Limoneira Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $132M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LMNR?
The net profit margin of Limoneira Company is about -30.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Limoneira Company pay a dividend?
Limoneira Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.76% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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