LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of LondonMetric Property Plc stock £1.98, price £1.88, upside +5.2%, quality 40 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £1.27 – £2.18 · fair‑value band £0.8925 – £4.69 · the £1.88 price screens below the £1.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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LondonMetric Property Plc is the UK's leading triple net lease REIT with a 7 billion pounds portfolio. It is aligned to structurally supported sectors of logistics, healthcare, convenience, entertainment and leisure.
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It owns and manages desirable real estate that meets occupiers' demands, delivers reliable, repetitive and growing income-led returns and outperforms over the long term. LondonMetric Property Plc was established on October 01, 2007 and incorporated in 2007 in United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP) currently trades at £1.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.98, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.0%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £2.33 per share, and 7 of the 16 models we run sit above the £1.88 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £1.29, and 9 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: £0.8925 (bear) to £4.69 (bull), the price of £1.88 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
LondonMetric Property Plc reported revenue of £465M in FY2026 versus £133M in FY2022, a compound +36.7%/yr. Reported net income was £296M in FY2026, compounding −20.3%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap £4.3B Mid · P/E ratio 14.5 · P/S ratio 9.13 · EPS (TTM) £0.1300 · Dividend yield 6.6% · Net margin 63.0% · Return on equity 6.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 66 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at 5%, LMP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear£0.8925Fair Value £1.98Bull£4.69
Price £1.88 · Upside +5.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.0034 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income£1.49£1.55£1.6676
FCF DCF£1.19£2.33£5.7972
Growth DCF£1.05£2.60£5.5272
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF£1.19£2.33£5.7972
5Y Revenue Exit£0.3000£1.16£2.9263
5Y EBITDA Exit£1.14£2.85£6.1969
10Y Revenue Exit£0.5600£2.11£3.0064
10Y EBITDA Exit£1.17£3.79£8.4062
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM£0.8300£1.56£2.2367
DDM Multi-Stage£0.8300£1.39£1.6667
Multiples
P/S Multiple£0.9300£1.24£1.5558
P/B Multiple£2.90£3.87£4.8355
EV/EBIT£1.64£2.57£3.5164
EV/EBITDA£1.00£1.73£2.4565
EV/Revenuen/a£0.1600£0.570050
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)£0.9700£1.29£1.9354
Growth DCF
Growth DCF£1.05£2.60£5.5272
Rev-Margin DCF£0.1900£1.28£3.2363
Economic Profit
Residual Income£1.49£1.55£1.6676
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+50.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +19.8% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−18.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−24.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.6%
Per share before 2009divided by the spin-off factor 1.0401
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−24.6% vs −0.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.90% → 89%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.9% a year for the price and +1.9% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (24 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
AI conclusion: LondonMetric shows high margins typical for its sector yet is held back by limited evidence of a durable moat and modest return on equity.
Main risk: Stricter MEES and EPC standards could require costly upgrades to logistics and industrial assets or restrict lettings of non-compliant properties, squeezing margins and occupancy rates.
Bull case: By upgrading assets ahead of requirements and highlighting efficiency in its urban logistics focus, LondonMetric could secure longer leases and higher rents from tenants prioritising compliant space.
Bear case: If standards tighten faster than upgrades can be completed, older or less efficient warehouses might see reduced demand or forced sales, eroding the income base from the core portfolio.
LondonMetric keeps selling non-core assets like older warehouses and retail properties to fund fresh buys in urban logistics. The strategy sharpens exposure to sectors with stronger rental growth potential, yet every disposal and reinvestment carries execution risk. Will the upgraded portfolio deliver reliably higher income than the assets left behind?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Industrial · 51 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+5.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.7% · Below median
Return on assets3.6% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)63.0% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)92.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)18.0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)6.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.60× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)14.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.91× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)9.13× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)18.1× · Pricier than median
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Is LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.98 versus a price of £1.88, about +5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of LMP?
Our model-based fair value for LondonMetric Property Plc is £1.98 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £1.88.
What is the quality score of LMP?
LondonMetric Property Plc has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £1.98 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.8925, optimistic scenario £4.69. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the LondonMetric Property Plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £1.98, about +5% upside versus a price of £1.88 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario £0.8925, optimistic scenario £4.69. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP)?
LondonMetric Property Plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £469M (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does LondonMetric Property Plc pay a dividend?
LondonMetric Property Plc currently shows a dividend yield of 6.62% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP)?
LondonMetric Property Plc pays a dividend of £0.125 per share a year, a dividend yield of 6.6%. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2008. The payout ratio is 95.8% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.78 times. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What growth is priced into LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, LondonMetric Property Plc would have to grow free cash flow by +18.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +30.6 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LMP use?
Our models discount LondonMetric Property Plc at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.00, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For LondonMetric Property Plc that is +18.6 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at LondonMetric Property Plc grew +30.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +18.6 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into LondonMetric Property Plc (+18.6 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.51 %: that much free cash flow LondonMetric Property Plc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For LondonMetric Property Plc it is £1.98 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of £1.88. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is LondonMetric Property Plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, LMP trades below its calculated fair value: price £1.88, fair value £1.98, a gap of about +5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LMP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£1.88); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£1.98). For LondonMetric Property Plc the two are £0.0985 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is LondonMetric Property Plc worth?
The market values LondonMetric Property Plc at about £4.3B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is £1.88; our models calculate a fair value of £1.98 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LMP?
Our models span a range for LondonMetric Property Plc: cautious scenario £0.8925, base £1.98, optimistic £4.69 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price £1.88). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LMP?
LondonMetric Property Plc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.5 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £1.98 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings: 11.2. Other multiples: PEG 3.3, P/B 0.9, P/S 9.1, EV/EBITDA 16.1.
What is the PEG ratio of LMP?
The PEG ratio of LondonMetric Property Plc is 3.27 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP)?
Balance-sheet figures for LondonMetric Property Plc (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 6.7%, debt of 0.60 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LMP from its 52-week high?
LondonMetric Property Plc trades at £1.88, about 8% below its 52-week high of £2.05 and 10% above the low of £1.71 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £1.98 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to LondonMetric Property Plc?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Prologis, Inc, Public Storage, Extra Space Storage Inc, EastGroup Properties, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is LondonMetric Property Plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price £1.88, calculated fair value £1.98 (+5%), Quality Score 40/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LMP calculated?
We run LondonMetric Property Plc through 16 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of £1.98 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. LondonMetric Property Plc currently trades 5% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was £1.88. Our model-based fair value is £1.98, about +5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with LondonMetric Property Plc right now?
The model range is unusually wide (£0.8925 to £4.69). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP) come from?
Earnings per share at LondonMetric Property Plc grew −1.7 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.1 %, EBIT margin +2.4 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −8.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of LondonMetric Property Plc
How large is the market capitalisation of LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP)?
The market capitalisation of LondonMetric Property Plc is £4.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of LondonMetric Property Plc is 9.13 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP)?
Earnings per share at LondonMetric Property Plc are £0.1300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP)?
The dividend yield of LondonMetric Property Plc is 6.6% (payout 95.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP)?
The net margin of LondonMetric Property Plc is 63.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of LondonMetric Property Plc is 6.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of LondonMetric Property Plc is 4.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP)?
The operating margin of LondonMetric Property Plc is 92.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP)?
Revenue at LondonMetric Property Plc is growing +18.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +50.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP)?
Earnings per share at LondonMetric Property Plc are growing −21.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP) carry?
The net debt of LondonMetric Property Plc is £2.8B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 12.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 6, 2026