Loblaw Companies Limited (LOBLY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Loblaw Companies Limited $8.48, price $10.70, upside -20.8%, quality 72 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Loblaw Companies Limited
LOBLY · USOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
What runs behind every stock
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
13‑month range $9.52 – $19.86 · fair‑value band $6.36 – $10.60 · the $10.70 price screens above the $8.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 29, 2026.
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Company profile
Loblaw Companies Limited, a food and pharmacy company, provides grocery, pharmacy and healthcare services, health and beauty products, apparel, general merchandise, financial services, and wireless mobile products and services in Canada and the United States. It operates through two segments, Retail and Financial Services.
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Loblaw Companies Limited, a food and pharmacy company, provides grocery, pharmacy and healthcare services, health and beauty products, apparel, general merchandise, financial services, and wireless mobile products and services in Canada and the United States. It operates through two segments, Retail and Financial Services. The Retail segment operates corporate and franchise-owned retail food, and associate-owned drug stores. This segment also includes in-store pharmacies, health care services, other health and beauty product stores, apparel stores, and other general merchandise stores. Its Financial Services segment provides credit card and banking services, the PC Optimum loyalty program, insurance brokerage services, and telecommunication services. The company offers PC Health app, which provides healthcare resources and support services; and outpatient physiotherapy, massage and occupational therapy, chiropractic, mental health, and other rehabilitation services. It sells its products and services under the President's Choice, PC, Life Brand, no name, Farmer's Market, and Joe Fresh brands through its hard discount format stores under the No Frills and Maxi brands; supermarket format stores under the Loblaws, Zehrs, Your Independent Grocer, Real Canadian Superstore, Real Atlantic Superstore, Provigo, City Market, brands; and stand-alone drug stores under the Shoppers Drug Mart and Pharmaprix brands. The company also operates T&T Supermarket stores serving Asian grocery markets; provides online grocery ordering and pickup services through PC Express; and offers banking and financial services through PC Financial. The company was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Brampton, Canada. Loblaw Companies Limited is a subsidiary of George Weston Limited.
Stock analysis
Loblaw Companies Limited ADR (LOBLY) currently trades at $10.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.48, 20.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $9.08 per share, and 5 of the 25 models we run sit above the $10.70 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.13, and 20 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $6.36 (bear) to $10.60 (bull), the price of $10.70 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Loblaw Companies Limited ADR reported revenue of C$63.9B in FY2025 versus C$53.2B in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was C$2.7B in FY2025, compounding +9.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $53.5B · P/E ratio 27.4 · P/S ratio 1.15 · EPS (TTM) $0.3900 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 4.2% · Return on equity 24.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at −21%, LOBLY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 25 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
LOBLY screens overvalued: fair value 21% below the price. Compare with The Kroger Co →
Compare Loblaw Companies Limited ADR with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Grocery Stores · 72 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Staples sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Kroger Co KR | $60.79 | $30.42 | −50% |
| Woolworths Group WOW | A$38.35 | A$19.56 | −49% |
| Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD | €31.50 | €53.98 | +71% |
| George Weston Limited WN | C$101.21 | C$155.86 | +54% |
| Metro Inc MRU | C$89.95 | C$96.77 | +8% |
| Carrefour SA CA | €15.33 | €20.64 | +35% |
| CP ALL Public Company CPALL | 43.00 THB | 58.21 THB | +35% |
| Kesko Oyj KESKOB | €22.94 | €12.99 | −43% |
| BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS | 424.75 TRY | 247.71 TRY | −42% |
| Dino Polska S.A DNP | 35.41 PLN | 8.90 PLN | −75% |
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Key figures of Loblaw Companies Limited ADR
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