Local Bounti Corporation (LOCL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $29.4M
Local Bounti Corporation
LOCL · US
Fair value as of: Jun 23, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 48 days ago
Share price −18.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 180% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (17/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.17). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.9800 – $138.06 · fair‑value band $2.17 – $3.60 · the $1.03 price screens below the $2.88 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
Analysis
Local Bounti Corporation (LOCL) currently trades at $1.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.88, implying the stock looks roughly 179.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 17/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $50.1M. Revenue grew 14.9% year over year. Net debt stands at $531M. Fundamentals as of Jun 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.17 (bear case) to $3.60 (bull case); at $1.03, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at 180%, LOCL screens cheaper than that median.
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 17 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Local Bounti Corporation produces and sells fresh greens in the United States. The company offers lettuce, arugula, herbs, berries, and loose-leaf lettuce. It sells its products to food retailers and food service distributors. The company was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Montana.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Local Bounti Corporation reported revenue of $48.4M in FY2025 versus $638K in FY2021, a compound +195.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$94.4M in FY2025.
Watch LOCL: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Farm Products · 288 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.90 | ¥48.19 | +18% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥14.51 | ¥12.08 | -17% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 188.40 | kr 262.59 | +39% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,120 IDR | 7,076 IDR | +127% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 22.00 THB | 55.71 THB | +153% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,540 IDR | 3,105 IDR | +102% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,300 IDR | 7,463 IDR | +2% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,070 IDR | 7,231 IDR | +249% |
| Thaifoods Group TFGR | 10.60 THB | 23.53 THB | +122% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,845 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -67% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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