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Local Bounti Corp (LOCL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Local Bounti Corp stock $0.77, price $0.78, that is 0.7% below the price, quality 17 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive US

LB Local Bounti Corp logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Local Bounti Corp

LOCL · US
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $0.7746 · Fairly valued
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +258.2 %/yr in USD)
Negative equity (buybacks among others)
Mixed vs. peers (3/7)
Insiders sold $280,179 (6M)
Quality 17/100
Loss-making · -130.5% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 7/100
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$138.06 $0.7801 Fair Value $0.7746 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.7801 – $138.06 · fair‑value band $0.5809 – $0.9682 · the $0.7801 price screens above the $0.7746 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Local Bounti Corporation produces and sells fresh greens in the United States. The company offers lettuce, arugula, herbs, berries, and loose-leaf lettuce. It sells its products to food retailers and food service distributors. The company was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Montana.

Stock analysis

Local Bounti Corp (LOCL) currently trades at $0.7801, while our estimate is $0.7746, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.7%).

Show more

Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: $0.5809 (bear) to $0.9682 (bull), the price of $0.7801 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 17/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Local Bounti Corp reported revenue of $48.4M in FY2025 versus $638K in FY2021, a compound +195.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$94.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $22.7M Micro · P/S ratio 0.42 · EPS (TTM) $−2.23 · Net margin −131% · Return on equity −2,448% · Return on assets (EBIT) −24.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin −101% · Revenue (TTM) $51.8M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 7 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −1%, LOCL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear $0.5809 Fair Value $0.7746 Bull $0.9682
Price $0.7801 · Downside -0.7%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 17/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 1
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 86
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 1
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 44
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 6
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, one officer or director sold shares worth $280,179 and none bought.

  • SaleKathleen ValiasekPresident and CEO, Director3× since Apr 1, 2026: 437,440 shares, avg. $1.17$512,179Oct 2, 2026
  • SaleCraig M. HurlbertExecutive Chairman, Director100,000 shares at $1.16$116,000Apr 1, 2026
  • SaleMatthew NordbyDirector8× since Nov 19, 2025: 8,000 shares, avg. $2.33$18,670Jan 7, 202610b5-1 plan

Plus 8 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 10, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+258.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−9,661.0% (2020) → −129.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 302 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 17 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −0.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −23.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −130.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −100.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 14.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 0.44× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)32 · sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)72 · sector 17
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 41

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 20.10 THB 40.78 THB +103% vs LOCL
Tyson Foods, Inc TSN $60.29 $73.24 +21% vs LOCL
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 225.20 kr 273.41 +21% vs LOCL
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥44.57 ¥53.02 +19% vs LOCL
United Plantations Berhad 2089 30.40 MYR 33.42 MYR +10% vs LOCL
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM $69.30 $61.55 −11% vs LOCL
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥16.83 ¥12.08 −28% vs LOCL
Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 ¥131.00 ¥88.62 −32% vs LOCL
Bunge Global SA BG $99.42 $56.81 −43% vs LOCL
SalMar ASA SALM kr 592.00 kr 260.28 −56% vs LOCL

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Local Bounti Corp: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Local Bounti Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LOCL

Frequently asked questions

Is Local Bounti Corp (LOCL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is $0.7746 versus a price of $0.7801, about 1% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of LOCL?
Our estimate for Local Bounti Corp is $0.7746 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.7801.
What is the quality score of LOCL?
Local Bounti Corp has a Quality Score of 17/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of $0.7746 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario $0.5809, optimistic scenario $0.9682. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Local Bounti Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at $0.7746, about 1% lower versus a price of $0.7801 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.5809, optimistic scenario $0.9682. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
Local Bounti Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $51.8M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Local Bounti Corp it is $0.7746 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $0.7801.
Is Local Bounti Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, LOCL trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.7801, fair value $0.7746, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LOCL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.7801); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.7746). For Local Bounti Corp the two are $0.0055 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Local Bounti Corp worth?
The market values Local Bounti Corp at about $22.7M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $0.7801; our models calculate a fair value of $0.7746 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LOCL?
Our models span a range for Local Bounti Corp: cautious scenario $0.5809, base $0.7746, optimistic $0.9682 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $0.7801). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Local Bounti Corp (as of Nov 10, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 17/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LOCL from its 52-week high?
Local Bounti Corp trades at $0.7801, about 73% below its 52-week high of $2.91 and at the low of $0.7801 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.7746 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Local Bounti Corp?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Muyuan Foods Group, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Tyson Foods, Inc, Bunge Global SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Local Bounti Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $0.7801, calculated fair value $0.7746 (−1%), Quality Score 17/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Local Bounti Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $0.7801. Our estimate is $0.7746, about 1% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Local Bounti Corp right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Local Bounti Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
The market capitalisation of Local Bounti Corp is $22.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Local Bounti Corp is 0.42 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
Earnings per share at Local Bounti Corp are $−2.23. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
The net margin of Local Bounti Corp is −131% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Local Bounti Corp is −2,448% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Local Bounti Corp is −24.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
The operating margin of Local Bounti Corp is −101% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
Revenue at Local Bounti Corp is growing +14.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +35.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Local Bounti Corp (LOCL) generate?
The free cash flow of Local Bounti Corp is −$41.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Local Bounti Corp (LOCL) carry?
The net debt of Local Bounti Corp is $531M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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