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Local Bounti Corp (LOCL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Local Bounti Corp is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Jun 23, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Defensive · US · ISIN US53960E1064

LB Local Bounti Corp logo Thin data Jun 23, 2026

Local Bounti Corp

LOCL · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $2.60 · Strongly undervalued (+155%)
!Quality 17/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +258.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -138.6% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/7)
!Narrow moat 7/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$138.06 $0.9800 Fair Value $2.60 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.9800 – $138.06 · fair‑value band $1.96 – $3.25 · the $1.02 price screens below the $2.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Local Bounti Corporation produces and sells fresh greens in the United States. The company offers lettuce, arugula, herbs, berries, and loose-leaf lettuce. It sells its products to food retailers and food service distributors. The company was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Montana.

Stock analysis

Local Bounti Corp (LOCL) currently trades at $1.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.60, implying the stock looks roughly 60.8% undervalued today.

Show more

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $1.96 (bear) to $3.25 (bull), the price of $1.02 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 17/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Local Bounti Corp reported revenue of $48.4M in FY2025 versus $638K in FY2021, a compound +195.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$94.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $29.4M · P/S ratio 0.59 · EPS (TTM) $−1.82 · Net margin −139% · Return on equity −2,448% · Return on assets (EBIT) −24.9% · Operating margin −104% · Revenue (TTM) $50.1M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 155%, LOCL screens cheaper than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 17/100

Of which business quality 17 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 8

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 86
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 1
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+258.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−9,661.0% (2020) → −129.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 296 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 17 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +155% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −139% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −104% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.59× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)75 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 47

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM $82.15 $38.02 −54%
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥41.86 ¥114.67 +174%
Bunge Global SA BG $111.48 $56.19 −50%
Tyson Foods, Inc TSN $51.36 $37.28 −27%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.90 ¥12.08 −19%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 196.70 kr 280.64 +43%
SalMar ASA SALM kr 561.00 kr 171.05 −70%
Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 ¥163.80 ¥311.94 +90%
United Plantations Berhad 2089 33.20 MYR 36.52 MYR +10%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.10 THB 55.71 THB +152%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Local Bounti Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LOCL

Frequently asked questions

Is Local Bounti Corp (LOCL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.60 versus a price of $1.02, about +155% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LOCL?
Our model-based fair value for Local Bounti Corp is $2.60 (as of Jun 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.02.
What is the quality score of LOCL?
Local Bounti Corp has a Quality Score of 17/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.60 (as of Jun 23, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.96, optimistic scenario $3.25. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Local Bounti Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.60, about +155% upside versus a price of $1.02 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.96, optimistic scenario $3.25. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
Local Bounti Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $50.1M (latest available figure, as of Jun 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Local Bounti Corp it is $2.60 per share (as of Jun 23, 2026), against a price of $1.02. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Local Bounti Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 23, 2026, LOCL trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.02, fair value $2.60, a gap of about +155% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LOCL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.02); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.60). For Local Bounti Corp the two are $1.58 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Local Bounti Corp worth?
The market values Local Bounti Corp at about $29.4M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 23, 2026). Per share that is $1.02; our models calculate a fair value of $2.60 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LOCL?
Our models span a range for Local Bounti Corp: cautious scenario $1.96, base $2.60, optimistic $3.25 per share (as of Jun 23, 2026, price $1.02). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Local Bounti Corp (as of Jun 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 17/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LOCL from its 52-week high?
Local Bounti Corp trades at $1.02, about 71% below its 52-week high of $3.49 and 4% above the low of $0.9800 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.60 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Local Bounti Corp?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Local Bounti Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 23, 2026: price $1.02, calculated fair value $2.60 (+155%), Quality Score 17/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LOCL calculated?
We run Local Bounti Corp through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.60, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Local Bounti Corp currently trades 155 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $1.02. Our model-based fair value is $2.60, about +155% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Local Bounti Corp right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (17/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.96). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Local Bounti Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
The market capitalisation of Local Bounti Corp is $29.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Local Bounti Corp is 0.59 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
Earnings per share at Local Bounti Corp are $−1.82. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
The net margin of Local Bounti Corp is −139% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Local Bounti Corp is −2,448% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Local Bounti Corp is −24.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
The operating margin of Local Bounti Corp is −104% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)?
Revenue at Local Bounti Corp is growing +14.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +35.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Local Bounti Corp (LOCL) generate?
The free cash flow of Local Bounti Corp is −$41.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Local Bounti Corp (LOCL) carry?
The net debt of Local Bounti Corp is $531M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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