Lotus Chocolate Company (LOTUSCHO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹8.7B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹3.51 to ₹340.44 (+9,599.1%) since Aug 7, 2026. Share price −7.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 46% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹441.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹238.40 to ₹441.52) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹13.79 – ₹2,484 · fair‑value band ₹238.40 – ₹441.52 · the ₹628.25 price screens above the ₹340.44 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Lotus Chocolate Company (LOTUSCHO) currently trades at ₹628.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹340.44, implying the stock looks roughly 45.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at ₹5.8B. Revenue declined 19.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.2%. Net debt stands at ₹771M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹238.40 (bear case) to ₹441.52 (bull case); at ₹628.25, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -46%, LOTUSCHO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (₹123,100) versus Multiples (₹125.88). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lotus Chocolate Company Limited manufactures and sells chocolates, cocoa products, and cocoa derivatives to chocolate makers and users in India.
Full company description
Lotus Chocolate Company Limited manufactures and sells chocolates, cocoa products, and cocoa derivatives to chocolate makers and users in India. The company provides industrial products, such as cocoa mass, cocoa powders, cocoa butter, chocolates, chocotreats, chocopastes, ice cream coverings, drinking chocolate powders, chocolate sauces, and chocolate decoratives. It offers its chocolate products under the Chuckles, Super Carr, On & On, Kajoos, Milky Punch, and Tango brand names. The company sells its products through distributors to bakeries and multinational companies. Lotus Chocolate Company Limited was incorporated in 1988 and is based in Hyderabad, India. Lotus Chocolate Company Limited is a subsidiary of Reliance Consumer Products Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Lotus Chocolate Company reported revenue of ₹5.8B in FY2026 versus ₹870M in FY2022, a compound +60.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.0M in FY2026, compounding −64.1%/yr from FY2022.
LOTUSCHO screens 46% overvalued. Compare with Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG →
Peer Group
Confectioners · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 94,500 | CHF 9,669 | -90% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $61.78 | $27.36 | -56% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $184.23 | $91.25 | -50% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,127 | CHF 711.91 | -37% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 132,800 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +53% |
| Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB | $39.00 | $22.21 | -43% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥20.48 | ¥9.09 | -56% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 54.85 | kr 59.12 | +8% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹604.70 | ₹304.54 | -50% |
| PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI | 1,295 IDR | 1,140 IDR | -12% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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