PT Lippo Cikarang Tbk, (LPCK) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · ID · Market cap 2.6T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price +19.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 430.00 IDR – 1,450 IDR · fair‑value band 455.40 IDR – 759.01 IDR · the 615.00 IDR price screens above the 607.21 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
PT Lippo Cikarang Tbk, (LPCK) currently trades at 615.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 607.21 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 1.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Lippo Cikarang Tbk, generated revenue of 4.1T IDR at a net margin of 3.7%. Revenue declined 30.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.4%. Net debt stands at 413B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 455.40 IDR (bear case) to 759.01 IDR (bull case); at 615.00 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -1%, LPCK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (945.16 IDR) versus Multiples (714.36 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Lippo Cikarang Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, develops real estate and industrial estate projects in Indonesia. It operates through the Real Estate and Support Services segments.
Full company description
PT Lippo Cikarang Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, develops real estate and industrial estate projects in Indonesia. It operates through the Real Estate and Support Services segments. The company engages in the development, acquisition, sale, lease, and operation of apartment buildings, residential buildings, non-residential buildings such as galleries, storage facilities, private, malls, shopping centers, hospitals, conference halls, houses of worship, hotels, sports facilities, golf courses, clubs, restaurants, entertainment places, medical laboratories, pharmacies, office buildings, funeral activities, parking, and other supporting facilities. It also provides shuttle bus transportation services; management consulting services, which include the provision of advice, business guidance, and operational assistance for other organizational and management issues, such as strategic and organizational planning; financial decisions; marketing objectives and policies; human resource planning, practices and policies; production scheduling and control planning; and private security services for investigation, supervision, safeguarding, and activities or protection for personal safety and property. In addition, the company is involved in recycling and remediation activities; collection, purification, and distribution of drinking water; collection of non-hazardous waste and wastewater; management and disposal of non-hazardous wastewater; township and real estate management; cleaning, wastewater management and recycling; and trading, investment, development, and remediation activities. PT Lippo Cikarang Tbk was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Bekasi, Indonesia. PT Lippo Cikarang Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Kemuning Satiatama.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Lippo Cikarang Tbk, reported revenue of 4.5T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.8T IDR in FY2021, a compound +25.4%/yr. Reported net income was 216B IDR in FY2025, compounding +3.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +5.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −17.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹657.75 | ₹159.49 | -76% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,188 | ₹583.43 | -51% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,925 | ₹1,183 | -39% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +32% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,100 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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