Lippo Cikarang Tbk (LPCK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Lippo Cikarang Tbk IDR 651, price IDR 535, upside +21.6%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 430.00 IDR – 1,450 IDR · fair‑value band 553.41 IDR – 759.01 IDR · the 535.00 IDR price screens below the 650.68 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Lippo Cikarang Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, develops real estate and industrial estate projects in Indonesia. It operates through the Real Estate and Support Services segments.
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PT Lippo Cikarang Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, develops real estate and industrial estate projects in Indonesia. It operates through the Real Estate and Support Services segments. The company engages in the development, acquisition, sale, lease, and operation of apartment buildings, residential buildings, non-residential buildings such as galleries, storage facilities, private, malls, shopping centers, hospitals, conference halls, houses of worship, hotels, sports facilities, golf courses, clubs, restaurants, entertainment places, medical laboratories, pharmacies, office buildings, funeral activities, parking, and other supporting facilities. It also provides shuttle bus transportation services; management consulting services, which include the provision of advice, business guidance, and operational assistance for other organizational and management issues, such as strategic and organizational planning; financial decisions; marketing objectives and policies; human resource planning, practices and policies; production scheduling and control planning; and private security services for investigation, supervision, safeguarding, and activities or protection for personal safety and property. In addition, the company is involved in recycling and remediation activities; collection, purification, and distribution of drinking water; collection of non-hazardous waste and wastewater; management and disposal of non-hazardous wastewater; township and real estate management; cleaning, wastewater management and recycling; and trading, investment, development, and remediation activities. PT Lippo Cikarang Tbk was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Bekasi, Indonesia. PT Lippo Cikarang Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Kemuning Satiatama.
Stock analysis
Lippo Cikarang Tbk (LPCK) currently trades at 535.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 650.68 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 17.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 872.50 IDR per share, and 7 of the 7 models we run sit above the 535.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 714.36 IDR, and 0 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 553.41 IDR (bear) to 759.01 IDR (bull), the price of 535.00 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Lippo Cikarang Tbk reported revenue of 4.5T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.8T IDR in FY2021, a compound +25.4%/yr. Reported net income was 216B IDR in FY2025, compounding +3.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.4T IDR (≈ $135M) · P/E ratio 50.7 · P/S ratio 2.45 · EPS (TTM) 10.56 IDR · Net margin 4.8% · Return on equity 2.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.2% · Operating margin 11.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 54% fair-value upside, at 22%, LPCK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 553.41 IDRFair Value 650.68 IDRBull 759.01 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (7.72 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+135.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+53.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.2% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−19.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−19.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−20% vs −27%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−29% → 5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 11.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 578 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Below median
Fair Value upside+22% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)12% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−31% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
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Is Lippo Cikarang Tbk (LPCK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 650.68 IDR versus a price of 535.00 IDR, about +22% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LPCK?
Our model-based fair value for Lippo Cikarang Tbk is 650.68 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 535.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of LPCK?
Lippo Cikarang Tbk has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lippo Cikarang Tbk (LPCK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 650.68 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 553.41 IDR, optimistic scenario 759.01 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lippo Cikarang Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 650.68 IDR, about +22% upside versus a price of 535.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 553.41 IDR, optimistic scenario 759.01 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lippo Cikarang Tbk (LPCK)?
Lippo Cikarang Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.1T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Lippo Cikarang Tbk (LPCK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lippo Cikarang Tbk it is 650.68 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 535.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lippo Cikarang Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, LPCK trades below its calculated fair value: price 535.00 IDR, fair value 650.68 IDR, a gap of about +22% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LPCK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (535.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (650.68 IDR). For Lippo Cikarang Tbk the two are 115.68 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lippo Cikarang Tbk worth?
The market values Lippo Cikarang Tbk at about 2.4T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 535.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 650.68 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LPCK?
Our models span a range for Lippo Cikarang Tbk: cautious scenario 553.41 IDR, base 650.68 IDR, optimistic 759.01 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 535.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LPCK?
Lippo Cikarang Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 50.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 650.68 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.1, P/B 0.4, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 9.1.
What is the PEG ratio of LPCK?
The PEG ratio of Lippo Cikarang Tbk is 0.15 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lippo Cikarang Tbk (LPCK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lippo Cikarang Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LPCK from its 52-week high?
Lippo Cikarang Tbk trades at 535.00 IDR, about 45% below its 52-week high of 980.00 IDR and 12% above the low of 476.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 650.68 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lippo Cikarang Tbk?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lippo Cikarang Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 535.00 IDR, calculated fair value 650.68 IDR (+22%), Quality Score 37/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LPCK calculated?
We run Lippo Cikarang Tbk through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 650.68 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Lippo Cikarang Tbk currently trades 22 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lippo Cikarang Tbk (LPCK)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 535.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 650.68 IDR, about +22% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lippo Cikarang Tbk right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (553.41 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Lippo Cikarang Tbk (LPCK) come from?
Earnings per share at Lippo Cikarang Tbk grew −28.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −12.1 %, EBIT margin −16.8 %, tax rate −1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Lippo Cikarang Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Lippo Cikarang Tbk (LPCK)?
The market capitalisation of Lippo Cikarang Tbk is 2.4T IDR (≈ $135M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lippo Cikarang Tbk (LPCK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lippo Cikarang Tbk is 2.45 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lippo Cikarang Tbk (LPCK)?
Earnings per share at Lippo Cikarang Tbk are 10.56 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 50.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Lippo Cikarang Tbk (LPCK)?
The net margin of Lippo Cikarang Tbk is 4.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lippo Cikarang Tbk (LPCK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lippo Cikarang Tbk is 2.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lippo Cikarang Tbk (LPCK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lippo Cikarang Tbk is 0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lippo Cikarang Tbk (LPCK)?
The operating margin of Lippo Cikarang Tbk is 11.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lippo Cikarang Tbk (LPCK)?
Revenue at Lippo Cikarang Tbk is growing −30.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +53.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lippo Cikarang Tbk (LPCK)?
Earnings per share at Lippo Cikarang Tbk are growing −71.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Lippo Cikarang Tbk (LPCK) generate?
The free cash flow of Lippo Cikarang Tbk is −944B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Lippo Cikarang Tbk (LPCK) carry?
The net debt of Lippo Cikarang Tbk is 413B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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