Luminar Media Group Inc (LRGR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jul 17, 2026: fair value of Luminar Media Group Inc $0.30, price $0.37, upside -18.9%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0100 – $0.7700 · fair‑value band $0.1900 – $0.5200 · the $0.3700 price screens above the $0.3000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
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Fortun Holdings, Corp. operates as a fintech company specializing in financial solutions dedicated to serving underserved communities in the United States. It provides data analytics, proprietary processes, and digital technology services. Fortun Holdings, Corp. was formerly known as Luminar Media Group, Inc. and change its name to Fortun Holdings, Corp.
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Fortun Holdings, Corp. operates as a fintech company specializing in financial solutions dedicated to serving underserved communities in the United States. It provides data analytics, proprietary processes, and digital technology services. Fortun Holdings, Corp. was formerly known as Luminar Media Group, Inc. and change its name to Fortun Holdings, Corp. in May 2026. The company was founded in 2010 and is based in Miami, Florida.
Stock analysis
Luminar Media Group Inc (LRGR) currently trades at $0.3700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3000, 18.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.4700 per share, and 2 of the 15 models we run sit above the $0.3700 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.0300, and 13 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.1900 (bear) to $0.5200 (bull), the price of $0.3700 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Luminar Media Group Inc reported revenue of $5.6M in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2017. Reported net income was $409K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $19.5M · EPS (TTM) $−10.35 · Net margin 7.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1,907% · Free cash flow −$1.5M · Net debt $2.6M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 335% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at −19%, LRGR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.1900Fair Value $0.3000Bull $0.5200
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.43/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+530.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+405.7%
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−602.5% (2022) → 23.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
Compare Luminar Media Group Inc with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 92 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Luminar Media Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LRGR
Frequently asked questions
Is Luminar Media Group Inc (LRGR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.3000 versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of $0.3700, about −19% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LRGR?
Our model-based fair value for Luminar Media Group Inc is $0.3000 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 17, 2026): $0.3700.
What is the quality score of LRGR?
Luminar Media Group Inc has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Luminar Media Group Inc (LRGR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.3000 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1900, optimistic scenario $0.5200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Luminar Media Group Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.3000, about −19% upside versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of $0.3700 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.1900, optimistic scenario $0.5200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Luminar Media Group Inc (LRGR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Luminar Media Group Inc it is $0.3000 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $0.3700. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Luminar Media Group Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, LRGR trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.3700, fair value $0.3000, a gap of about −19% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LRGR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.3700); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.3000). For Luminar Media Group Inc the two are $0.0700 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Luminar Media Group Inc worth?
The market values Luminar Media Group Inc at about $19.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $0.3700; our models calculate a fair value of $0.3000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LRGR?
Our models span a range for Luminar Media Group Inc: cautious scenario $0.1900, base $0.3000, optimistic $0.5200 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $0.3700). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is LRGR from its 52-week high?
Luminar Media Group Inc trades at $0.3700, about 52% below its 52-week high of $0.7700 and 335% above the low of $0.0850 (as of Jul 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.3000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Luminar Media Group Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Kweichow Moutai Co, Wuliangye Yibin Co, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co, Pernod Ricard SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Luminar Media Group Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $0.3700, calculated fair value $0.3000 (−19%), Quality Score 55/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LRGR calculated?
We run Luminar Media Group Inc through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.3000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Luminar Media Group Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Luminar Media Group Inc (LRGR)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 17, 2026 and stands at $0.3700. Our model-based fair value is $0.3000, about −19% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Luminar Media Group Inc right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($0.1900 to $0.5200). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Luminar Media Group Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Luminar Media Group Inc (LRGR)?
The market capitalisation of Luminar Media Group Inc is $19.5M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Luminar Media Group Inc (LRGR)?
Earnings per share at Luminar Media Group Inc are $−10.35. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Luminar Media Group Inc (LRGR)?
The net margin of Luminar Media Group Inc is 7.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Luminar Media Group Inc (LRGR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Luminar Media Group Inc is −1,907% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Luminar Media Group Inc (LRGR) generate?
The free cash flow of Luminar Media Group Inc is −$1.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Luminar Media Group Inc (LRGR) carry?
The net debt of Luminar Media Group Inc is $2.6M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 29, 2026