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London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEGY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of London Stock Exchange Group plc $14.06, price $26.75, upside -47.4%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Financial Services · US · Home United Kingdom · ISIN US54211Y1073

LS London Stock Exchange Group plc logo Broad data Sep 29, 2026

London Stock Exchange Group plc

LSEGY · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $14.06 · Strongly overvalued (−47.4%)
!Quality 57/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +6.5 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 13.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓1.8% dividend yield · Well covered
!Trails peers (5/14)
!Moderate moat 53/100
!Weak on future: 23 out of 100
!Weak on past: 25 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$38.89 $19.13 Fair Value $14.06 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $19.13 – $38.89 · fair‑value band $8.69 – $20.11 · the $26.75 price screens above the $14.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

London Stock Exchange Group plc provides financial markets infrastructure and data products in the United Kingdom, the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Data & Analytics, FTSE Russell, Risk Intelligence, and Markets.

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London Stock Exchange Group plc provides financial markets infrastructure and data products in the United Kingdom, the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Data & Analytics, FTSE Russell, Risk Intelligence, and Markets. It offers data, analytics, and AI tools through an open and interoperable architecture; real-time data and news, text, reference, and legal entity information; and cross-asset models and analytics solutions, such as Yield Book fixed income, Lipper fund performance, private credit analytics, and StarMine sentiment analysis. The company also provides index and benchmark solutions; risk intelligence solutions to meet Know Your Customer and Know Your Third Party obligations, perform due diligence, and mitigate identity and payment fraud risks; World-Check Verify, a cloud-native screening API; and World-Check On Demand for continuously updated sanctions, politically exposed persons, adverse media, and enforcement data. In addition, it offers access to various liquidity pools in multiple asset classes comprising equities, fixed income, exchange-traded funds and products, and foreign exchange; capital formation and execution venues consisting of London Stock Exchange, AIM, Turquoise, FXall, FX Matching, and Tradeweb; and clearing and capital optimization solutions for interest rate swap, foreign exchange, and credit default swap OTC derivatives. Further, the company provides securities clearing, capital optimization, and regulatory reporting solutions; software licenses; network connections; hosting services; clearing, settlement, and other post trade services; and events and media services. London Stock Exchange Group plc was founded in 1698 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Stock analysis

London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEGY) currently trades at $26.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.06, 47.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $13.06 per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the $26.75 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $5.79, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $8.69 (bear) to $20.11 (bull), the price of $26.75 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

London Stock Exchange Group plc reported revenue of £9.3B in FY2025 versus £6.5B in FY2021, a compound +9.4%/yr. Reported net income was £1.2B in FY2025, compounding −20.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $53.8B · P/E ratio 33.4 · P/S ratio 4.47 · EPS (TTM) $0.8000 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 13.4% · Return on equity 6.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −47%, LSEGY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $8.69 Fair Value $14.06 Bull $20.11
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $12.07 $19.74 $30.78 74
Residual Income $11.83 $12.19 $13.07 73
Owner Earnings $10.78 $18.88 $31.32 71
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $10.78 $18.88 $31.32 71
5Y P/E Exit $6.64 $11.53 $16.58 67
10Y P/E Exit $8.37 $13.06 $18.64 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.77 $18.38 $24.50 62
Lynch FV $4.05 $5.79 $7.53 58
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $4.48 $9.32 $14.78 63
DDM Multi-Stage $4.48 $7.49 $9.78 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple $8.28 $11.04 $13.80 63
P/B Multiple $10.83 $14.43 $18.04 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.54 $10.10 $15.07 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $12.07 $19.74 $30.78 74
Rev-Margin DCF $7.37 $13.02 $19.60 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income $11.83 $12.19 $13.07 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 1
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−20.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−22.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 23%
2025 sits 74% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−5.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in GBP, UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −7.6% a year for the price and +3.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+5.7%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+6.4%
Projected 2028 (sales)+5.9%
Projected 2029 (sales)+5.3%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.8%

LSEGY screens overvalued: fair value 47% below the price. Compare with S&P Global Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Financial Data & Stock Exchanges · 52 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +27.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 6.4% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 24.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 4.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.36× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Financial Data & Stock Exchanges median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 33.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.84× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 4.36× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 23.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 13.6× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.80× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)70 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)23 · sector 61
PAST (return on equity)25 · sector 79
HEALTH (low debt)82 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)37 · sector 36

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "London Stock Exchange Group plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LSEGY

Frequently asked questions

Is London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEGY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.06 versus a price of $26.75, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LSEGY?
Our model-based fair value for London Stock Exchange Group plc is $14.06 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $26.75.
What is the quality score of LSEGY?
London Stock Exchange Group plc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEGY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $14.06 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $8.69, optimistic scenario $20.11. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the London Stock Exchange Group plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $14.06, about −47% upside versus a price of $26.75 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $8.69, optimistic scenario $20.11. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEGY)?
London Stock Exchange Group plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £9.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does London Stock Exchange Group plc pay a dividend?
London Stock Exchange Group plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.83% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEGY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, London Stock Exchange Group plc would have to grow free cash flow by -5.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +9.4 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LSEGY use?
Our models discount London Stock Exchange Group plc at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.38, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For London Stock Exchange Group plc that is -5.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEGY) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at London Stock Exchange Group plc grew +9.4 % a year. The price currently implies -5.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEGY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into London Stock Exchange Group plc (-5.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEGY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 16.69 %: that much free cash flow London Stock Exchange Group plc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEGY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For London Stock Exchange Group plc it is $14.06 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $26.75. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is London Stock Exchange Group plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, LSEGY trades above its calculated fair value: price $26.75, fair value $14.06, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LSEGY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($26.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($14.06). For London Stock Exchange Group plc the two are $12.69 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is London Stock Exchange Group plc worth?
The market values London Stock Exchange Group plc at about $53.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $26.75; our models calculate a fair value of $14.06 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LSEGY?
Our models span a range for London Stock Exchange Group plc: cautious scenario $8.69, base $14.06, optimistic $20.11 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $26.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LSEGY?
London Stock Exchange Group plc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.4 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $14.06 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 1.8, P/S 4.4, EV/EBITDA 13.6.
What is the PEG ratio of LSEGY?
The PEG ratio of London Stock Exchange Group plc is 0.80 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEGY)?
Balance-sheet figures for London Stock Exchange Group plc (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 6.4%, debt of 0.36 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LSEGY from its 52-week high?
London Stock Exchange Group plc trades at $26.75, about 21% below its 52-week high of $34.05 and 9% above the low of $24.52 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $14.06 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to London Stock Exchange Group plc?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value S&P Global Inc, CME Group, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc, Moody's Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is London Stock Exchange Group plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $26.75, calculated fair value $14.06 (−47%), Quality Score 57/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LSEGY calculated?
We run London Stock Exchange Group plc through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $14.06, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. London Stock Exchange Group plc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEGY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $26.75. Our model-based fair value is $14.06, about −47% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with London Stock Exchange Group plc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($20.11). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($8.69 to $20.11) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of London Stock Exchange Group plc

How large is the market capitalisation of London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEGY)?
The market capitalisation of London Stock Exchange Group plc is $53.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEGY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of London Stock Exchange Group plc is 4.47 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEGY)?
Earnings per share at London Stock Exchange Group plc are $0.8000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEGY)?
The dividend yield of London Stock Exchange Group plc is 1.8% (payout 61.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEGY)?
The net margin of London Stock Exchange Group plc is 13.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEGY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of London Stock Exchange Group plc is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEGY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of London Stock Exchange Group plc is 0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEGY)?
The operating margin of London Stock Exchange Group plc is 24.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEGY)?
Revenue at London Stock Exchange Group plc is growing +4.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEGY)?
Earnings per share at London Stock Exchange Group plc are growing +80.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEGY) carry?
The net debt of London Stock Exchange Group plc is £8.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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