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Lucara Diamond Corp (LUC) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$253M

LD Lucara Diamond Corp LUC · TO
PriceC$0.1500
Fair ValueC$0.2000
Upside+33.3%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Medium Range C$0.1200 – C$0.2800

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price −21.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

C$0.3000 C$0.1450 Fair Value C$0.2000 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range C$0.1450 – C$0.3000 · fair‑value band C$0.1200 – C$0.2800 · the C$0.1500 price screens below the C$0.2000 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Lucara Diamond Corp (LUC) currently trades at C$0.1500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.2000 — implying the stock looks roughly 33.3% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Lucara Diamond Corp generated revenue of C$151M at a net margin of 7.7%. Revenue declined 28.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.4%. Net debt stands at C$192M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$151M
Revenue growth (YoY) -28.1%
Net margin 7.7%
Return on equity 3.4%
Free cash flow −C$48.3M FY2025
P/E ratio 2.4
More key figures
Operating margin -46.5%
EPS (TTM) C$0.0700
EPS growth (YoY) -82.0%
Net debt C$192M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Lucara Diamond Corp., a diamond mining company, engages in the development and operation of diamond properties in Africa. The company holds a 100% interest in the Karowe mine located in Botswana. It also operates Clara Platform, a digital sales platform for rough diamonds. The company was formerly known as Bannockburn Resources Limited and changed its name to Lucara Diamond Corp. in August 2007. Lucara Diamond Corp. was incorporated in 1981 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Lucara Diamond Corp reported revenue of C$162M in FY2025 versus C$230M in FY2021, a compound −8.3%/yr. Reported net income was C$26.6M in FY2025, compounding +2.8%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −8.3%/yr
FY21 C$230M
FY22 C$213M
FY23 C$172M
FY24 C$204M
FY25 C$162M
Net income +2.8%/yr
FY21 C$23.8M
FY22 C$40.4M
FY23 −C$20.2M
FY24 C$39.9M
FY25 C$26.6M

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Similar stocks

6 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fresnillo plc FRES 750.00 MXN 941.58 MXN +26%
Valterra Platinum Limited ANGPY $11.98 $8.80 -27%
Hecla Mining Company HCL €13.87 €8.15 -41%
Impala Platinum Holdings IMPUF $11.55 $2.07 -82%
Northam Platinum Holdings NPTLF $24.00 $3.59 -85%
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $32.58 $29.96 -8%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Lucara Diamond Corp (LUC) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.2000 versus a price of C$0.1500 — about +33% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of LUC?
Our 21-model fair value for Lucara Diamond Corp is C$0.2000 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$0.1500.
What is the quality score of LUC?
Lucara Diamond Corp has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Lucara Diamond Corp (LUC)?
Lucara Diamond Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$151M (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LUC?
The net profit margin of Lucara Diamond Corp is about 7.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.