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Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc (M1AA34) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc BRL 20.02, price BRL 50.11, upside -60.1%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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MA
Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc
M1AA34 · SAStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value R$20.02 · Strongly overvalued (−60.1%)
!Quality 58/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +5.7 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 17.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!3.3% dividend yield · Payout strained
!Moderate moat 56/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$37.61 – R$186.94 · fair‑value band R$16.53 – R$31.26 · the R$50.11 price screens above the R$20.02 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. is a self-administered real estate investment trust (REIT) and member of S&P 500. MAA owns or has ownership interest in apartment communities primarily throughout the Southeast, Southwest and Mid-Atlantic regions of the U.S. focused on delivering strong, full-cycle investment performance.
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Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. is a self-administered real estate investment trust (REIT) and member of S&P 500. MAA owns or has ownership interest in apartment communities primarily throughout the Southeast, Southwest and Mid-Atlantic regions of the U.S. focused on delivering strong, full-cycle investment performance. Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. was incorporated in 1977 in Tennessee and is based in Germantown, United States.
Stock analysis
Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc (M1AA34) currently trades at R$50.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$20.02, 60.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of R$35.90 per share, and 2 of the 16 models we run sit above the R$50.11 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at R$14.15, and 14 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: R$16.53 (bear) to R$31.26 (bull), the price of R$50.11 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc reported revenue of $2.2B in FY2025 versus $1.8B in FY2021, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was $447M in FY2025, compounding −4.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap R$82.6B (≈ $15.8B) · P/E ratio 41.3 · P/S ratio 8.36 · EPS (TTM) R$4.27 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 20.2% · Return on equity 6.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at −60%, M1AA34 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear R$16.53
Fair Value R$20.02
Bull R$31.26
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
R$17.63
R$33.06
R$55.02
78
Growth DCF
R$18.66
R$33.03
R$52.62
77
Residual Income
R$17.71
R$19.00
R$21.05
76
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
R$17.63
R$33.06
R$55.02
78
5Y Revenue Exit
R$6.70
R$16.59
R$28.52
69
5Y EBITDA Exit
R$26.63
R$52.00
R$80.32
73
10Y Revenue Exit
R$9.94
R$19.53
R$30.98
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
R$22.93
R$43.44
R$68.68
67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
R$24.32
R$41.29
R$61.68
67
DDM Multi-Stage
R$24.32
R$35.90
R$48.72
66
Multiples
P/S Multiple
R$21.17
R$28.23
R$35.29
58
P/B Multiple
R$21.17
R$28.23
R$35.29
55
EV/EBIT
R$17.11
R$28.60
R$40.09
64
EV/EBITDA
R$38.80
R$57.51
R$76.23
66
EV/Revenue
R$1.66
R$9.80
R$17.95
48
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
R$10.56
R$14.15
R$21.12
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
R$18.66
R$33.03
R$52.62
77
Rev-Margin DCF
R$6.70
R$17.12
R$28.42
69
Economic Profit
Residual Income
R$17.71
R$19.00
R$21.05
76
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
58/100
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Profitability
36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+7.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.26% → 25%
M1AA34 screens overvalued: fair value 60% below the price. Compare with Comcast Holdings →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (94 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
- What Is Drawing Fresh Attention To Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA)?
- Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA) Down 3.4% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?
- Mid-America Apartment Communities to Redeem All Outstanding Shares of Its 8.50% Series I Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock
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Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Residential stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Comcast Holdings CCZ | $64.67 | $71.54 | +11% |
| Essex Property Trust, Inc ESS | $273.01 | $292.02 | +7% |
| Sun Communities, Inc SUI | $112.26 | $152.95 | +36% |
| American Homes 4 Rent (AMH or the General Partner) AMH | $30.64 | $53.24 | +74% |
| UDR, Inc UDR | $33.84 | $34.92 | +3% |
| Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc ELS | $59.23 | $31.11 | −47% |
| Camden Property Trust, an S&P 500 Company CPT | $96.62 | $53.80 | −44% |
| Unum Group UNMA | $21.59 | $30.29 | +40% |
| Millrose Properties, Inc MRP | $25.20 | $41.87 | +66% |
| Independence Realty Trust, Inc IRT | $14.83 | $12.81 | −14% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc (M1AA34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$20.02 versus a price of R$50.11, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of M1AA34?
Our model-based fair value for Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc is R$20.02 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$50.11.
What is the quality score of M1AA34?
Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc (M1AA34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$20.02 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$16.53, optimistic scenario R$31.26. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$20.02, about −60% upside versus a price of R$50.11 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$16.53, optimistic scenario R$31.26. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc (M1AA34)?
Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.2B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc pay a dividend?
Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.30% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc (M1AA34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc it is R$20.02 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of R$50.11. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, M1AA34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$50.11, fair value R$20.02, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of M1AA34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$50.11); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$20.02). For Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc the two are R$30.09 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc worth?
The market values Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc at about R$82.6B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is R$50.11; our models calculate a fair value of R$20.02 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about M1AA34?
Our models span a range for Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc: cautious scenario R$16.53, base R$20.02, optimistic R$31.26 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price R$50.11). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is M1AA34 from its 52-week high?
Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc trades at R$50.11, about 17% below its 52-week high of R$60.07 and 1% above the low of R$49.67 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$20.02 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Comcast Holdings, Essex Property Trust, Inc, Sun Communities, Inc, American Homes 4 Rent (AMH or the General Partner), among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price R$50.11, calculated fair value R$20.02 (−60%), Quality Score 58/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of M1AA34 calculated?
We run Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$20.02, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc (M1AA34)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was R$50.11. Our model-based fair value is R$20.02, about −60% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$31.26). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (R$16.53 to R$31.26) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc (M1AA34)?
The market capitalisation of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc is R$82.6B (≈ $15.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc (M1AA34)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc is 41.3 (as of Jul 13, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc (M1AA34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc is 8.36 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc (M1AA34)?
Earnings per share at Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc are R$4.27 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 41.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc (M1AA34)?
The dividend yield of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc is 3.3% (payout 38.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc (M1AA34)?
The net margin of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc is 20.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc (M1AA34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc is 6.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc (M1AA34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc is 5.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc (M1AA34)?
The operating margin of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc is 26.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc (M1AA34)?
Revenue at Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc is growing +0.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc (M1AA34)?
Earnings per share at Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc are growing −31.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc (M1AA34) generate?
The free cash flow of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc is $718M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc (M1AA34) carry?
The net debt of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc is $5.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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