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MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries (M1GM34) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries BRL 181, price BRL 159, upside +14.0%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries
M1GM34 · SAUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
✓Fair value R$180.93 · Undervalued (+14.0%)
!Quality 58/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +27.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.0% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 39/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$42.36 – R$277.94 · fair‑value band R$101.11 – R$260.75 · the R$158.72 price screens below the R$180.93 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, operates as a gaming and entertainment company in the United States, China, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Las Vegas Strip Resorts, Regional Operations, MGM China, and MGM Digital.
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MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, operates as a gaming and entertainment company in the United States, China, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Las Vegas Strip Resorts, Regional Operations, MGM China, and MGM Digital. The company operates casino resorts that offer gaming, hotel, convention, dining, entertainment, retail, and other resort amenities, as well as online/digital games through its online platforms. Its casino operations include slots and table games, as well as live dealer, online sports betting, and iGaming through BetMGM. The company's customers include premium gaming customers; leisure and wholesale travel customers; business travelers; and group customers, including conventions, trade associations, and small meetings. The company was formerly known as MGM MIRAGE and changed its name to MGM Resorts International in June 2010. MGM Resorts International was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Stock analysis
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, (M1GM34) currently trades at R$158.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$180.93, implying the stock looks roughly 12.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of R$318.44 per share, and 11 of the 24 models we run sit above the R$158.72 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at R$33.23, and 13 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: R$101.11 (bear) to R$260.75 (bull), the price of R$158.72 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, reported revenue of $17.5B in FY2025 versus $9.7B in FY2021, a compound +16.0%/yr. Reported net income was $206M in FY2025, compounding −36.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap R$60.2B (≈ $11.5B) · P/E ratio 41.9 · P/S ratio 0.49 · EPS (TTM) R$3.79 · Net margin 1.2% · Return on equity 13.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.0% · Operating margin 6.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 58% fair-value upside, at 14%, M1GM34 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear R$101.11
Fair Value R$180.93
Bull R$260.75
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$2.87 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
R$308.32
R$617.07
R$1,148
76
Residual Income
R$41.85
R$45.27
R$52.81
76
Growth DCF
R$306.36
R$592.37
R$1,073
75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
R$308.32
R$617.07
R$1,148
76
Owner Earnings
n/a
R$11.02
>R$44.08
73
5Y Revenue Exit
R$166.10
R$318.44
R$518.59
70
5Y EBITDA Exit
R$272.89
R$536.64
R$863.49
73
5Y P/E Exit
R$85.19
R$153.13
R$224.64
70
10Y Revenue Exit
R$204.71
R$364.67
R$597.40
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
R$281.57
R$523.75
R$883.63
66
10Y P/E Exit
R$157.57
R$244.15
R$353.44
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
R$28.57
R$128.43
R$176.05
64
Lynch FV
R$33.47
R$47.82
R$62.16
61
PEG = 1.0
R$33.47
R$47.82
R$62.16
57
EPV
R$60.42
R$84.67
R$105.88
73
Multiples
P/E Multiple
R$69.33
R$92.44
R$115.55
63
P/S Multiple
R$53.57
R$71.43
R$89.29
58
P/B Multiple
R$53.57
R$71.43
R$89.29
55
EV/EBIT
R$190.99
R$283.00
R$375.02
65
EV/EBITDA
R$285.94
R$409.61
R$533.28
67
EV/Revenue
R$101.02
R$180.76
R$260.51
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
R$24.80
R$33.23
R$49.60
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
R$306.36
R$592.37
R$1,073
75
Rev-Margin DCF
R$166.10
R$318.26
R$513.52
70
Economic Profit
Residual Income
R$41.85
R$45.27
R$52.81
76
ROIC Compounder
R$65.74
R$118.97
R$186.93
69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
R$55.88
R$79.82
R$103.77
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
58/100
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Profitability
27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
95/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−3.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−40% → 6%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
0.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.3% a year for the price and −0.9% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+0.9%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+1.6%
Projected 2028 (sales)+1.6%
Projected 2029 (sales)+1.7%
Projected 2030 (sales)+1.7%
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Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Gambling
Similar stocks
10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS | $38.78 | $55.26 | +42% |
| Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 | HK$31.70 | HK$46.74 | +47% |
| Sands China Ltd 1928 | HK$11.91 | HK$18.87 | +58% |
| Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN | $81.12 | $147.69 | +82% |
| Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR | $29.59 | $80.89 | +173% |
| Genting Singapore Limited G13 | 0.6150 SGD | 0.5600 SGD | −9% |
| Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR | $50.76 | $31.15 | −39% |
| Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD | $71.23 | $130.75 | +84% |
| Vail Resorts, Inc MTN | $136.11 | $152.57 | +12% |
| MGM China Holdings 2282 | HK$9.60 | HK$38.25 | +298% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries (M1GM34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$180.93 versus a price of R$158.72, about +14% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of M1GM34?
Our model-based fair value for MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, is R$180.93 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$158.72.
What is the quality score of M1GM34?
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries (M1GM34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$180.93 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$101.11, optimistic scenario R$260.75. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$180.93, about +14% upside versus a price of R$158.72 (undervalued). Cautious scenario R$101.11, optimistic scenario R$260.75. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries (M1GM34)?
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $17.7B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries (M1GM34)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, would have to grow free cash flow by 0.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +27.7 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of M1GM34 use?
Our models discount MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, at 13.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.29, country premium for Brazil. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, that is 0.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries (M1GM34) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, grew +27.7 % a year. The price currently implies 0.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries (M1GM34) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, (0.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries (M1GM34)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 18.60 %: that much free cash flow MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries (M1GM34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, it is R$180.93 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of R$158.72. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, M1GM34 trades below its calculated fair value: price R$158.72, fair value R$180.93, a gap of about +14% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of M1GM34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$158.72); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$180.93). For MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, the two are R$22.21 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, worth?
The market values MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, at about R$60.2B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is R$158.72; our models calculate a fair value of R$180.93 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about M1GM34?
Our models span a range for MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries,: cautious scenario R$101.11, base R$180.93, optimistic R$260.75 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price R$158.72). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is M1GM34 from its 52-week high?
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, trades at R$158.72, about 35% below its 52-week high of R$244.56 and at the low of R$158.72 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$180.93 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries,?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Las Vegas Sands Corp, Galaxy Entertainment Group, Sands China Ltd, Wynn Resorts, Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price R$158.72, calculated fair value R$180.93 (+14%), Quality Score 58/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of M1GM34 calculated?
We run MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$180.93, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, currently trades 12 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries (M1GM34)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was R$158.72. Our model-based fair value is R$180.93, about +14% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, right now?
A fairly wide model range (R$101.11 to R$260.75) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries,
How large is the market capitalisation of MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries (M1GM34)?
The market capitalisation of MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, is R$60.2B (≈ $11.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries (M1GM34)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, is 41.9. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries (M1GM34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, is 0.49 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries (M1GM34)?
Earnings per share at MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, are R$3.79 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 41.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries (M1GM34)?
The net margin of MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, is 1.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries (M1GM34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, is 13.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries (M1GM34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, is 3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries (M1GM34)?
The operating margin of MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, is 6.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries (M1GM34)?
Revenue at MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, is growing +4.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries (M1GM34)?
Earnings per share at MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, are growing −5.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries (M1GM34) carry?
The net debt of MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, is $4.2B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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