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Malu Paper Mills Limited (MALUPAPER) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Malu Paper Mills Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 13, 2026
Malu Paper Mills Limited
MALUPAPER · BSEWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value ₹6.62 · Strongly overvalued (−80%)
!Quality 44/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +14.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹26.07 – ₹66.61 · fair‑value band ₹3.67 – ₹10.39 · the ₹33.80 price screens above the ₹6.62 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Company profile
Malu Paper Mills Limited manufactures and sells paper in India. The company offers newsprint, writing and printing, kraft, and packaging paper. It also exports its products to Europe, Asia, Africa, China, and Central and South America. The company was formerly known as Malu Solvex Limited and changed its name to Malu Paper Mills Limited in April 1998.
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Malu Paper Mills Limited manufactures and sells paper in India. The company offers newsprint, writing and printing, kraft, and packaging paper. It also exports its products to Europe, Asia, Africa, China, and Central and South America. The company was formerly known as Malu Solvex Limited and changed its name to Malu Paper Mills Limited in April 1998. Malu Paper Mills Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Nagpur, India.
Stock analysis
Malu Paper Mills Limited (MALUPAPER) currently trades at ₹33.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹6.62, implying the stock looks roughly 410.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ₹10.07 per share, and 0 of the 5 models we run sit above the ₹33.80 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ₹7.23, and 5 of the 5 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹3.67 (bear) to ₹10.39 (bull), the price of ₹33.80 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Malu Paper Mills Limited reported revenue of ₹3.3B in FY2026 versus ₹2.1B in FY2022, a compound +12.0%/yr. Reported net income was −₹195M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹577M (≈ $6.1M) · P/S ratio 0.17 · EPS (TTM) ₹−10.68 · Net margin −5.9% · Return on equity −2,255% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.4% · Operating margin −8.0% · Revenue (TTM) ₹3.1B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 22% fair-value upside, at −80%, MALUPAPER screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹3.67
Fair Value ₹6.62
Bull ₹10.39
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
₹5.46
₹10.89
₹19.26
77
Growth DCF
₹5.33
₹10.07
₹16.92
76
5Y Revenue Exit
₹4.63
₹9.69
₹16.51
70
All 5 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
₹5.46
₹10.89
₹19.26
77
5Y Revenue Exit
₹4.63
₹9.69
₹16.51
70
10Y Revenue Exit
₹4.65
₹9.30
₹16.34
64
Multiples
EV/Revenue
₹4.30
₹7.23
₹10.16
52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
₹5.33
₹10.07
₹16.92
76
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
44/100
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Profitability
50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
0
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+19.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.5%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.4% (2021) → −3.5% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+69.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
MALUPAPER screens 410% overvalued. Compare with UPM-Kymmene Oyj →
Compare Malu Paper Mills Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Paper & Paper Products · 120 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM | €25.77 | €15.33 | −41% |
| Suzano S.A SUZ | $9.36 | $24.05 | +157% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAA | kr 117.00 | kr 45.12 | −61% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥14.14 | ¥17.29 | +22% |
| Holmen AB HOLMB | kr 321.40 | kr 217.72 | −32% |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 | HK$6.30 | HK$8.78 | +39% |
| PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk INKP | 8,850 IDR | 13,966 IDR | +58% |
| Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC | 1,011 CLP | 1,291 CLP | +28% |
| The Navigator Company NVG | €3.24 | €1.99 | −39% |
| Xianhe Co 603733 | ¥18.38 | ¥18.80 | +2% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Malu Paper Mills Limited (MALUPAPER) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹6.62 versus a price of ₹33.80, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MALUPAPER?
Our model-based fair value for Malu Paper Mills Limited is ₹6.62 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹33.80.
What is the quality score of MALUPAPER?
Malu Paper Mills Limited has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Malu Paper Mills Limited (MALUPAPER)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹6.62 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹3.67, optimistic scenario ₹10.39. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Malu Paper Mills Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹6.62, about −80% upside versus a price of ₹33.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹3.67, optimistic scenario ₹10.39. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Malu Paper Mills Limited (MALUPAPER)?
Malu Paper Mills Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹3.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Malu Paper Mills Limited (MALUPAPER)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Malu Paper Mills Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +69.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.5 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MALUPAPER use?
Our models discount Malu Paper Mills Limited at 15.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Malu Paper Mills Limited that is +69.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Malu Paper Mills Limited (MALUPAPER) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Malu Paper Mills Limited grew +14.5 % a year. The price currently implies +69.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Malu Paper Mills Limited (MALUPAPER) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Malu Paper Mills Limited (+69.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Malu Paper Mills Limited (MALUPAPER)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.22 %: that much free cash flow Malu Paper Mills Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Malu Paper Mills Limited (MALUPAPER)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Malu Paper Mills Limited it is ₹6.62 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ₹33.80. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Malu Paper Mills Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, MALUPAPER trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹33.80, fair value ₹6.62, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MALUPAPER?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹33.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹6.62). For Malu Paper Mills Limited the two are ₹27.18 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Malu Paper Mills Limited worth?
The market values Malu Paper Mills Limited at about ₹577M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ₹33.80; our models calculate a fair value of ₹6.62 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MALUPAPER?
Our models span a range for Malu Paper Mills Limited: cautious scenario ₹3.67, base ₹6.62, optimistic ₹10.39 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ₹33.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is MALUPAPER from its 52-week high?
Malu Paper Mills Limited trades at ₹33.80, about 25% below its 52-week high of ₹45.18 and 24% above the low of ₹27.16 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹6.62 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Malu Paper Mills Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value UPM-Kymmene Oyj, Suzano S.A, Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ), Shandong Sunpaper Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Malu Paper Mills Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ₹33.80, calculated fair value ₹6.62 (−80%), Quality Score 44/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MALUPAPER calculated?
We run Malu Paper Mills Limited through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹6.62, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Malu Paper Mills Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Malu Paper Mills Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹10.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (₹3.67 to ₹10.39). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Malu Paper Mills Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Malu Paper Mills Limited (MALUPAPER)?
The market capitalisation of Malu Paper Mills Limited is ₹577M (≈ $6.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Malu Paper Mills Limited (MALUPAPER)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Malu Paper Mills Limited is 0.17 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Malu Paper Mills Limited (MALUPAPER)?
Earnings per share at Malu Paper Mills Limited are ₹−10.68. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Malu Paper Mills Limited (MALUPAPER)?
The net margin of Malu Paper Mills Limited is −5.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Malu Paper Mills Limited (MALUPAPER)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Malu Paper Mills Limited is −2,255% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Malu Paper Mills Limited (MALUPAPER)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Malu Paper Mills Limited is −1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Malu Paper Mills Limited (MALUPAPER)?
The operating margin of Malu Paper Mills Limited is −8.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Malu Paper Mills Limited (MALUPAPER)?
Revenue at Malu Paper Mills Limited is growing −12.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Malu Paper Mills Limited (MALUPAPER)?
Earnings per share at Malu Paper Mills Limited are growing +45.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Malu Paper Mills Limited (MALUPAPER) carry?
The net debt of Malu Paper Mills Limited is ₹1.5B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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