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Maven Wireless Sweden AB (MAVEN) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · SE · Market cap 300M SEK

MW Maven Wireless Sweden AB MAVEN · ST
Pricekr 4.97
Fair Valuekr 0.5200
Upside-89.5%
Quality39/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -11.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Medium Range kr 0.2500 – kr 0.7800 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated today

Share price −1.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 90% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.7800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (kr 0.2500 to kr 0.7800). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 21.94 kr 3.80 Fair Value kr 0.5200 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 3.80 – kr 21.94 · fair‑value band kr 0.2500 – kr 0.7800 · the kr 4.97 price screens above the kr 0.5200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Maven Wireless Sweden AB (MAVEN) currently trades at kr 4.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.5200, implying the stock looks roughly 89.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Maven Wireless Sweden AB generated revenue of 189M SEK at a net margin of -11.1%. Revenue declined 28.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -17.6%. Net debt stands at 20.6M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 0.2500 (bear case) to kr 0.7800 (bull case); at kr 4.97, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -90%, MAVEN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 5.57 kr 8.77 kr 14.34 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 5.20 kr 10.10 kr 18.20 74
EV/EBITDA kr 0.3714 kr 0.5200 kr 0.6686 54
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 5.94 kr 8.32 kr 15.30 38
5Y Revenue Exit kr 5.20 kr 8.84 kr 16.34 39
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 2.30 kr 2.97 kr 4.16 41
10Y Revenue Exit kr 5.27 kr 10.47 kr 14.26 36
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 3.64 kr 5.42 kr 7.95 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA kr 0.3714 kr 0.5200 kr 0.6686 54
EV/Revenue kr 4.53 kr 6.54 kr 8.47 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 7.65 kr 10.25 kr 15.30 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 5.57 kr 8.77 kr 14.34 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 5.20 kr 10.10 kr 18.20 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (kr 10.25) versus Multiples (kr 0.5200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 189M SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) -28.8%
Net margin -11.1%
Return on equity -17.6%
Free cash flow 3.8M SEK FY2025
Operating margin -21.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) kr -0.3800
EPS growth (YoY) +2,986%
Net debt 20.6M SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Maven Wireless Sweden AB (Publ) provides various wireless solutions for indoor and tunnel coverage. It offers Orion headend digital unit, that performs filtering, combining, and sectorization in the digital domain; Stratus digital DAS remotes for hybrid DAS installations supporting passive antenna and leaky feeder systems; Cirrus digital off-air headend …

Full company description

Maven Wireless Sweden AB (Publ) provides various wireless solutions for indoor and tunnel coverage. It offers Orion headend digital unit, that performs filtering, combining, and sectorization in the digital domain; Stratus digital DAS remotes for hybrid DAS installations supporting passive antenna and leaky feeder systems; Cirrus digital off-air headend unit, which converts radio signals to a digital CPRI stream; digital in-train onboard repeaters; Strato digital off air medium power repeaters; Exo digital off air high power repeaters; Tropo digital off-air low power repeaters; Nimbus low power digital DAS remotes; and Helix digital headend units, as well as Maven network management system, and academy DAS training and certification services. It serves hospitality, transportation, stadium, healthcare, and energy industries, as well as commercial properties. Maven Wireless Sweden AB (Publ) was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Kista, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Maven Wireless Sweden AB reported revenue of kr 183M in FY2025 versus kr 44.9M in FY2021, a compound +42.1%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 14.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
183M SEK
Latest YoY
−14.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+29.9%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+52.2%
Revenue +42.1%/yr
FY21 kr 44.9M
FY22 kr 101M
FY23 kr 256M
FY24 kr 213M
FY25 kr 183M
Net income
FY21 −kr 12.8M
FY22 −kr 6.4M
FY23 kr 39.0M
FY24 kr 216K
FY25 −kr 14.8M

MAVEN screens 90% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Maven Wireless Sweden AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MAVEN

Peer Group

Communication Equipment · 303 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −90% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -11% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -21% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -29% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.27× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.17× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 8.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 34
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 98 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $120.43 $61.53 -49%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥921.00 ¥171.09 -81%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥65.60 ¥28.65 -56%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥429.90 ¥176.99 -59%
Nokia Oyj NOK $10.32 $3.77 -63%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $469.74 $236.33 -50%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥240.05 ¥43.67 -82%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 2,270 TWD 1,135 TWD -50%
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERICB kr 97.78 kr 157.82 +61%
ZTE Corporation 000063 ¥35.59 ¥19.72 -45%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Maven Wireless Sweden AB (MAVEN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 0.5200 versus a price of kr 4.97, about −90% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MAVEN?
Our model-based fair value for Maven Wireless Sweden AB is kr 0.5200 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 4.97.
What is the quality score of MAVEN?
Maven Wireless Sweden AB has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Maven Wireless Sweden AB (MAVEN)?
Maven Wireless Sweden AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 189M SEK (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MAVEN?
The net profit margin of Maven Wireless Sweden AB is about -11.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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