Check-Cap Ltd. (MBAI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Check-Cap Ltd. $4.99, price $3.29, upside +51.7%, quality 73 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.5700 – $24.40 · fair‑value band $3.49 – $6.49 · the $3.29 price screens below the $4.99 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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Check-Cap Ltd., a clinical stage medical diagnostics company, focuses on capsule-based screening technology for the detection of precancerous colorectal polyps. Check-Cap Ltd. was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Isfiya, Israel.
Stock analysis
Check-Cap Ltd. (MBAI) currently trades at $3.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.99, implying the stock looks roughly 34.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $4.99 per share, and 3 of the 8 models we run sit above the $3.29 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $0.6800, and 5 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $3.49 (bear) to $6.49 (bull), the price of $3.29 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Check-Cap Ltd. reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was $4.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $50.3M · P/E ratio 0.7 · P/S ratio 21.5 · EPS (TTM) $4.65 · Net margin 21.8% · Return on equity 39.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1,413% · Operating margin 21.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 229% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 52%, MBAI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $3.49Fair Value $4.99Bull $6.49
Price $3.29 · Upside +51.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($3.54 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 350 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/8 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+51.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)39.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets17.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)21.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)21.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Check-Cap Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MBAI
Frequently asked questions
Is Check-Cap Ltd. (MBAI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.99 versus a price of $3.29, about +52% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MBAI?
Our model-based fair value for Check-Cap Ltd. is $4.99 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.29.
What is the quality score of MBAI?
Check-Cap Ltd. has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Check-Cap Ltd. (MBAI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.99 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.49, optimistic scenario $6.49. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Check-Cap Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.99, about +52% upside versus a price of $3.29 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $3.49, optimistic scenario $6.49. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Check-Cap Ltd. (MBAI)?
Check-Cap Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.3M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Check-Cap Ltd. (MBAI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Check-Cap Ltd. it is $4.99 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of $3.29. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Check-Cap Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, MBAI trades below its calculated fair value: price $3.29, fair value $4.99, a gap of about +52% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MBAI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.29); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.99). For Check-Cap Ltd. the two are $1.70 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Check-Cap Ltd. worth?
The market values Check-Cap Ltd. at about $50.3M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is $3.29; our models calculate a fair value of $4.99 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MBAI?
Our models span a range for Check-Cap Ltd.: cautious scenario $3.49, base $4.99, optimistic $6.49 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price $3.29). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MBAI?
Check-Cap Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.7 (as of Oct 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $4.99 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Check-Cap Ltd. (MBAI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Check-Cap Ltd. (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity 39.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 73/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MBAI from its 52-week high?
Check-Cap Ltd. trades at $3.29, about 67% below its 52-week high of $10.01 and 229% above the low of $1.00 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.99 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Check-Cap Ltd.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Check-Cap Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price $3.29, calculated fair value $4.99 (+52%), Quality Score 73/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MBAI calculated?
We run Check-Cap Ltd. through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.99, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Check-Cap Ltd. currently trades 34 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Check-Cap Ltd. (MBAI)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $3.29. Our model-based fair value is $4.99, about +52% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Check-Cap Ltd. right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (73/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($3.49). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range ($3.49 to $6.49) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Check-Cap Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Check-Cap Ltd. (MBAI)?
The market capitalisation of Check-Cap Ltd. is $50.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Check-Cap Ltd. (MBAI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Check-Cap Ltd. is 21.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Check-Cap Ltd. (MBAI)?
Earnings per share at Check-Cap Ltd. are $4.65 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Check-Cap Ltd. (MBAI)?
The net margin of Check-Cap Ltd. is 21.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Check-Cap Ltd. (MBAI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Check-Cap Ltd. is 39.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Check-Cap Ltd. (MBAI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Check-Cap Ltd. is −1,413% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Check-Cap Ltd. (MBAI)?
The operating margin of Check-Cap Ltd. is 21.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much free cash flow does Check-Cap Ltd. (MBAI) generate?
The free cash flow of Check-Cap Ltd. is −$46.0K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Check-Cap Ltd. (MBAI) carry?
The net debt of Check-Cap Ltd. is $14.0K (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 4, 2026