Mitrabara Adiperdana PT (MBAP) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · ID · Market cap 1.7T IDR
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from 0.0200 IDR to 311.09 IDR (+1,555,350.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +5.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (388.86 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1,180 IDR – 8,259 IDR · fair‑value band 233.32 IDR – 388.86 IDR · the 1,470 IDR price screens above the 311.09 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
Mitrabara Adiperdana PT (MBAP) currently trades at 1,470 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 311.09 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 78.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Mitrabara Adiperdana PT generated revenue of 161M IDR at a net margin of 1.1%. Revenue declined 7.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 70.2M IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 233.32 IDR (bear case) to 388.86 IDR (bull case); at 1,470 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -5% fair-value upside, at -79%, MBAP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (1,555 IDR) versus Earnings-Based (155.55 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Mitrabara Adiperdana Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in coal mining, trading, and industrial businesses. It holds interests in coal mining located in Malinau Regency, North Kalimantan. The company also operates biomass power plants; provides management and plantation farming services; and engages in shrimp farming.
Full company description
PT Mitrabara Adiperdana Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in coal mining, trading, and industrial businesses. It holds interests in coal mining located in Malinau Regency, North Kalimantan. The company also operates biomass power plants; provides management and plantation farming services; and engages in shrimp farming. It sells its products in South Korea, Indonesia, China, New Zealand, Japan, Singapore, and the Philippines. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia. PT Mitrabara Adiperdana Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Wahana Sentosa Cemerlang.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Mitrabara Adiperdana PT reported revenue of 163M IDR in FY2025 versus 310M IDR in FY2021, a compound −14.9%/yr. Reported net income was 1.5M IDR in FY2025, compounding −64.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +2.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
MBAP screens 79% overvalued. Compare with China Shenhua Energy Company →
Peer Group
Thermal Coal · 99 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥44.07 | ¥34.97 | -21% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹2,965 | ₹891.11 | -70% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥25.08 | ¥23.90 | -5% |
| Yankuang Energy Group 600188 | ¥22.09 | ¥13.24 | -40% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹409.30 | ₹464.01 | +13% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥13.93 | ¥13.91 | -0% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥26.48 | ¥20.72 | -22% |
| Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 | ¥16.27 | ¥7.20 | -56% |
| PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk, ADRO | 2,520 IDR | 3,037 IDR | +21% |
| PT Adaro Andalan Indonesia Tbk AADI | 9,350 IDR | 13,935 IDR | +49% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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