Madhya Bharat Agro Products Limited (MBAPL) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹53.6B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +20.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 75% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹155.96). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (₹28.19 to ₹155.96). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹3.93 – ₹10,637 · fair‑value band ₹28.19 – ₹155.96 · the ₹164.73 price screens above the ₹41.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Madhya Bharat Agro Products Limited (MBAPL) currently trades at ₹164.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹41.61, implying the stock looks roughly 74.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Madhya Bharat Agro Products Limited generated revenue of ₹18.7B at a net margin of 8.0%. Revenue grew 35.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 31.5%. Net debt stands at ₹8.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹28.19 (bear case) to ₹155.96 (bull case); at ₹164.73, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -17% fair-value upside, at -75%, MBAPL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹147.60) versus Dividend Discount (₹1.60). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Madhya Bharat Agro Products Limited manufactures and sells phosphatic fertilizers and industrial chemicals in India. The company offers single super phosphate (SSP); nitrogen, phosphate, and potassium (NPK) and di-ammonium phosphate (DAP) complex fertilizers; beneficiated rock phosphate; secondary nutrients, including casma products; supplements and organic …
Full company description
Madhya Bharat Agro Products Limited manufactures and sells phosphatic fertilizers and industrial chemicals in India. The company offers single super phosphate (SSP); nitrogen, phosphate, and potassium (NPK) and di-ammonium phosphate (DAP) complex fertilizers; beneficiated rock phosphate; secondary nutrients, including casma products; supplements and organic products; sulphuric and phosphoric acid; granulated, boronated, zincated boronated magnesium, ZIBO, zincated, and urea SSP; muriate of potash and zincated APS; and sulphur bentonite, potash, and PROM products. It sells its products under the Bharat and Annadata brands. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Bhilwara, India. Madhya Bharat Agro Products Limited is a subsidiary of Ostwal Phoschem (India) Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Madhya Bharat Agro Products Limited reported revenue of ₹18.7B in FY2026 versus ₹2.8B in FY2022, a compound +60.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.5B in FY2026, compounding +27.4%/yr from FY2022.
MBAPL screens 75% overvalued. Compare with Corteva, Inc →
Peer Group
Agricultural Inputs · 177 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $76.22 | $27.81 | -64% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | C$93.60 | C$81.69 | -13% |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥27.65 | ¥21.26 | -23% |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $120.01 | $161.00 | +34% |
| SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 | 122.90 SAR | 127.31 SAR | +4% |
| Yara International ASA YAR | kr 418.10 | kr 67.25 | -84% |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥29.82 | ¥42.12 | +41% |
| Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 | ¥45.86 | ¥38.01 | -17% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹2,089 | ₹1,129 | -46% |
| UPL Limited UPL | ₹570.50 | ₹387.06 | -32% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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