Mobility Global Inc (MBGL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 7, 2026: fair value of Mobility Global Inc $18.93, price $17.37, upside +9.0%, quality 72 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Mobility Global, Inc. provides mobility intelligence, offering critical data and analytics across the full vehicle lifecycle.
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Mobility Global, Inc. provides mobility intelligence, offering critical data and analytics across the full vehicle lifecycle. Its portfolio of brands and products includes CARFAX, automotiveMastermind, Polk Automotive Solutions, and Market Scan, supporting automakers, suppliers, dealer groups, media, financial institutions, and consumers with data, forecast, insights, technology, and innovation. The company was formerly known as S&P Global Mobility Holding Company and changed its name to Mobility Global, Inc. in February 2026. The company was incorporated in 2025 and is based in Centreville, Virginia.
Stock analysis
Mobility Global Inc (MBGL) currently trades at $17.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.93, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 8.2%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $24.05 per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the $17.37 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $3.73, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $14.20 (bear) to $23.66 (bull), the price of $17.37 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Mobility Global Inc reported revenue of $1.8B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2023, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was $140M in FY2025, compounding −7.3%/yr from FY2023.
Key figures
Market cap $5.1B · P/E ratio 41.4 · P/S ratio 3.31 · EPS (TTM) $0.4200 · Net margin 8.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2% · Operating margin 25.6% · Revenue (TTM) $1.8B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 9%, MBGL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $14.20Fair Value $18.93Bull $23.66
Price $17.37 · Upside +9.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.3233 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV$6.56$7.69$8.6674
FCF DCF$18.72$30.49$48.6171
Growth DCF$18.82$30.14$47.2470
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF$18.72$30.49$48.6171
Owner Earnings$17.49$28.51$45.4668
5Y Revenue Exit$12.00$18.43$26.5766
5Y EBITDA Exit$21.87$37.57$56.3767
5Y P/E Exit$11.55$17.55$23.9064
10Y Revenue Exit$13.99$20.53$29.3561
10Y EBITDA Exit$20.51$33.77$52.3561
10Y P/E Exit$13.99$19.92$27.2858
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$2.98$10.93$14.7558
Lynch FV$2.61$3.73$4.8555
PEG = 1.0$2.61$3.73$4.8552
EPV$6.56$7.69$8.6674
Multiples
P/E Multiple$9.19$12.25$15.3163
P/S Multiple$5.58$7.44$9.3058
P/B Multiple$5.58$7.44$9.3055
EV/EBIT$17.79$23.93$30.0666
EV/EBITDA$26.27$35.23$44.1967
EV/Revenue$8.70$12.68$16.6753
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$17.95$24.05$35.8954
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$18.82$30.14$47.2470
Rev-Margin DCF$12.00$18.56$26.5366
Economic Profit
Residual Income$24.28$22.48$21.7564
ROIC Compounder$6.56$7.69$8.6666
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$5.89$8.42$10.9461
P/S and P/B multiple show the same value here: both are capped by the same earnings anchor (earnings per share times 17), because margin and return on equity do not support the sector multiple.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.82/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.4%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.8% a year for the price and +4.5% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (22 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 351 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+9.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets0.0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)11.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)25.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mobility Global Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MBGL
Frequently asked questions
Is Mobility Global Inc (MBGL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $18.93 versus a price of $17.37, about +9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MBGL?
Our model-based fair value for Mobility Global Inc is $18.93 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $17.37.
What is the quality score of MBGL?
Mobility Global Inc has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mobility Global Inc (MBGL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $18.93 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $14.20, optimistic scenario $23.66. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mobility Global Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $18.93, about +9% upside versus a price of $17.37 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $14.20, optimistic scenario $23.66. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mobility Global Inc (MBGL)?
Mobility Global Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.8B (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Mobility Global Inc (MBGL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Mobility Global Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -0.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 2 years revenue grew +8.6 % per year. As of Oct 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MBGL use?
Our models discount Mobility Global Inc at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Mobility Global Inc that is -0.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Mobility Global Inc (MBGL) delivered so far?
Over the past 2 years revenue at Mobility Global Inc grew +8.6 % a year. The price currently implies -0.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Mobility Global Inc (MBGL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Mobility Global Inc (-0.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Mobility Global Inc (MBGL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.00 %: that much free cash flow Mobility Global Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Mobility Global Inc (MBGL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mobility Global Inc it is $18.93 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of $17.37. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mobility Global Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, MBGL trades below its calculated fair value: price $17.37, fair value $18.93, a gap of about +9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MBGL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($17.37); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($18.93). For Mobility Global Inc the two are $1.56 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mobility Global Inc worth?
The market values Mobility Global Inc at about $5.1B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is $17.37; our models calculate a fair value of $18.93 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MBGL?
Our models span a range for Mobility Global Inc: cautious scenario $14.20, base $18.93, optimistic $23.66 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price $17.37). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MBGL?
Mobility Global Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 41.4 (as of Oct 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $18.93 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 0.5, P/S 2.8, EV/EBITDA 7.4.
What is the PEG ratio of MBGL?
The PEG ratio of Mobility Global Inc is 0.84 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 4, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mobility Global Inc (MBGL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mobility Global Inc (as of Oct 4, 2026): debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 72/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Mobility Global Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mobility Global Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price $17.37, calculated fair value $18.93 (+9%), Quality Score 72/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MBGL calculated?
We run Mobility Global Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $18.93, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.3 % above its aggregate fair value. Mobility Global Inc currently trades 8 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mobility Global Inc (MBGL)?
The closing price on Oct 7, 2026 was $17.37. Our model-based fair value is $18.93, about +9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mobility Global Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Mobility Global Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Mobility Global Inc (MBGL)?
The market capitalisation of Mobility Global Inc is $5.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mobility Global Inc (MBGL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mobility Global Inc is 3.31 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mobility Global Inc (MBGL)?
Earnings per share at Mobility Global Inc are $0.4200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 41.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Mobility Global Inc (MBGL)?
The net margin of Mobility Global Inc is 8.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mobility Global Inc (MBGL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mobility Global Inc is 2.2% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mobility Global Inc (MBGL)?
The operating margin of Mobility Global Inc is 25.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mobility Global Inc (MBGL)?
Revenue at Mobility Global Inc is growing +6.6% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mobility Global Inc (MBGL)?
Earnings per share at Mobility Global Inc are growing −18.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Mobility Global Inc (MBGL) carry?
The net debt of Mobility Global Inc is $210M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 4, 2026