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Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (MBLY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN US60741F1049

MG Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock logo Thin data Sep 18, 2026

Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock

MBLY · US

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value $7.85 · Fairly valued (−2%)
✓Quality 70/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +14.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -20.7% net margin (FY2025)
✓generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
!Narrow moat 15/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$47.02 $6.56 Fair Value $7.85 Oct 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

47‑month range $6.56 – $47.02 · fair‑value band $6.08 – $10.07 · the $8.02 price screens above the $7.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

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Company profile

Mobileye Global Inc. develops and deploys advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technologies and solutions in the United States, Europe, China, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Mobileye and Moovit.

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Mobileye Global Inc. develops and deploys advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technologies and solutions in the United States, Europe, China, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Mobileye and Moovit. It offers end-to-end ADAS and autonomous driving solutions, including Base ADAS, a front camera that delivers a combination of intelligent safety features to avoid unsafe driving situations; Cloud-Enhanced ADAS, which leverages crowdsourced data to offer accurate localization; safer, smoother, and natural driving experience; and Mobileye Surround ADAS that offer eyes-on/hands-off functionality for highway ODDs with features, such as automatic lane change, front and rear collision avoidance, traffic jam assist, and a Highway Pilot function, as well as includes DXP support that enables customers to customize the driving experience. It also provides Mobileye SuperVision, a eyes-on/hands-off driver assist system for autonomous vehicles; Mobileye Chauffeur, an eyes-off/hands-off solution for consumer vehicles; and Mobileye Drive, a fleet-focused end-to-end self-driving system that enables automakers, public transportation companies, and transportation network operators to offer a no-driver solution for robotaxis, ride-pooling, public transport, and goods delivery. In addition, it offers EyeQ SoC that provide drivers with basic safety features covered by front-facing sensing, such as collision warning, lane departure warnings, pedestrian and cyclist collision warning, headway monitoring and warning, speed limit indicator, blind spot detection, and others; True Redundancy, which is an AI system architecture; and Road Experience Management solutions. It provides its products and services to original equipment manufacturers through automotive suppliers, as well as fleet owners and operators. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Jerusalem, Israel. Mobileye Global Inc. is a subsidiary of Intel Corporation.

Stock analysis

Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (MBLY) currently trades at $8.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.85, implying the stock looks roughly 2.2% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $9.79 per share, and 6 of the 11 models we run sit above the $8.02 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $3.39, and 5 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $6.08 (bear) to $10.07 (bull), the price of $8.02 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock reported revenue of $1.9B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$392M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $7.9B · P/S ratio 3.94 · EPS (TTM) $−4.70 · Net margin −20.7% · Return on equity −40.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.9% · Operating margin −19.4% · Revenue (TTM) $2.0B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −2%, MBLY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $6.08 Fair Value $7.85 Bull $10.07
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $10.06 $15.93 $25.65 77
Owner Earnings $2.94 $3.46 $4.32 75
Growth DCF $10.00 $15.34 $23.87 75
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $10.06 $15.93 $25.65 77
Owner Earnings $2.94 $3.46 $4.32 75
5Y Revenue Exit $6.15 $7.97 $10.25 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $5.40 $6.42 $7.52 74
10Y Revenue Exit $7.39 $9.54 $12.50 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $6.97 $8.43 $10.28 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $3.11 $3.39 $3.68 64
EV/Revenue $4.22 $5.05 $5.89 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.31 $9.79 $14.61 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $10.00 $15.34 $23.87 75
Rev-Margin DCF $6.15 $8.03 $10.46 71

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 81
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 96
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 29
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.4%
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−22.0% (2020) → −23.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−4.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+4.5%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+12.5%
Projected 2028 (sales)+11.2%
Projected 2029 (sales)+9.9%
Projected 2030 (sales)+8.6%

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Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (95 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

Compare Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 654 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −60% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −19% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 27% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.67× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 3.94× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 15.2× · Priciest 25%
PEG 0.65× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)31 · sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 36

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock · Fair Value
$7.85 −2%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MBLY

Frequently asked questions

Is Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (MBLY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.85 versus a price of $8.02, about −2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MBLY?
Our model-based fair value for Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock is $7.85 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.02.
What is the quality score of MBLY?
Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (MBLY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $7.85 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.08, optimistic scenario $10.07. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $7.85, about −2% upside versus a price of $8.02 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $6.08, optimistic scenario $10.07. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (MBLY)?
Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
What growth is priced into Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (MBLY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock would have to grow free cash flow by -4.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.4 % per year. As of Sep 18, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MBLY use?
Our models discount Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.16, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock that is -4.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (MBLY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock grew +14.4 % a year. The price currently implies -4.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (MBLY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (-4.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (MBLY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.02 %: that much free cash flow Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (MBLY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock it is $7.85 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of $8.02. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, MBLY trades above its calculated fair value: price $8.02, fair value $7.85, a gap of about −2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MBLY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.02); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($7.85). For Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock the two are $0.1700 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock worth?
The market values Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock at about $7.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is $8.02; our models calculate a fair value of $7.85 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MBLY?
Our models span a range for Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock: cautious scenario $6.08, base $7.85, optimistic $10.07 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price $8.02). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of MBLY?
The PEG ratio of Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock is 0.65 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (MBLY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity −40.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MBLY from its 52-week high?
Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock trades at $8.02, about 60% below its 52-week high of $20.18 and 24% above the low of $6.47 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $7.85 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price $8.02, calculated fair value $7.85 (−2%), Quality Score 70/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MBLY calculated?
We run Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $7.85, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (MBLY)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $8.02. Our model-based fair value is $7.85, about −2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock

How large is the market capitalisation of Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (MBLY)?
The market capitalisation of Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock is $7.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (MBLY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock is 3.94 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (MBLY)?
Earnings per share at Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock are $−4.70. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (MBLY)?
The net margin of Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock is −20.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (MBLY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock is −40.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (MBLY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock is −5.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (MBLY)?
The operating margin of Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock is −19.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (MBLY)?
Revenue at Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock is growing +27.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (MBLY)?
Earnings per share at Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock are growing +99.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock (MBLY) hold?
Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock holds more cash than debt, $1.8B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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