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Mercari, Inc (MCARY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $4.0B

Price$12.61
Fair Value$7.74
Upside-38.6%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $5.59 – $10.40

Analysis

Mercari, Inc (MCARY) currently trades at $12.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.74 — implying the stock looks roughly 38.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Mercari, Inc. plans, develops, and operates Mercari marketplace applications in Japan and the United States. The company also engages in the payment, finance, and cryptoasset related businesses. Mercari, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.