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Mobico Group (MCG) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · GB · Market cap 136M GBX

Pricep0.2280
Fair Valuep1.65
Upside+623.7%
Quality93/100
Evidence: Low Range p0.7900 – p2.52

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

Analysis

Mobico Group (MCG) currently trades at p0.2280, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is p1.65 — implying the stock looks roughly 623.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 93/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Mobico Group Plc designs, mobilizes, and operates transport services worldwide. The company operates through UK, German Rail, ALSA, and North America segments. It owns and leases vehicles. The company also provides student transportation, urban bus, regional/long haul coach, and rail; corporate shuttle; transit and shuttle; and charter, private hire, and leisure. In addition, it operates alternative fuel technologies, such as electric and hydrogen. The company has a fleet of approximately 27,300 vehicles, including sedans, minivans, cars and minibuses, double-decker buses, and long-haul coaches. It provides its services to cities, businesses, healthcare, and education providers, as well as direct to customers. The company was formerly known as National Express Group PLC and changed its name to Mobico Group Plc in June 2023. Mobico Group Plc was incorporated in 1991 and is based in Birmingham, the United Kingdom.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Mobico Group (MCG) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of p1.65 versus a price of p0.2280 — about +624% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of MCG?
Our 21-model fair value for Mobico Group is p1.65 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is p0.2280.
What is the quality score of MCG?
Mobico Group has a Quality Score of 93/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.