MediaCo Holding (MDIA) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $62.2M
MediaCo Holding
MDIA · US
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price −3.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 88% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.1445). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.0595 to $0.1445) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.4150 – $17.00 · fair‑value band $0.0595 – $0.1445 · the $0.9473 price screens above the $0.1105 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
MediaCo Holding (MDIA) currently trades at $0.9473, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1105, implying the stock looks roughly 88.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, MediaCo Holding generated revenue of $137M at a net margin of -49.2%. Revenue grew 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -94.4%. Net debt stands at $111M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0595 (bear case) to $0.1445 (bull case); at $0.9473, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at -88%, MDIA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($0.4100) versus Dividend Discount ($0.1000). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
MediaCo Holding Inc. owns and operates radio, television, digital advertising, and premium programming in the United States. It operates in two segments, Audio and Video. The company engages in the radio stations of WQHT-FM and WBLS-FM radio stations in the New York City area.
Full company description
MediaCo Holding Inc. owns and operates radio, television, digital advertising, and premium programming in the United States. It operates in two segments, Audio and Video. The company engages in the radio stations of WQHT-FM and WBLS-FM radio stations in the New York City area. It also offers events, including sponsorships, ticket sales, licensing, and syndication services. MediaCo Holding Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
MediaCo Holding reported revenue of $133M in FY2025 versus $41.7M in FY2021, a compound +33.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$66.7M in FY2025.
MDIA screens 88% overvalued. Compare with Nexstar Media Group →
Peer Group
Broadcasting · 69 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Broadcasting stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nexstar Media Group NXST | $183.71 | $78.52 | -57% |
| SES S.A SESG | €7.46 | €15.46 | +107% |
| PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, EMTK | 505.00 IDR | 1,094 IDR | +117% |
| MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V MFEB | €3.64 | €5.38 | +48% |
| Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation 600959 | ¥3.07 | ¥1.14 | -63% |
| Sun TV Network Limited SUNTV | ₹489.20 | ₹586.58 | +20% |
| MBC Group 4072 | 20.06 SAR | 19.56 SAR | -2% |
| Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co 600037 | ¥7.13 | ¥3.64 | -49% |
| PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, SCMA | 206.00 IDR | 229.91 IDR | +12% |
| Zee Entertainment Enterprises Limited ZEEL | ₹92.61 | ₹53.22 | -43% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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