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Mapletree Industrial Trust (ME8U) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · SG · Market cap 5.5B SGD

MI Mapletree Industrial Trust ME8U · SG
Price1.91 SGD
Fair Value1.41 SGD
Upside-26.2%
Quality65/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 32.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
6.61% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Wide moat 66/100
Evidence: High Range 1.18 SGD – 1.65 SGD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price −1.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 26% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.65 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

2.29 SGD 1.70 SGD Fair Value 1.41 SGD May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.70 SGD – 2.29 SGD · fair‑value band 1.18 SGD – 1.65 SGD · the 1.91 SGD price screens above the 1.41 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Mapletree Industrial Trust (ME8U) currently trades at 1.91 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.41 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 26.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Mapletree Industrial Trust generated revenue of 673M SGD at a net margin of 32.9%. Revenue declined 8.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.3%. Net debt stands at 2.2B SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.18 SGD (bear case) to 1.65 SGD (bull case); at 1.91 SGD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -26%, ME8U screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 1.06 SGD 1.84 SGD 2.93 SGD 80
Residual Income 1.36 SGD 1.34 SGD 1.20 SGD 76
P/S Multiple 0.9900 SGD 1.32 SGD 1.65 SGD 58
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1.04 SGD 1.93 SGD 3.26 SGD 38
5Y Revenue Exit 0.6500 SGD 1.32 SGD 2.17 SGD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 1.10 SGD 2.16 SGD 3.40 SGD 41
10Y Revenue Exit 0.7500 SGD 1.39 SGD 2.24 SGD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 1.06 SGD 1.96 SGD 3.16 SGD 37
Multiples
P/S Multiple 0.9900 SGD 1.32 SGD 1.65 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 0.9900 SGD 1.32 SGD 1.65 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 1.92 SGD 2.77 SGD 3.61 SGD 53
EV/EBITDA 1.34 SGD 2.00 SGD 2.65 SGD 54
EV/Revenue 0.4900 SGD 0.9600 SGD 1.43 SGD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.9200 SGD 1.23 SGD 1.84 SGD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1.06 SGD 1.84 SGD 2.93 SGD 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.36 SGD 1.34 SGD 1.20 SGD 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (1.93 SGD) versus Asset-Based (1.23 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 673M SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.0%
Net margin 32.9%
Return on equity 4.3%
Free cash flow 433M SGD FY2026
P/E ratio 27.3
More key figures
Operating margin 56.5%
EPS (TTM) 0.0700 SGD
Dividend yield 6.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -3.8%
Net debt 2.2B SGD FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 99
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Mapletree Industrial Trust is a real estate investment trust (REIT) listed on the Main Board of Singapore Exchange. Its principal investment strategy is to invest in a diversified portfolio of income-producing real estate used primarily for industrial purposes in Singapore and income producing real estate used primarily as data centres worldwide beyond …

Full company description

Mapletree Industrial Trust is a real estate investment trust (REIT) listed on the Main Board of Singapore Exchange. Its principal investment strategy is to invest in a diversified portfolio of income-producing real estate used primarily for industrial purposes in Singapore and income producing real estate used primarily as data centres worldwide beyond Singapore, as well as real estate-related assets. As at 31 March 2026, MIT's total assets under management was S8.3 billion dollar, which comprised 55 properties in North America (including 13 data centres held through the joint venture with Mapletree Investments Pte Ltd), 79 properties in Singapore and two properties in Japan. MIT's property portfolio includes Data Centres, Hi-Tech Buildings and Business Space and General Industrial Buildings. MIT is managed by Mapletree Industrial Trust Management Ltd. and sponsored by Mapletree Investments Pte Ltd. Mapletree Industrial Trust was incorporated in 2008 in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Mapletree Industrial Trust reported revenue of 644M SGD in FY2026 versus 554M SGD in FY2022, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was 221M SGD in FY2026, compounding −15.7%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 74/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
644M SGD
Latest YoY
−5.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.6%
Revenue +3.8%/yr
FY22 554M SGD
FY23 611M SGD
FY24 661M SGD
FY25 681M SGD
FY26 644M SGD
Net income −15.7%/yr
FY22 439M SGD
FY23 291M SGD
FY24 121M SGD
FY25 345M SGD
FY26 221M SGD

ME8U screens 26% overvalued. Compare with Prologis, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mapletree Industrial Trust Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ME8U

Peer Group

REIT - Industrial · 59 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −26% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 33% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 56% · Below median
Revenue growth -8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.36× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.83× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 6.44× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 10.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 13.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.21× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 6
FUTURE 0 · sector 17
PAST 17 · sector 28
HEALTH 82 · sector 77
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Prologis, Inc PLD $140.73 $61.28 -56%
Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA $323.58 $162.43 -50%
Extra Space Storage Inc EXR $149.40 $78.38 -48%
EastGroup Properties, Inc EGP $203.45 $81.41 -60%
Lineage, Inc LINE $41.50 $47.91 +15%
CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) A17U 2.44 SGD 2.00 SGD -18%
CubeSmart CUBE $41.22 $25.06 -39%
First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc FR $63.34 $20.72 -67%
Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc REXR $36.39 $20.69 -43%
STAG Industrial, Inc STAG $36.94 $21.64 -41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Mapletree Industrial Trust (ME8U) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.41 SGD versus a price of 1.91 SGD, about −26% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ME8U?
Our model-based fair value for Mapletree Industrial Trust is 1.41 SGD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1.91 SGD.
What is the quality score of ME8U?
Mapletree Industrial Trust has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Mapletree Industrial Trust (ME8U)?
Mapletree Industrial Trust reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 673M SGD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ME8U?
The net profit margin of Mapletree Industrial Trust is about 32.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 32.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Mapletree Industrial Trust pay a dividend?
Mapletree Industrial Trust currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.61% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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