Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V MXN 72.22, price MXN 52.17, upside +38.4%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 28.07 MXN – 63.76 MXN · fair‑value band 54.16 MXN – 90.27 MXN · the 52.17 MXN price screens below the 72.22 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Megacable Holdings, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the installation, operation, and maintenance of cable television, internet, and telephone signal distribution systems. It operates through Cable, Internet, Telephone services, Corporate, and Other segments.
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Megacable Holdings, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the installation, operation, and maintenance of cable television, internet, and telephone signal distribution systems. It operates through Cable, Internet, Telephone services, Corporate, and Other segments. The company operates cable television systems in various states of Mexico; and offers high-speed internet services to residential and commercial customers, as well as digital fixed telephony services to residential and commercial customers. It also produces and broadcasts TV programs, as well as offers point-of-sale, virtual private network, and other network services. The company provides video services to 3,539,822 subscribers; Internet services to 3,833,893 subscribers; and telephony services to 3,031,119 subscribers. It is also involved in the leasing of equipment and infrastructure for providing cable, internet, and telephone services; provision of technical, sales, and administrative staff services, as well as connectivity solutions; and operation of "Video rola' channel. The company was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Guadalajara, Mexico. Megacable Holdings, S. A. B. de C. V. operates as a subsidiary of Nacional Financiera, S.N.C., Institución de Banca de Desarrollo.
Stock analysis
Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO) currently trades at 52.17 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 72.22 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 27.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 117.82 MXN per share, and 21 of the 26 models we run sit above the 52.17 MXN price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 27.23 MXN, and 5 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 54.16 MXN (bear) to 90.27 MXN (bull), the price of 52.17 MXN sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V reported revenue of 35.5B MXN in FY2025 versus 24.6B MXN in FY2021, a compound +9.6%/yr. Reported net income was 2.8B MXN in FY2025, compounding −5.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 53.1B MXN (≈ $3.0B) · P/E ratio 35.2 · P/S ratio 2.77 · EPS (TTM) 1.94 MXN · Dividend yield 5.4% · Net margin 7.9% · Return on equity 9.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at 38%, MEGACPO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 54.16 MXNFair Value 72.22 MXNBull 90.27 MXN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.42 MXN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.3% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MXN ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+1.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.29% → 19%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Mexico: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.1% a year for the price and +3.5% for the forecasts.
Compare Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Media & Publishing” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Communication Services · 1192 stocks
Beats the sector median on 10/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside+40% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Above median
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)22% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)5.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.69× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MEGACPO
Frequently asked questions
Is Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 72.22 MXN versus a price of 52.17 MXN, about +38% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MEGACPO?
Our model-based fair value for Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V is 72.22 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 52.17 MXN.
What is the quality score of MEGACPO?
Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 72.22 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 54.16 MXN, optimistic scenario 90.27 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 72.22 MXN, about +38% upside versus a price of 52.17 MXN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 54.16 MXN, optimistic scenario 90.27 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO)?
Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 27.7B MXN (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V pay a dividend?
Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.40% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V would have to grow free cash flow by +0.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MEGACPO use?
Our models discount Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.60, country premium for Mexico. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V that is +0.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V grew +9.7 % a year. The price currently implies +0.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (+0.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.24 %: that much free cash flow Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V it is 72.22 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 52.17 MXN. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MEGACPO trades below its calculated fair value: price 52.17 MXN, fair value 72.22 MXN, a gap of about +38% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MEGACPO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (52.17 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (72.22 MXN). For Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V the two are 20.05 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V worth?
The market values Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V at about 53.1B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 52.17 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 72.22 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MEGACPO?
Our models span a range for Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V: cautious scenario 54.16 MXN, base 72.22 MXN, optimistic 90.27 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 52.17 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MEGACPO?
Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 35.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 72.22 MXN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.7, P/B 1.5, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 5.6.
What is the PEG ratio of MEGACPO?
The PEG ratio of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V is 2.69 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.2%, debt of 0.69 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MEGACPO from its 52-week high?
Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V trades at 52.17 MXN, about 18% below its 52-week high of 63.76 MXN and 10% above the low of 47.29 MXN (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 72.22 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Gray Media, Inc, GMA7, SM Culture & Contents Co, ABS, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 52.17 MXN, calculated fair value 72.22 MXN (+38%), Quality Score 58/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MEGACPO calculated?
We run Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 72.22 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V currently trades 38 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 52.17 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 72.22 MXN, about +38% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (54.16 MXN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V
How large is the market capitalisation of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO)?
The market capitalisation of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V is 53.1B MXN (≈ $3.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V is 2.77 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO)?
Earnings per share at Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V are 1.94 MXN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 35.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO)?
The dividend yield of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V is 5.4% (payout 145%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO)?
The net margin of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V is 7.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V is 9.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V is 10.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO)?
The operating margin of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V is 22.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO)?
Revenue at Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V is growing +9.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO)?
Earnings per share at Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V are growing −31.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V (MEGACPO) carry?
The net debt of Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V is 20.7B MXN (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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