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Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS (MEPET) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · TR · ISIN TREMEPT00012

MM Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS

MEPET · IS

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

Fair value 28.98 TRY · Undervalued (+37%)
!Quality 39/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +51.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.2% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/8)
!Narrow moat 41/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value

31.40 TRY 1.97 TRY Fair Value 28.98 TRY Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.97 TRY – 31.40 TRY · fair‑value band 26.38 TRY – 31.04 TRY · the 21.14 TRY price screens below the 28.98 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret A.S., opens, operates, and leases fuel stations and highway facilities in Turkey and Georgia. It operates through Plant, Fuel, and Shopping Center segments.

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Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret A.S., opens, operates, and leases fuel stations and highway facilities in Turkey and Georgia. It operates through Plant, Fuel, and Shopping Center segments. The company engages in the market, cafe, auto tire, and auto repair services; buying and selling of petroleum products and its derivatives; obtaining dealerships for petroleum companies; tourism-related activities; and acquiring, establishing, operating, and leasing tourism-related facilities, hotels, restaurants, shops, and buffets, as well as petroleum loading, unloading, storage, distribution, and filling facilities. It also operates rest areas and fuel stations for bus passengers, private vehicle passengers, and long-distance drivers; and shopping malls and highways. Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret A.S. was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey.

Stock analysis

Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS (MEPET) currently trades at 21.14 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 28.98 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 27.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 39.39 TRY per share, and 3 of the 6 models we run sit above the 21.14 TRY price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 16.04 TRY, and 3 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 26.38 TRY (bear) to 31.04 TRY (bull), the price of 21.14 TRY sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS reported revenue of 4.1B TRY in FY2024 versus 395M TRY in FY2020, a compound +80.0%/yr. Reported net income was −254M TRY in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap 1.5B TRY (≈ $31.9M) · P/S ratio 0.35 · EPS (TTM) −2.49 TRY · Net margin −6.1% · Return on equity 12.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.2% · Operating margin 11.5% · Revenue (TTM) 3.9B TRY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 99% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −63% fair-value upside, at 37%, MEPET screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 26.38 TRY Fair Value 28.98 TRY Bull 31.04 TRY
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV 16.30 TRY 18.39 TRY 20.14 TRY 74
ROIC Compounder 16.30 TRY 18.39 TRY 20.14 TRY 72
EV/EBITDA 31.76 TRY 42.04 TRY 52.33 TRY 67
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV 16.30 TRY 18.39 TRY 20.14 TRY 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT 29.77 TRY 39.39 TRY 49.01 TRY 66
EV/EBITDA 31.76 TRY 42.04 TRY 52.33 TRY 67
EV/Revenue 20.36 TRY 28.70 TRY 37.04 TRY 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 11.97 TRY 16.04 TRY 23.94 TRY 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 16.30 TRY 18.39 TRY 20.14 TRY 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 66
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 49/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.1%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+90.2%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+51.3%
Revenue growth 16 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.5%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.9% (2019) → 3.8% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 111 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/7 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +99% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −4% · Below median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)83 · sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 15
PAST (return on equity)51 · sector 34
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 55

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE ₹1,258 ₹850.01 −32%
Valero Energy Corporation VLO $390.42 $127.32 −67%
Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC $395.93 $133.18 −66%
Phillips 66 PSX $259.47 $58.32 −78%
Neste Oyj NESTE €32.89 €5.85 −82%
Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 83.60 TWD 20.61 TWD −75%
Indian Oil Corporation IOC ₹135.11 ₹394.46 +192%
HF Sinclair Corporation DINO $107.84 $52.19 −52%
SK Innovation Co 096770 144,800 KRW 53,541 KRW −63%
Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL ₹304.50 ₹846.81 +178%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MEPET

Frequently asked questions

Is Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS (MEPET) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 28.98 TRY versus a price of 21.14 TRY, about +37% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MEPET?
Our model-based fair value for Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS is 28.98 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 21.14 TRY.
What is the quality score of MEPET?
Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS (MEPET)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 28.98 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 26.38 TRY, optimistic scenario 31.04 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 28.98 TRY, about +37% upside versus a price of 21.14 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 26.38 TRY, optimistic scenario 31.04 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS (MEPET)?
Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.9B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS (MEPET)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS it is 28.98 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 21.14 TRY. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, MEPET trades below its calculated fair value: price 21.14 TRY, fair value 28.98 TRY, a gap of about +37% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MEPET?
No. The price is what the market pays today (21.14 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (28.98 TRY). For Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS the two are 7.84 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS worth?
The market values Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS at about 1.5B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 21.14 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 28.98 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MEPET?
Our models span a range for Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS: cautious scenario 26.38 TRY, base 28.98 TRY, optimistic 31.04 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 21.14 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS (MEPET)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 12.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MEPET from its 52-week high?
Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS trades at 21.14 TRY, about 38% below its 52-week high of 33.86 TRY and 99% above the low of 10.64 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 28.98 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Reliance Industries Limited, Valero Energy Corporation, Marathon Petroleum Corporation, Phillips 66, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 21.14 TRY, calculated fair value 28.98 TRY (+37%), Quality Score 39/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MEPET calculated?
We run Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 28.98 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS currently trades 37 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS (MEPET)?
The closing price on Sep 14, 2026 was 21.14 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 28.98 TRY, about +37% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (26.38 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS

How large is the market capitalisation of Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS (MEPET)?
The market capitalisation of Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS is 1.5B TRY (≈ $31.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS (MEPET)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS is 0.35 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS (MEPET)?
Earnings per share at Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS are −2.49 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS (MEPET)?
The net margin of Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS is −6.1% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS (MEPET)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS is 12.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS (MEPET)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS is 5.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS (MEPET)?
The operating margin of Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS is 11.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS (MEPET)?
Revenue at Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS is growing −3.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +90.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS (MEPET)?
Earnings per share at Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS are growing −2.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS (MEPET) generate?
The free cash flow of Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS is −213M TRY (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS (MEPET) carry?
The net debt of Mepet Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri Sanayi Ticaret AS is 95.6M TRY (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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