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Magna Finance Tbk (MGNA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Magna Finance Tbk IDR 27, price IDR 210, upside -87.2%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Financial Services · ID · ISIN ID1000132103

MF Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Magna Finance Tbk

MGNA · JK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 26.99 IDR · Strongly overvalued (−87%)
!Quality 40/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +19.2 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -7.9% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 2.9%
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/11)
!Narrow moat 14/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range 12.79 IDR to 46.67 IDR

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

298.00 IDR 6.00 IDR Fair Value 26.99 IDR Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 6.00 IDR – 298.00 IDR · fair‑value band 12.79 IDR – 46.67 IDR · the 210.00 IDR price screens above the 26.99 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Magna Investama Mandiri Tbk operates hotel in Indonesia. It also engages in the rental of apartments. The company was formerly known as PT Magna Finance Tbk and changed its name to PT Magna Investama Mandiri Tbk in November 2017. PT Magna Investama Mandiri Tbk was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

Magna Finance Tbk (MGNA) currently trades at 210.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 26.99 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 678.2% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 45.16 IDR per share, and 0 of the 11 models we run sit above the 210.00 IDR price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 5.54 IDR, and 11 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 12.79 IDR (bear) to 46.67 IDR (bull), the price of 210.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Magna Finance Tbk reported revenue of 49.6B IDR in FY2025 versus 5.4B IDR in FY2021, a compound +73.9%/yr. Reported net income was 1.5B IDR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 310B IDR (≈ $31.0M) · P/E ratio 2.5 · P/S ratio 0.07 · EPS (TTM) 36.02 IDR · Net margin 2.9% · Return on equity −9.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0% · Operating margin −16.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −87%, MGNA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (5.54 IDR to 102.79 IDR). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 12.79 IDR Fair Value 26.99 IDR Bull 46.67 IDR
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (26.35 IDR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 33.80 IDR 81.75 IDR 162.28 IDR 71
Residual Income 7.24 IDR 7.30 IDR 6.92 IDR 68
Owner Earnings 37.89 IDR 102.79 IDR 245.11 IDR 66
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 37.89 IDR 102.79 IDR 245.11 IDR 66
5Y P/E Exit 5.06 IDR 14.63 IDR 26.03 IDR 64
10Y P/E Exit 14.10 IDR 29.45 IDR 50.83 IDR 59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 2.90 IDR 20.22 IDR 28.38 IDR 61
Lynch FV 10.45 IDR 14.93 IDR 19.40 IDR 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 4.16 IDR 5.54 IDR 6.93 IDR 63
P/B Multiple 5.44 IDR 7.25 IDR 9.06 IDR 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 4.71 IDR 6.32 IDR 9.43 IDR 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 33.80 IDR 81.75 IDR 162.28 IDR 71
Rev-Margin DCF 21.62 IDR 45.16 IDR 94.58 IDR 65
Economic Profit
Residual Income 7.24 IDR 7.30 IDR 6.92 IDR 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 83
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.8%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.2%
Revenue growth 14 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−61.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−61.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−62% vs −20%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−67% → 24%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 16.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) Structural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+58.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +54.6% a year for the price.

MGNA screens 678% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Credit Services · 333 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −87% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −17% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −16% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.19× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 2.5× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 2.3× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 49
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)40 · sector 58
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 66

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $362.04 $227.35 −37%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $555.89 $356.78 −36%
American Express Company AXP $305.07 $206.40 −32%
Capital One Financial Corporation COF $200.55 $125.36 −37%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,009 ₹1,142 +13%
PayPal Holdings PYPL $52.89 $99.46 +88%
Affirm Holdings AFRM $71.77 $16.24 −77%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,006 ₹1,424 +42%
Synchrony Financial, SYF $72.67 $137.28 +89%
SoFi Technologies, Inc SOFI $17.16 $5.57 −68%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Magna Finance Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MGNA

Frequently asked questions

Is Magna Finance Tbk (MGNA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 26.99 IDR versus a price of 210.00 IDR, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MGNA?
Our model-based fair value for Magna Finance Tbk is 26.99 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 210.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of MGNA?
Magna Finance Tbk has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Magna Finance Tbk (MGNA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 26.99 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario 12.79 IDR, optimistic scenario 46.67 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Magna Finance Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 26.99 IDR, about −87% upside versus a price of 210.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 12.79 IDR, optimistic scenario 46.67 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Magna Finance Tbk (MGNA)?
Magna Finance Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 43.3B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Magna Finance Tbk (MGNA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Magna Finance Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +58.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 6 years revenue grew +2.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MGNA use?
Our models discount Magna Finance Tbk at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.14, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Magna Finance Tbk that is +58.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Magna Finance Tbk (MGNA) delivered so far?
Over the past 6 years revenue at Magna Finance Tbk grew +2.7 % a year. The price currently implies +58.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Magna Finance Tbk (MGNA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Magna Finance Tbk (+58.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Magna Finance Tbk (MGNA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.54 %: that much free cash flow Magna Finance Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Magna Finance Tbk (MGNA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Magna Finance Tbk it is 26.99 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 210.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Magna Finance Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MGNA trades above its calculated fair value: price 210.00 IDR, fair value 26.99 IDR, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MGNA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (210.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (26.99 IDR). For Magna Finance Tbk the two are 183.01 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Magna Finance Tbk worth?
The market values Magna Finance Tbk at about 310B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 210.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 26.99 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MGNA?
Our models span a range for Magna Finance Tbk: cautious scenario 12.79 IDR, base 26.99 IDR, optimistic 46.67 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 210.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MGNA?
Magna Finance Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 2.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 26.99 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: EV/EBITDA 2.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Magna Finance Tbk (MGNA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Magna Finance Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −9.3%, debt of 1.19 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MGNA from its 52-week high?
Magna Finance Tbk trades at 210.00 IDR, about 35% below its 52-week high of 324.00 IDR and 678% above the low of 27.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 26.99 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Magna Finance Tbk?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Visa Inc, Mastercard Incorporated, American Express Company, Capital One Financial Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Magna Finance Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 210.00 IDR, calculated fair value 26.99 IDR (−87%), Quality Score 40/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MGNA calculated?
We run Magna Finance Tbk through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 26.99 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Magna Finance Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Magna Finance Tbk (MGNA)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was 210.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 26.99 IDR, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Magna Finance Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (46.67 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (12.79 IDR to 46.67 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Magna Finance Tbk (MGNA) come from?
Earnings per share at Magna Finance Tbk grew −12.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −14.6 %, EBIT margin +15.7 %, tax rate −2.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −9.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Magna Finance Tbk

How large is the market capitalisation of Magna Finance Tbk (MGNA)?
The market capitalisation of Magna Finance Tbk is 310B IDR (≈ $31.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Magna Finance Tbk (MGNA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Magna Finance Tbk is 0.07 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Magna Finance Tbk (MGNA)?
Earnings per share at Magna Finance Tbk are 36.02 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 2.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Magna Finance Tbk (MGNA)?
The net margin of Magna Finance Tbk is 2.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Magna Finance Tbk (MGNA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Magna Finance Tbk is −9.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Magna Finance Tbk (MGNA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Magna Finance Tbk is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Magna Finance Tbk (MGNA)?
The operating margin of Magna Finance Tbk is −16.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Magna Finance Tbk (MGNA)?
Revenue at Magna Finance Tbk is growing −16.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Magna Finance Tbk (MGNA)?
Earnings per share at Magna Finance Tbk are growing +57.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Magna Finance Tbk (MGNA) carry?
The net debt of Magna Finance Tbk is 56.3B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 14.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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