Mogul Energy International Inc (MGUY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $1.1M
Mogul Energy International Inc
MGUY · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −3.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 10% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0027). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Our model range runs from $0.0027 (bear) to $0.0027 (bull), base $0.0027. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 46/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0017 – $0.4000 · the $0.0030 price screens above the $0.0027 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Mogul Energy International Inc (MGUY) currently trades at $0.0030, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0027, implying the stock looks roughly 10.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $94.8K. Revenue grew 190.6% year over year. Net debt stands at $9.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -10%, MGUY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($0.0092) versus Growth DCF ($0.0005). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Mogul Energy International, Inc. operates as an oil and gas exploration and development company. It operates the Stafford prospect located in Jackson County, Texas; the Alkek prospect situated in Goliad County, Texas; and the East Mathis prospect located in San Patricio County, Texas, as well as prospects across the Gulf Coast area of Texas.
Full company description
Mogul Energy International, Inc. operates as an oil and gas exploration and development company. It operates the Stafford prospect located in Jackson County, Texas; the Alkek prospect situated in Goliad County, Texas; and the East Mathis prospect located in San Patricio County, Texas, as well as prospects across the Gulf Coast area of Texas. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. On September 20, 2017, Mogul Energy International Inc. filed a voluntary petition for liquidation under Chapter 7 in the US Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2011 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Mogul Energy International Inc reported revenue of $48.5M in FY2025 versus $51.5K in FY2011, a compound +63.1%/yr. Reported net income was $6.2M in FY2025.
MGUY screens 10% overvalued. Compare with Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc →
Peer Group
Trucking · 49 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Trucking median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Trucking stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc ODFL | $209.44 | $102.54 | -51% |
| XPO, Inc XPO | $208.94 | $56.52 | -73% |
| TFI International Inc TFII | $145.94 | $110.79 | -24% |
| Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings KNX | $71.31 | $8.58 | -88% |
| Saia, Inc SAIA | $364.66 | $127.94 | -65% |
| Schneider National, Inc SNDR | $35.74 | $12.37 | -65% |
| RXO, Inc RXO | $22.71 | $3.48 | -85% |
| ArcBest Corporation ARCB | $140.63 | $45.89 | -67% |
| Werner Enterprises, Inc WERN | $37.85 | $8.24 | -78% |
| Dazhong Transportation (Group) Co 600611 | ¥5.25 | ¥1.20 | -77% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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