Mogul Energy International Inc (MGUY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Mogul Energy International Inc $0.00, price $0.00, upside +4.4%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Mogul Energy International Inc for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0017 – $0.4000 · fair‑value band $0.0028 – $0.0029 · the $0.0027 price screens below the $0.0028 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
Follow Mogul Energy International in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Mogul Energy International is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Mogul Energy International, Inc. operates as an oil and gas exploration and development company. It operates the Stafford prospect located in Jackson County, Texas; the Alkek prospect situated in Goliad County, Texas; and the East Mathis prospect located in San Patricio County, Texas, as well as prospects across the Gulf Coast area of Texas.
Show more
Mogul Energy International, Inc. operates as an oil and gas exploration and development company. It operates the Stafford prospect located in Jackson County, Texas; the Alkek prospect situated in Goliad County, Texas; and the East Mathis prospect located in San Patricio County, Texas, as well as prospects across the Gulf Coast area of Texas. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. On September 20, 2017, Mogul Energy International Inc. filed a voluntary petition for liquidation under Chapter 7 in the US Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of Texas.
Stock analysis
Mogul Energy International Inc (MGUY) currently trades at $0.0027, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0028, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 4.3%).
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 16 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.0028 (bear) to $0.0029 (bull), the price of $0.0027 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Mogul Energy International Inc reported revenue of $48.5M in FY2025 versus $51.5K in FY2011, a compound +63.1%/yr. Reported net income was $6.2M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $1.6M · P/S ratio 17.4 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0100 · Net margin 12.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −28.8% · Operating margin −376% · Revenue growth (YoY) +191% · Free cash flow $923K.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −60% fair-value upside, at 4%, MGUY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0028Fair Value $0.0028Bull $0.0029
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+105.0%
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+63.1%
’11
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−35.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−35.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2011 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−2,055% → −1%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+8.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.9% a year for the price.
Compare Mogul Energy International Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Trucking · 47 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/5 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside+0.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets−67.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)12.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth190.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Trucking median · lower = cheaper
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)39· sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 39
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 9
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 34
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mogul Energy International Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MGUY
Frequently asked questions
Is Mogul Energy International Inc (MGUY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0028 versus a price of $0.0027, about +4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MGUY?
Our model-based fair value for Mogul Energy International Inc is $0.0028 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0027.
What is the quality score of MGUY?
Mogul Energy International Inc has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mogul Energy International Inc (MGUY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0028 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0028, optimistic scenario $0.0029. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mogul Energy International Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0028, about +4% upside versus a price of $0.0027 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.0028, optimistic scenario $0.0029. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into Mogul Energy International Inc (MGUY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Mogul Energy International Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +8.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 14 years revenue grew +63.1 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MGUY use?
Our models discount Mogul Energy International Inc at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Mogul Energy International Inc that is +8.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Mogul Energy International Inc (MGUY) delivered so far?
Over the past 14 years revenue at Mogul Energy International Inc grew +63.1 % a year. The price currently implies +8.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Mogul Energy International Inc (MGUY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Mogul Energy International Inc (+8.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Mogul Energy International Inc (MGUY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.87 %: that much free cash flow Mogul Energy International Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Mogul Energy International Inc (MGUY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mogul Energy International Inc it is $0.0028 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $0.0027. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mogul Energy International Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, MGUY trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0027, fair value $0.0028, a gap of about +4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MGUY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0027); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0028). For Mogul Energy International Inc the two are $0.0001 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mogul Energy International Inc worth?
The market values Mogul Energy International Inc at about $1.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $0.0027; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0028 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MGUY?
Our models span a range for Mogul Energy International Inc: cautious scenario $0.0028, base $0.0028, optimistic $0.0029 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $0.0027). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mogul Energy International Inc (MGUY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mogul Energy International Inc (as of Sep 27, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MGUY from its 52-week high?
Mogul Energy International Inc trades at $0.0027, about 50% below its 52-week high of $0.0054 and 59% above the low of $0.0017 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0028 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mogul Energy International Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc, XPO, Inc, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings, TFI International Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mogul Energy International Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $0.0027, calculated fair value $0.0028 (+4%), Quality Score 53/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MGUY calculated?
We run Mogul Energy International Inc through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0028, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Mogul Energy International Inc currently trades 4 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mogul Energy International Inc (MGUY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.0027. Our model-based fair value is $0.0028, about +4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mogul Energy International Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0028). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The models converge in a tight band ($0.0028 to $0.0029), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Mogul Energy International Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Mogul Energy International Inc (MGUY)?
The market capitalisation of Mogul Energy International Inc is $1.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mogul Energy International Inc (MGUY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mogul Energy International Inc is 17.4 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mogul Energy International Inc (MGUY)?
Earnings per share at Mogul Energy International Inc are $−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Mogul Energy International Inc (MGUY)?
The net margin of Mogul Energy International Inc is 12.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mogul Energy International Inc (MGUY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mogul Energy International Inc is −28.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mogul Energy International Inc (MGUY)?
The operating margin of Mogul Energy International Inc is −376% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mogul Energy International Inc (MGUY)?
Revenue at Mogul Energy International Inc is growing +191% versus a year earlier (3y avg +105%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Mogul Energy International Inc (MGUY) carry?
The net debt of Mogul Energy International Inc is $9.7M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 10.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Mogul Energy International Inc in the live analysis
One click puts Mogul Energy International Inc on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Thin data
Sep 27, 2026