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Menthobi Karyatama Raya (MKTR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Menthobi Karyatama Raya IDR 100, price IDR 123, upside -19.1%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · ID

MK Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Menthobi Karyatama Raya

MKTR · JK

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value 99.53 IDR · Overvalued (−19%)
!Quality 58/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +40.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Narrow moat 41/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range 55.35 IDR to 180.81 IDR
!Weak on valuation: 8 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

289.60 IDR 102.43 IDR Fair Value 99.53 IDR Nov 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

47‑month range 102.43 IDR – 289.60 IDR · fair‑value band 55.35 IDR – 180.81 IDR · the 123.00 IDR price screens above the 99.53 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Menthobi Karyatama Raya Tbk engages in the cultivation and development of palm oil plantations; and crude palm oil processing activities and related derivative products primarily in Indonesia. The company is involved in the rental of heavy equipment; and provision of waste management, logistics, and technical and managerial consulting services.

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PT Menthobi Karyatama Raya Tbk engages in the cultivation and development of palm oil plantations; and crude palm oil processing activities and related derivative products primarily in Indonesia. The company is involved in the rental of heavy equipment; and provision of waste management, logistics, and technical and managerial consulting services. It also provides palm kernel and fresh fruit bunches; and management services, as well as develops and manages plasma plantations. The company was founded in 2017 and is based in Jakarta Timur, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

Menthobi Karyatama Raya (MKTR) currently trades at 123.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 99.53 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 23.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 164.41 IDR per share, and 11 of the 22 models we run sit above the 123.00 IDR price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 16.71 IDR, and 11 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 55.35 IDR (bear) to 180.81 IDR (bull), the price of 123.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Menthobi Karyatama Raya reported revenue of 1.2T IDR in FY2025 versus 512B IDR in FY2021, a compound +24.9%/yr. Reported net income was 54.9B IDR in FY2025, compounding +3.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 1.5T IDR (≈ $82.9M) · P/E ratio 26.9 · P/S ratio 1.19 · EPS (TTM) 4.57 IDR · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 4.4% · Return on equity 8.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −19%, MKTR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 55.35 IDR Fair Value 99.53 IDR Bull 180.81 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (3.36 IDR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 41.67 IDR 43.07 IDR 43.37 IDR 76
FCF DCF 73.67 IDR 119.89 IDR 254.77 IDR 75
Growth DCF 66.37 IDR 127.42 IDR 236.07 IDR 75
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 73.67 IDR 119.89 IDR 254.77 IDR 75
5Y Revenue Exit 65.23 IDR 139.24 IDR 293.79 IDR 67
5Y P/E Exit 45.77 IDR 132.79 IDR 247.89 IDR 66
10Y Revenue Exit 64.88 IDR 178.53 IDR 247.48 IDR 65
10Y P/E Exit 55.89 IDR 142.82 IDR 277.88 IDR 59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 30.94 IDR 215.80 IDR 302.84 IDR 63
Lynch FV 93.17 IDR 133.11 IDR 173.04 IDR 61
PEG = 1.0 93.17 IDR 133.11 IDR 173.04 IDR 57
EPV 17.53 IDR 24.60 IDR 30.34 IDR 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 10.52 IDR 17.62 IDR 22.87 IDR 68
DDM Multi-Stage 10.52 IDR 16.71 IDR 18.95 IDR 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 71.67 IDR 95.56 IDR 119.45 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 58.02 IDR 77.36 IDR 96.70 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 58.02 IDR 77.36 IDR 96.70 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 91.73 IDR 136.10 IDR 180.46 IDR 65
EV/Revenue 53.62 IDR 94.34 IDR 135.05 IDR 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 27.65 IDR 37.05 IDR 55.30 IDR 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 66.37 IDR 127.42 IDR 236.07 IDR 75
Rev-Margin DCF 70.64 IDR 165.12 IDR 351.51 IDR 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income 41.67 IDR 43.07 IDR 43.37 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 17.53 IDR 24.60 IDR 30.34 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 115.09 IDR 164.41 IDR 213.73 IDR 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+23.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+11.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.30% → 10%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+24.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +21.3% a year for the price.

MKTR screens 24% overvalued. Compare with Archer-Daniels-Midland Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 296 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −19% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 21% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.99× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.22× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.14× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 13.4× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)8 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)35 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)51 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)26 · sector 47

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM $82.15 $38.02 −54%
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥41.86 ¥114.67 +174%
Bunge Global SA BG $111.48 $56.19 −50%
Tyson Foods, Inc TSN $51.36 $37.28 −27%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.90 ¥12.08 −19%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 196.70 kr 280.64 +43%
SalMar ASA SALM kr 561.00 kr 171.05 −70%
Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 ¥163.80 ¥311.94 +90%
United Plantations Berhad 2089 33.20 MYR 36.52 MYR +10%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.10 THB 55.71 THB +152%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Menthobi Karyatama Raya (MKTR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 99.53 IDR versus a price of 123.00 IDR, about −19% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MKTR?
Our model-based fair value for Menthobi Karyatama Raya is 99.53 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 123.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of MKTR?
Menthobi Karyatama Raya has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Menthobi Karyatama Raya (MKTR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 99.53 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 55.35 IDR, optimistic scenario 180.81 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Menthobi Karyatama Raya stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 99.53 IDR, about −19% upside versus a price of 123.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 55.35 IDR, optimistic scenario 180.81 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Menthobi Karyatama Raya (MKTR)?
Menthobi Karyatama Raya reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Menthobi Karyatama Raya pay a dividend?
Menthobi Karyatama Raya currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.29% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Menthobi Karyatama Raya (MKTR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Menthobi Karyatama Raya would have to grow free cash flow by +24.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +40.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MKTR use?
Our models discount Menthobi Karyatama Raya at 14.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.78, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Menthobi Karyatama Raya that is +24.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Menthobi Karyatama Raya (MKTR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Menthobi Karyatama Raya grew +40.5 % a year. The price currently implies +24.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Menthobi Karyatama Raya (MKTR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Menthobi Karyatama Raya (+24.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Menthobi Karyatama Raya (MKTR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.50 %: that much free cash flow Menthobi Karyatama Raya produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Menthobi Karyatama Raya (MKTR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Menthobi Karyatama Raya it is 99.53 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 123.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Menthobi Karyatama Raya stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MKTR trades above its calculated fair value: price 123.00 IDR, fair value 99.53 IDR, a gap of about −19% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MKTR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (123.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (99.53 IDR). For Menthobi Karyatama Raya the two are 23.47 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Menthobi Karyatama Raya worth?
The market values Menthobi Karyatama Raya at about 1.5T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 123.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 99.53 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MKTR?
Our models span a range for Menthobi Karyatama Raya: cautious scenario 55.35 IDR, base 99.53 IDR, optimistic 180.81 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 123.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MKTR?
Menthobi Karyatama Raya trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 99.53 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.2, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 13.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Menthobi Karyatama Raya (MKTR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Menthobi Karyatama Raya (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.8%, debt of 0.99 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MKTR from its 52-week high?
Menthobi Karyatama Raya trades at 123.00 IDR, about 24% below its 52-week high of 162.50 IDR and 9% above the low of 113.26 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 99.53 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Menthobi Karyatama Raya?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Menthobi Karyatama Raya stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 123.00 IDR, calculated fair value 99.53 IDR (−19%), Quality Score 58/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MKTR calculated?
We run Menthobi Karyatama Raya through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 99.53 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Menthobi Karyatama Raya itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Menthobi Karyatama Raya (MKTR)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 123.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 99.53 IDR, about −19% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Menthobi Karyatama Raya right now?
The model range is unusually wide (55.35 IDR to 180.81 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Menthobi Karyatama Raya

How large is the market capitalisation of Menthobi Karyatama Raya (MKTR)?
The market capitalisation of Menthobi Karyatama Raya is 1.5T IDR (≈ $82.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Menthobi Karyatama Raya (MKTR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Menthobi Karyatama Raya is 1.19 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Menthobi Karyatama Raya (MKTR)?
Earnings per share at Menthobi Karyatama Raya are 4.57 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Menthobi Karyatama Raya (MKTR)?
The dividend yield of Menthobi Karyatama Raya is 1.3% (payout 34.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Menthobi Karyatama Raya (MKTR)?
The net margin of Menthobi Karyatama Raya is 4.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Menthobi Karyatama Raya (MKTR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Menthobi Karyatama Raya is 8.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Menthobi Karyatama Raya (MKTR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Menthobi Karyatama Raya is 10.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Menthobi Karyatama Raya (MKTR)?
The operating margin of Menthobi Karyatama Raya is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Menthobi Karyatama Raya (MKTR)?
Revenue at Menthobi Karyatama Raya is growing +20.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +25.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Menthobi Karyatama Raya (MKTR)?
Earnings per share at Menthobi Karyatama Raya are growing +40.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Menthobi Karyatama Raya (MKTR) carry?
The net debt of Menthobi Karyatama Raya is 590B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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