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MarketWise, Inc (MKTW) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $44.2M

MI MarketWise, Inc logo MarketWise, Inc MKTW · US
Price$20.25
Fair Value$14.43
Upside-28.7%
Quality55/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 1.3% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
5.10% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: Medium Range $12.22 – $18.24 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +6.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 29% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($18.24). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$221.28 $7.94 Fair Value $14.43 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.94 – $221.28 · fair‑value band $12.22 – $18.24 · the $20.25 price screens above the $14.43 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

MarketWise, Inc (MKTW) currently trades at $20.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.43, implying the stock looks roughly 28.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, MarketWise, Inc generated revenue of $322M at a net margin of 1.3%. Revenue declined 7.8% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $64.1M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 10.1. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $12.22 (bear case) to $18.24 (bull case); at $20.25, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -29%, MKTW screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $154.48 $184.88 $230.15 72
Gordon GGM $12.61 $13.47 $14.75 70
Growth-Adj P/E $22.60 $32.29 $41.97 68
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $151.33 $183.71 $235.83 38
Owner Earnings $46.88 $52.15 $60.63 31
5Y Revenue Exit $190.60 $270.74 $387.25 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $194.24 $277.02 $386.60 41
5Y P/E Exit $100.24 $114.63 $132.32 38
10Y Revenue Exit $166.87 $217.73 $272.43 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $172.94 $221.04 $272.10 37
10Y P/E Exit $124.12 $135.30 $144.82 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $14.48 $17.70 $19.91 54
EPV $180.00 $198.41 $213.35 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $12.61 $13.47 $14.75 70
DDM Multi-Stage $12.61 $14.59 $17.07 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $31.95 $42.60 $53.24 63
P/S Multiple $27.15 $36.21 $45.26 58
EV/EBIT $348.77 $456.16 $563.56 53
EV/EBITDA $267.35 $347.60 $427.86 54
EV/Revenue $243.76 $336.83 $429.91 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $154.48 $184.88 $230.15 72
Rev-Margin DCF $190.60 $274.26 $376.12 67
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $180.00 $198.41 $213.35 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $22.60 $32.29 $41.97 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($336.83) versus Dividend Discount ($13.47). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $322M
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.8%
Net margin 1.3%
Free cash flow $45.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.1
Operating margin -1.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $1.66
Dividend yield 5.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -28.8%
Net cash $64.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 62
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

MarketWise, Inc. operates a content and technology multi-brand platform for self-directed investors in the United States and Internationally. Its platform provides financial research, software, education, and tools to navigate the financial markets through subscription businesses.

Full company description

MarketWise, Inc. operates a content and technology multi-brand platform for self-directed investors in the United States and Internationally. Its platform provides financial research, software, education, and tools to navigate the financial markets through subscription businesses. The company also offers various investment strategies, such as value investing, income, growth, commodities, cryptocurrencies, venture, crowdfunded investing, biotechnology, mutual funds, options, and trading; and investment research product portfolio through a range of media, including desktops, laptops, tablets, and mobile. In addition, it provides a diversified product portfolio for various financial research products under the Stansberry Research, Chaikin Analytics, Brownstone Research, InvestorPlace, Altimetry, Wide Moat Research, Brownstone Research, The Opportunistic Trader, and TradeSmith brand names. Further, the company develops screeners, monitors, portfolio management tools, and proprietary indicators that produce a composite score to rank publicly traded companies. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Baltimore, Maryland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MarketWise, Inc reported revenue of $328M in FY2025 versus $549M in FY2021, a compound −12.1%/yr. Reported net income was $5.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$328M
Latest YoY
−19.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.7%
Revenue −12.1%/yr
FY21 $549M
FY22 $512M
FY23 $448M
FY24 $409M
FY25 $328M
Net income
FY21 −$1.0B
FY22 $18.0M
FY23 $1.8M
FY24 $7.1M
FY25 $5.6M

MKTW screens 29% overvalued. Compare with S&P Global Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MarketWise, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MKTW

Peer Group

Financial Data & Stock Exchanges · 54 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −29% · Top 25%
Return on assets 13% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.1% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Financial Data & Stock Exchanges median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.14× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 69
PAST 0 · sector 77
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 32

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Financial Data & Stock Exchanges stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
S&P Global Inc SPGI $450.84 $196.36 -56%
CME Group CME $245.05 $145.51 -41%
Moody's Corporation MCO $504.46 $194.82 -61%
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc ICE $139.65 $75.95 -46%
Deutsche Börse AG DB1 €260.90 €142.42 -45%
Nasdaq, Inc NDAQ $88.08 $41.12 -53%
MSCI Inc MSCI $604.71 $214.91 -64%
Coinbase Global, Inc COIN $160.49 $57.05 -64%
Cboe Global Markets, Inc CBOE $273.41 $136.64 -50%
Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network Co 300033 ¥215.56 ¥55.36 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MarketWise, Inc (MKTW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.43 versus a price of $20.25, about −29% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MKTW?
Our model-based fair value for MarketWise, Inc is $14.43 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $20.25.
What is the quality score of MKTW?
MarketWise, Inc has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of MarketWise, Inc (MKTW)?
MarketWise, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $322M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MKTW?
The net profit margin of MarketWise, Inc is about 1.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does MarketWise, Inc pay a dividend?
MarketWise, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.10% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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