Lombard et Medot SA (MLCAC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Lombard et Medot SA stock €28.20, price €16.40, upside +72.0%, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value 30%+ above price?Yes
Quality 50+?No
In an uptrend?Yes
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €7.55 – €16.80 · fair‑value band €20.28 – €36.06 · the €16.40 price screens below the €28.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 24, 2026.
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Lombard & Medot SA engages in the production and sale of champagne in France and internationally. It offers champagnes under the Lombard brand. Lombard & Medot SA was founded in 1925 and is based in Épernay, France. Lombard & Medot SA is a subsidiary of Lombard Holding.
Stock analysis
Lombard et Medot SA (MLCAC) currently trades at €16.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €28.20, implying the stock looks roughly 41.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €28.20 per share, and 6 of the 7 models we run sit above the €16.40 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €4.42, and 1 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €20.28 (bear) to €36.06 (bull), the price of €16.40 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Lombard et Medot SA reported revenue of €9.7M in FY2025 versus €8.6M in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€1.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €8.0M Micro · P/E ratio 103.6 · P/S ratio 0.80 · EPS (TTM) €−2.19 · Net margin −10.9% · Return on equity −8.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% · Operating margin −3.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 22% fair-value upside, at 72%, MLCAC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€20.28Fair Value €28.20Bull€36.06
Price €16.40 · Upside +72.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.7% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−10.4% (2020) → −5.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−8.3%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −10.3% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 92 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lombard et Medot SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MLCAC
Frequently asked questions
Is Lombard et Medot SA (MLCAC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €28.20 versus a price of €16.40, about +72% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MLCAC?
Our model-based fair value for Lombard et Medot SA is €28.20 (as of Oct 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €16.40.
What is the quality score of MLCAC?
Lombard et Medot SA has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lombard et Medot SA (MLCAC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €28.20 (as of Oct 24, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario €20.28, optimistic scenario €36.06. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lombard et Medot SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €28.20, about +72% upside versus a price of €16.40 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €20.28, optimistic scenario €36.06. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lombard et Medot SA (MLCAC)?
Lombard et Medot SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €9.7M (latest available figure, as of Oct 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Lombard et Medot SA (MLCAC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Lombard et Medot SA would have to grow free cash flow by -8.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.5 % per year. As of Oct 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MLCAC use?
Our models discount Lombard et Medot SA at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for France. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Lombard et Medot SA that is -8.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Lombard et Medot SA (MLCAC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Lombard et Medot SA grew +8.5 % a year. The price currently implies -8.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Lombard et Medot SA (MLCAC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Lombard et Medot SA (-8.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Lombard et Medot SA (MLCAC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 36.75 %: that much free cash flow Lombard et Medot SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Lombard et Medot SA (MLCAC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lombard et Medot SA it is €28.20 per share (as of Oct 24, 2026), against a price of €16.40. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lombard et Medot SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 24, 2026, MLCAC trades below its calculated fair value: price €16.40, fair value €28.20, a gap of about +72% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MLCAC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€16.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€28.20). For Lombard et Medot SA the two are €11.80 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lombard et Medot SA worth?
The market values Lombard et Medot SA at about €8.0M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 24, 2026). Per share that is €16.40; our models calculate a fair value of €28.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MLCAC?
Our models span a range for Lombard et Medot SA: cautious scenario €20.28, base €28.20, optimistic €36.06 per share (as of Oct 24, 2026, price €16.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MLCAC?
Lombard et Medot SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 103.6 (as of Oct 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €28.20 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lombard et Medot SA (MLCAC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lombard et Medot SA (as of Oct 24, 2026): return on equity −8.0%, debt of 0.99 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MLCAC from its 52-week high?
Lombard et Medot SA trades at €16.40, about 1% below its 52-week high of €16.50 and 29% above the low of €12.70 (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €28.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lombard et Medot SA?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Kweichow Moutai Co, Wuliangye Yibin Co, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co, Pernod Ricard SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lombard et Medot SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 24, 2026: price €16.40, calculated fair value €28.20 (+72%), Quality Score 49/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MLCAC calculated?
We run Lombard et Medot SA through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €28.20, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Lombard et Medot SA currently trades 42 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lombard et Medot SA (MLCAC)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was €16.40. Our model-based fair value is €28.20, about +72% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lombard et Medot SA right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€20.28). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Lombard et Medot SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Lombard et Medot SA (MLCAC)?
The market capitalisation of Lombard et Medot SA is €8.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lombard et Medot SA (MLCAC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lombard et Medot SA is 0.80 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lombard et Medot SA (MLCAC)?
Earnings per share at Lombard et Medot SA are €−2.19 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 103.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Lombard et Medot SA (MLCAC)?
The net margin of Lombard et Medot SA is −10.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lombard et Medot SA (MLCAC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lombard et Medot SA is −8.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lombard et Medot SA (MLCAC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lombard et Medot SA is 0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lombard et Medot SA (MLCAC)?
The operating margin of Lombard et Medot SA is −3.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much net debt does Lombard et Medot SA (MLCAC) carry?
The net debt of Lombard et Medot SA is €12.4M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 24, 2026