Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (MLCFD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme €579, price €1,130, upside -48.7%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €325.88 – €1,130 · fair‑value band €482.11 – €579.29 · the €1,130 price screens above the €579.29 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux engages in the provision of railway solutions in France. It offers railway equipment, including locomotives, shunters, railcars, funiculars, bogies, and railway gearboxes; and warehouse management systems, CFD technology.
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Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux engages in the provision of railway solutions in France. It offers railway equipment, including locomotives, shunters, railcars, funiculars, bogies, and railway gearboxes; and warehouse management systems, CFD technology. The company also provides veterinary inspection cases, oxygen equipment for the Army, and helium leak analysis benches for aeronautics. The company was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in Paris, France.
Stock analysis
Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (MLCFD) currently trades at €1,130, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €579.29, implying the stock looks roughly 95.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €653.80 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the €1,130 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at €93.33, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €482.11 (bear) to €579.29 (bull), the price of €1,130 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme reported revenue of €974K in FY2025 versus €919K in FY2021, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was €1.0M in FY2025, compounding +13.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €31.1M · P/E ratio 29.9 · P/S ratio 31.9 · EPS (TTM) €37.80 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 107% · Return on equity 5.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at −49%, MLCFD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €482.11Fair Value €579.29Bull €579.29
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€2.06 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.9% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+16.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.12% vs 10%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−66% → −21%
2025 sits 84% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+33.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +30.9% a year for the price.
Compare Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Railroads · 115 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−49% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Below median
Return on assets−2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)107% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−93% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.68× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)29.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.73× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)36.29× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF104.5× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)20· sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)66· sector 88
DIVIDEND (yield)62· sector 44
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MLCFD
Frequently asked questions
Is Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (MLCFD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €579.29 versus a price of €1,130, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MLCFD?
Our model-based fair value for Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme is €579.29 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1,130.
What is the quality score of MLCFD?
Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (MLCFD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €579.29 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario €482.11, optimistic scenario €579.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €579.29, about −49% upside versus a price of €1,130 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €482.11, optimistic scenario €579.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (MLCFD)?
Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €974K (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme pay a dividend?
Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.10% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (MLCFD)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme would have to grow free cash flow by +33.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.5 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MLCFD use?
Our models discount Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.05, country premium for France. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme that is +33.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (MLCFD) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme grew +5.5 % a year. The price currently implies +33.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (MLCFD) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (+33.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (MLCFD)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.09 %: that much free cash flow Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (MLCFD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme it is €579.29 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €1,130. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, MLCFD trades above its calculated fair value: price €1,130, fair value €579.29, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MLCFD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1,130); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€579.29). For Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme the two are €550.71 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme worth?
The market values Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme at about €31.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €1,130; our models calculate a fair value of €579.29 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MLCFD?
Our models span a range for Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme: cautious scenario €482.11, base €579.29, optimistic €579.29 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €1,130). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MLCFD?
Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 29.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €579.29 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 36.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (MLCFD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 5.1%, debt of 0.68 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MLCFD from its 52-week high?
Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme trades at €1,130, at its 52-week high of €1,130 and 45% above the low of €780.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €579.29 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Union Pacific Corporation, CSX Corporation, Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited, Norfolk Southern Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €1,130, calculated fair value €579.29 (−49%), Quality Score 65/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MLCFD calculated?
We run Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €579.29, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (MLCFD)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €1,130. Our model-based fair value is €579.29, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€579.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme
How large is the market capitalisation of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (MLCFD)?
The market capitalisation of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme is €31.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (MLCFD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme is 31.9 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (MLCFD)?
Earnings per share at Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme are €37.80 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (MLCFD)?
The dividend yield of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme is 3.1% (payout 92.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (MLCFD)?
The net margin of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme is 107% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (MLCFD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (MLCFD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme is −2.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (MLCFD)?
The operating margin of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme is −92.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much net debt does Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (MLCFD) carry?
The net debt of Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme is €12.7M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 37.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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