Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (MLCFD) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · FR · Market cap €29.7M
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from €432.62 to €636.69 (+47.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 39% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€803.55). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €325.88 – €1,100 · fair‑value band €482.13 – €803.55 · the €1,050 price screens above the €636.69 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme (MLCFD) currently trades at €1,050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €636.69, implying the stock looks roughly 39.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme generated revenue of €867K at a net margin of 65.3%. It earns a return on equity of 2.8%. Net debt stands at €12.7M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 20.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €482.13 (bear case) to €803.55 (bull case); at €1,050, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at -39%, MLCFD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€653.80) versus DCF Models (€99.40). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme engages in the provision of railway solutions in France. It offers railway equipment, including locomotives, shunters, railcars, funiculars, bogies, and railway gearboxes; and warehouse management systems, CFD technology.
Full company description
Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme engages in the provision of railway solutions in France. It offers railway equipment, including locomotives, shunters, railcars, funiculars, bogies, and railway gearboxes; and warehouse management systems, CFD technology. The company also provides veterinary inspection cases, oxygen equipment for the Army, and helium leak analysis benches for aeronautics. The company was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in Paris, France.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme reported revenue of €974K in FY2025 versus €919K in FY2021, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was €1.0M in FY2025, compounding +13.0%/yr from FY2021.
MLCFD screens 39% overvalued. Compare with Union Pacific Corporation →
Peer Group
Railroads · 111 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $301.75 | $144.60 | -52% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $49.41 | $12.85 | -74% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $92.91 | $35.00 | -62% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNI | $128.22 | $92.63 | -28% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $327.47 | $117.90 | -64% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $259.71 | $144.80 | -44% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥4.82 | ¥5.65 | +17% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.65 | ¥9.53 | +69% |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.85 | ¥6.24 | +29% |
| Hyundai Rotem Company 064350 | 167,700 KRW | 125,182 KRW | -25% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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