PT Mulia Industrindo Tbk, (MLIA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · ID · Market cap 1.6T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price −2.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 65% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (97.69 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 99.99 IDR – 608.78 IDR · fair‑value band 67.16 IDR – 97.69 IDR · the 234.00 IDR price screens above the 81.60 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
PT Mulia Industrindo Tbk, (MLIA) currently trades at 234.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 81.60 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 65.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Mulia Industrindo Tbk, generated revenue of 4.0T IDR at a net margin of -2.0%. Revenue declined 10.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.5%. Net debt stands at 382B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 67.16 IDR (bear case) to 97.69 IDR (bull case); at 234.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -65%, MLIA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (546.72 IDR) versus Earnings-Based (24.66 IDR). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Mulia Industrindo Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells glass in Indonesia, Asia, Australia, Europe, Africa, and the United States. It operates through Float Glass, Safety Glass, Glass Containers and Glass Block segments.
Full company description
PT Mulia Industrindo Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells glass in Indonesia, Asia, Australia, Europe, Africa, and the United States. It operates through Float Glass, Safety Glass, Glass Containers and Glass Block segments. The company offers plain and colored float glass; mugs and cups, as well as transparent and colored container glass used for packaging of food, beverages, and beer; glass blocks; and automotive safety glasses for front/rear door right/left door, rear quarter left/right, back door window, and windshield. It sells its products to distributors and glass processors. PT Mulia Industrindo Tbk was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Mulia Industrindo Tbk, reported revenue of 4.1T IDR in FY2025 versus 4.5T IDR in FY2021, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −4.5B IDR in FY2025.
of which total revenue −2.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.4 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
MLIA screens 65% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →
Peer Group
Building Products & Equipment · 247 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $469.98 | $212.34 | -55% |
| Johnson Controls International plc JCI | $142.81 | $45.65 | -68% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $68.61 | $17.35 | -75% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO | €76.62 | €101.60 | +33% |
| Geberit AG GEBN | CHF 523.20 | CHF 307.66 | -41% |
| Lennox International Inc LII | $543.93 | $363.09 | -33% |
| Kingspan Group KRX | €87.30 | €70.76 | -19% |
| Masco Corporation MAS | $78.04 | $54.36 | -30% |
| PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC | 1,420 IDR | 179.76 IDR | -87% |
| NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB | kr 36.03 | kr 25.37 | -30% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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