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Montepino Logística, SOCIMI, S.A (MLMTP) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · FR · Market cap €834M

ML Montepino Logística, SOCIMI, S.A MLMTP · PA
Price€10.00
Fair Value€4.66
Upside-53.4%
Quality51/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 135.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range €3.50 – €5.83 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +2.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 53% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€5.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

€10.80 €8.65 Fair Value €4.66 Jun 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

38‑month range €8.65 – €10.80 · fair‑value band €3.50 – €5.83 · the €10.00 price screens above the €4.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Montepino Logística, SOCIMI, S.A (MLMTP) currently trades at €10.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.66, implying the stock looks roughly 53.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at €62.0M. It earns a return on equity of 10.5%. Net debt stands at €651M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 10.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €3.50 (bear case) to €5.83 (bull case); at €10.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -53%, MLMTP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €7.98 €8.69 €10.69 76
Gordon GGM €2.97 €5.35 €7.37 70
DDM Multi-Stage €2.97 €4.89 €5.72 61
All 8 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €2.97 €5.35 €7.37 70
DDM Multi-Stage €2.97 €4.89 €5.72 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple €3.50 €4.66 €5.83 58
P/B Multiple €12.42 €16.55 €20.69 55
EV/EBIT €4.84 €7.38 €9.92 53
EV/Revenue €0.7400 €2.24 €3.75 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €4.80 €6.43 €9.60 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €7.98 €8.69 €10.69 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (€8.69) versus Multiples (€4.66). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €61.7M
Net margin 136%
Return on equity 10.5%
Free cash flow −€60.3M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.0
Operating margin 64.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €0.9700
Net debt €651M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 71
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 98
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 44
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Montepino Logística, SOCIMI, S.A., a real estate investment company, engages in the acquisition, rental, and management of logistics properties in Spain and Portugal. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Zaragoza, Spain.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Montepino Logística, SOCIMI, S.A reported revenue of €61.7M in FY2025 versus €13.9M in FY2021, a compound +45.1%/yr. Reported net income was €83.7M in FY2025, compounding +23.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€61.7M
Latest YoY
+29.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+33.2%
Revenue +45.1%/yr
FY21 €13.9M
FY22 €26.1M
FY23 €36.6M
FY24 €47.6M
FY25 €61.7M
Net income +23.2%/yr
FY21 €36.4M
FY22 €32.6M
FY23 −€157M
FY24 €34.0M
FY25 €83.7M

MLMTP screens 53% overvalued. Compare with Prologis, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Montepino Logística, SOCIMI, S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MLMTP

Peer Group

REIT - Industrial · 63 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −53% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 136% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 64% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.30× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.17× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 15.63× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 5
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 42 · sector 27
HEALTH 85 · sector 76
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Prologis, Inc PLD $143.42 $61.28 -57%
Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA $322.48 $172.80 -46%
Extra Space Storage Inc EXR $147.71 $78.38 -47%
EastGroup Properties, Inc EGP $213.10 $81.41 -62%
Lineage, Inc LINE $41.42 $47.91 +16%
CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) A17U 2.51 SGD 2.00 SGD -20%
CubeSmart CUBE $42.09 $25.06 -40%
First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc FR $66.99 $21.48 -68%
Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc REXR $39.00 $21.35 -45%
STAG Industrial, Inc STAG $41.11 $24.31 -41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Montepino Logística, SOCIMI, S.A (MLMTP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €4.66 versus a price of €10.00, about −53% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MLMTP?
Our model-based fair value for Montepino Logística, SOCIMI, S.A is €4.66 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €10.00.
What is the quality score of MLMTP?
Montepino Logística, SOCIMI, S.A has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Montepino Logística, SOCIMI, S.A (MLMTP)?
Montepino Logística, SOCIMI, S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €62.0M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MLMTP?
The net profit margin of Montepino Logística, SOCIMI, S.A is about 135.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 135.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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