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Mclaren Minerals Ltd (MML) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Mclaren Minerals Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Aug 25, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU

MM Thin data Aug 25, 2026

Mclaren Minerals Ltd

MML · AU

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value A$0.0128 · Fairly valued (−2%)
!Quality 30/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −86.0 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/6)
!Narrow moat 5/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.1850 A$0.0100 Fair Value A$0.0128 May 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

53‑month range A$0.0100 – A$0.1850 · fair‑value band A$0.0121 – A$0.0137 · the A$0.0130 price screens above the A$0.0128 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.

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Company profile

McLaren Minerals Limited engages in the mineral exploration and evaluation activities in Australia. It primarily explores silica sand and titanium deposits. The company's flagship project is the McLaren Minerals Titanium project located on the western side of the Eucla Basin, Western Australia.

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McLaren Minerals Limited engages in the mineral exploration and evaluation activities in Australia. It primarily explores silica sand and titanium deposits. The company's flagship project is the McLaren Minerals Titanium project located on the western side of the Eucla Basin, Western Australia. The company was formerly known as Allup Silica Limited and changed its name to McLaren Minerals Limited in December 2024. McLaren Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Mclaren Minerals Ltd (MML) currently trades at A$0.0130, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0128, implying the stock looks roughly 1.6% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0121 (bear) to A$0.0137 (bull), the price of A$0.0130 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Mclaren Minerals Ltd reported revenue of A$8.0K in FY2025 versus A$179M in FY2021, a compound −91.8%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$5.6M (≈ $3.9M) · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −43.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −29.5% · Operating margin −37,826% · Revenue (TTM) A$8.0K · Revenue growth (YoY) −86.4% · Free cash flow −A$3.2M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −2%, MML screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0121 Fair Value A$0.0128 Bull A$0.0137
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) n/a n/a A$0.0100 48
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) n/a n/a A$0.0100 48

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−86.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −61.9% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−27.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
19.2% (2020) → −29,206.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 456 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/5 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Below median
Fair Value upside −2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −25% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −86% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.34× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)31 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 29

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 62.70 SAR 68.97 SAR +10%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.66 ¥20.07 +14%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥60.26 ¥31.23 −48%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹595.45 ₹655.00 +10%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥36.77 ¥40.45 +10%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥49.34 ¥24.75 −50%
PLS Group PLS A$4.18 A$6.65 +59%
Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co 601958 ¥20.99 ¥12.24 −42%
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥36.66 ¥54.86 +50%

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Mclaren Minerals Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0128 −2%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mclaren Minerals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MML

Frequently asked questions

Is Mclaren Minerals Ltd (MML) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0128 versus a price of A$0.0130, about −2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MML?
Our model-based fair value for Mclaren Minerals Ltd is A$0.0128 (as of Aug 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0130.
What is the quality score of MML?
Mclaren Minerals Ltd has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mclaren Minerals Ltd (MML)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0128 (as of Aug 25, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0121, optimistic scenario A$0.0137. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mclaren Minerals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0128, about −2% upside versus a price of A$0.0130 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$0.0121, optimistic scenario A$0.0137. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mclaren Minerals Ltd (MML)?
Mclaren Minerals Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$8.0K (latest available figure, as of Aug 25, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Mclaren Minerals Ltd (MML)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mclaren Minerals Ltd it is A$0.0128 per share (as of Aug 25, 2026), against a price of A$0.0130. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mclaren Minerals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 25, 2026, MML trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0130, fair value A$0.0128, a gap of about −2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MML?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0130); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0128). For Mclaren Minerals Ltd the two are A$0.0002 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mclaren Minerals Ltd worth?
The market values Mclaren Minerals Ltd at about A$5.6M (market capitalisation, as of Aug 25, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0130; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0128 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MML?
Our models span a range for Mclaren Minerals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0121, base A$0.0128, optimistic A$0.0137 per share (as of Aug 25, 2026, price A$0.0130). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mclaren Minerals Ltd (MML)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mclaren Minerals Ltd (as of Aug 25, 2026): return on equity −43.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MML from its 52-week high?
Mclaren Minerals Ltd trades at A$0.0130, about 64% below its 52-week high of A$0.0360 and 30% above the low of A$0.0100 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0128 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mclaren Minerals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mclaren Minerals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 25, 2026: price A$0.0130, calculated fair value A$0.0128 (−2%), Quality Score 30/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MML calculated?
We run Mclaren Minerals Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0128, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Mclaren Minerals Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mclaren Minerals Ltd (MML)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was A$0.0130. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0128, about −2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mclaren Minerals Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0121 to A$0.0137), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Mclaren Minerals Ltd (MML) come from?
Earnings per share at Mclaren Minerals Ltd grew −8.2 % a year from 2010 to 2021. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.4 %, EBIT margin −12.8 %, tax rate −1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Mclaren Minerals Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Mclaren Minerals Ltd (MML)?
The market capitalisation of Mclaren Minerals Ltd is A$5.6M (≈ $3.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Mclaren Minerals Ltd (MML)?
Earnings per share at Mclaren Minerals Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Mclaren Minerals Ltd (MML)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mclaren Minerals Ltd is −43.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mclaren Minerals Ltd (MML)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mclaren Minerals Ltd is −29.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mclaren Minerals Ltd (MML)?
The operating margin of Mclaren Minerals Ltd is −37,826% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mclaren Minerals Ltd (MML)?
Revenue at Mclaren Minerals Ltd is growing −86.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +82.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Mclaren Minerals Ltd (MML) generate?
The free cash flow of Mclaren Minerals Ltd is −A$3.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Mclaren Minerals Ltd (MML) hold?
Mclaren Minerals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$305K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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