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There (MMM) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · DE · Market cap €90.4B · ISIN US88579Y1010

What is There really worth?

T There MMM · HA
Price€145.05
Fair Value€76.68
Upside−47.1%
Quality62/100

A solid business, but trading 89% above our fair value of €76.68.

As of Sep 5, 2026, the fair value of There is €76.68 per share against a price of €145.05, so the fair value sits 47% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Wide moat 67/100

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (5/15)
!The models disagree: range €43.63 to €138.34
!Weak on future: 7 out of 100
Evidence: High Range €43.63 – €138.34

Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Sep 5, 2026, revised from €89.17 to €76.68 (−14.0%) since Aug 13, 2026.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€138.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (€43.63 to €138.34). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€158.40 €74.42 Fair Value €76.68 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €74.42 – €158.40 · fair‑value band €43.63 – €138.34 · the €145.05 price screens above the €76.68 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

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Analysis

There (MMM) currently trades at €145.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €76.68, implying the stock looks roughly 89.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of €75.90 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the €145.05 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at €21.94, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Net debt stands at €7.4B. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €43.63 (bear case) to €138.34 (bull case); at €145.05, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 35% fair-value upside, at −47%, MMM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF best evidence €13.64 €21.94 €36.14 77
Owner Earnings €47.76 €70.10 €111.48 75
Rev-Margin DCF €27.68 €49.57 €75.94 71
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings €47.76 €70.10 €111.48 75
5Y P/E Exit €42.47 €74.65 €112.96 69
10Y P/E Exit €30.57 €51.51 €71.86 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €35.47 €43.36 €48.78 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple €82.16 €109.55 €136.94 63
P/B Multiple €25.47 €33.96 €42.45 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €3.77 €5.06 €7.55 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF best evidence €13.64 €21.94 €36.14 77
Rev-Margin DCF €27.68 €49.57 €75.94 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income €43.18 €75.90 €1,882 64

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (€75.90) versus Asset-Based (€5.06). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

Net margin 13.0% FY2025
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7% avg 5y
Free cash flow €1.4B FY2025
Net debt €7.4B FY2025 · ≈ 5.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 62
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

There is no Profile data available for MMM.HA.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

There reported revenue of $24.9B in FY2025 versus $35.4B in FY2021, a compound −8.3%/yr. Reported net income was $3.3B in FY2025, compounding −13.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 38/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€24.9B
Latest YoY
+1.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−8.3% · in EUR
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−8.3%
Dividend yield0.0%
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21.0% (2020) → 19.2% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop220% (2023) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in EUR
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 4.0%/yr over ~5Y (margins intact) Structural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Revenue −8.3%/yr
FY21 $35.4B
FY22 $26.2B
FY23 $24.6B
FY24 $24.6B
FY25 $24.9B
Net income −13.9%/yr
FY21 $5.9B
FY22 $5.8B
FY23 −$7.0B
FY24 $4.2B
FY25 $3.3B

MMM screens 89% overvalued. Compare with ITOCHU Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "There Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MMM.HA

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 25
FUTURE7 · sector 16
PAST100 · sector 17
HEALTH0 · sector 89
DIVIDEND35 · sector 43

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ITOCHU Corporation ITOCHU19 7.20 THB 14.40 THB +100%
Honeywell International Inc HON $217.43 $218.95 +1%
3M Company MMMM C$28.68 C$12.11 −58%
CITIC Limited 0267 HK$13.02 HK$26.04 +100%
Poste Italiane S.p.A PST €26.90 €7.65 −72%
Swire Pacific Limited 0019 HK$106.30 HK$36.88 −65%
CK Hutchison Holdings 0001 HK$69.85 HK$100.46 +44%
SK Inc 034730 553,000 KRW 615,077 KRW +11%
PT Astra International Tbk, ASII 4,800 IDR 9,600 IDR +100%
Jardine Matheson Holdings J36 $58.42 $79.11 +35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is There (MMM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €76.68 versus a price of €145.05, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MMM?
Our model-based fair value for There is €76.68 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €145.05.
What is the quality score of MMM?
There has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for There (MMM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €76.68 (as of Sep 5, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario €43.63, optimistic scenario €138.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the There stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €76.68, about −47% upside versus a price of €145.05 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €43.63, optimistic scenario €138.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the net profit margin of MMM?
The net profit margin of There is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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