Media Nusantara Citra Tbk PT (MNCN) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · ID · Market cap 2.7T IDR (≈ $267M) · ISIN ID1000106206
What is Media Nusantara Citra Tbk PT really worth?
A solid business, trading 85% below our fair value of 1,312 IDR.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Share price −4.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (1,187 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 200.00 IDR – 1,057 IDR · fair‑value band 1,187 IDR – 1,682 IDR · the 200.00 IDR price screens below the 1,312 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Analysis
Media Nusantara Citra Tbk PT (MNCN) currently trades at 200.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,312 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 84.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 1,698 IDR per share, and 22 of the 22 models we run sit above the 200.00 IDR price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 385.06 IDR, and 0 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Media Nusantara Citra Tbk PT generated revenue of 7.2T IDR at a net margin of 17.5%. Revenue declined 18.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.9%. Net debt stands at 360B IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1,187 IDR (bear case) to 1,682 IDR (bull case); at 200.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at 556%, MNCN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 64.12 IDR per share, which is 10.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (1,698 IDR) versus Growth DCF (385.06 IDR). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
PT. Media Nusantara Citra Tbk operates as an integrated media company that produces and distributes various content on television and other platforms in Indonesia. The company operates through Television, Radio, Print and Online Media, Content, and Advertising Agency segments.
Full company description
PT. Media Nusantara Citra Tbk operates as an integrated media company that produces and distributes various content on television and other platforms in Indonesia. The company operates through Television, Radio, Print and Online Media, Content, and Advertising Agency segments. It owns and operates free-to-air televisions (TV), such as RCTI TV station that offers a range of programs, including drama series, box office movies, sports events, talent search, reality and music shows, anniversary and awards programs, and various infotainments; MNCTV, which offers family-based drama, animation, sports programs, and variety shows; GTV that focuses on animation, variety shows, reality shows, game shows, and talent search programs; and iNews, which focuses on sports and other factual programs. The company also offers talent management services for singers, presenters, actors, actresses, comedians, chefs, magicians, and social media influencers; content library for platforms, such as Free to Air, Pay TV, VOD, and OTT; and services related to creating, distributing, managing, and monetization of content, as well as produces drama titles and animation series. In addition, the company operates RCTI +, an entertainment application; Vision+, an entertainment application with video on demand content; StarHits, a digital creator network; Okezone.com, an online news and entertainment portal; SINDOnews, a news portal; iNews.id, a networked news portal; IDXChannel.com, an economic news portal; Celebrities.id, a portal around celebrities and lifestyle; sportstars.id; and ROOV for radio streaming. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia. PT. Media Nusantara Citra Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Global Mediacom Tbk.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Media Nusantara Citra Tbk PT reported revenue of 7.7T IDR in FY2025 versus 9.6T IDR in FY2021, a compound −5.6%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3T IDR in FY2025, compounding −14.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +1.8 % · buybacks/dilution +0.6 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Advertising Agencies · 206 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| AppLovin Corporation APP | $317.76 | $252.45 | −21% |
| Publicis Groupe S.A PUB | €101.65 | €146.36 | +44% |
| Omnicom Group OMC | $87.89 | $99.84 | +14% |
| Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 | ¥4.97 | ¥5.71 | +15% |
| The Trade Desk, Inc TTD | $13.57 | $29.07 | +114% |
| BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group 300058 | ¥13.37 | ¥1.44 | −89% |
| JCDecaux SE DEC | €24.00 | €20.99 | −13% |
| WPP plc WPP | $26.87 | $19.05 | −29% |
| Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 | ¥37.40 | ¥5.62 | −85% |
| Magnite, Inc MGNI | $24.53 | $12.18 | −50% |
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