Money Forward, Inc (MNFYY) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $1.3B
Money Forward, Inc
MNFYY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.10). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (19 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
19‑month range $12.00 – $12.00 · fair‑value band $1.86 – $3.10 · the $12.00 price screens above the $2.48 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Money Forward, Inc (MNFYY) currently trades at $12.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.48, implying the stock looks roughly 79.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Money Forward, Inc generated revenue of $53.3B at a net margin of 8.5%. Revenue grew 25.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.86 (bear case) to $3.10 (bull case); at $12.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -79%, MNFYY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($4.19) versus Multiples ($1.51). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Money Forward, Inc. provides financial solutions for individuals, financial institutions, and corporations primarily in Japan.
Full company description
Money Forward, Inc. provides financial solutions for individuals, financial institutions, and corporations primarily in Japan. The company offers personal financial management services under the Money Forward ME, MONEY PLUS, Money Forward Personal Financial Consulting, and Money Forward Fixed Cost Review names; Money Forward Cloud, a software-as-a-service (SaaS) application for promoting back office operations; and accounting and tax solutions under the Money Forward Cloud Accounting, Money Forward Cloud Accounting Plus, Money Forward Cloud Tax Return, Money Forward Cloud Invoice Issuing, Money Forward Cloud Invoice Issuing Plus, Money Forward Cloud Receivables Management, Money Forward Cloud Expense, Money Forward Cloud Accounts Payable, Money Forward Cloud Invoice System, Money Forward Cloud Fixed Assets, Money Forward Cloud Project Cost, Money Forward Cloud Consolidated Association, and Money Forward Cloud Box names. It also provides human resource solutions under the Money Forward Cloud HR Database, MoneyForward Cloud Attendance, Money Forward Cloud Payroll, Money Forward Cloud Tax Adjustment, MoneyForward Cloud Social Insurance, and Money Forward Cloud My Number names; and SaaS marketing platform solutions under the BOXIL SaaS, BOXIL EXPO, BALES, BALES CLOUD, BOXIL, BizHint, and ADXL names; and financial services under the Money Forward Kessai, Money Forward Transaction Finance, Money Forward Invoice Card Pay, Money Forward Early Payment, SHIKIN+, SEIKYU+, Biz Forward Invoice Card Pay, and HIRAC FUND names. In addition, the company offers Money Forward Fintech Platform for collecting the asset data and transaction data, storing the data, and analyzing the data for customer insights; consulting services; and other solutions. The company was formerly known as Moneybook Co. and changed its name to Money Forward, Inc. in December 2012. Money Forward, Inc. was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Money Forward, Inc reported revenue of $50.3B in FY2025 versus $15.6B in FY2021, a compound +34.0%/yr. Reported net income was $1.6B in FY2025.
MNFYY screens 79% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
Compare Money Forward, Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Technology stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Money Forward, Inc (MNFYY) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of MNFYY?
What is the quality score of MNFYY?
What is the revenue of Money Forward, Inc (MNFYY)?
What is the net profit margin of MNFYY?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Money Forward, Inc and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.