Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited (MOAEF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited $0.06, price $0.05, upside +15.6%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0500 – $0.1700 · fair‑value band $0.0443 – $0.0841 · the $0.0500 price screens below the $0.0578 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the coal mining, exploration, processing, and other resources related operations in the People's Republic of China and Mongolia. It sells coking and thermal coal. The company's principal project is the Khushuut coking coal project in Western Mongolia.
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Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the coal mining, exploration, processing, and other resources related operations in the People's Republic of China and Mongolia. It sells coking and thermal coal. The company's principal project is the Khushuut coking coal project in Western Mongolia. It holds approximately 12,807 hectares of exploration and mining concession areas located in Khushuut, Gobi Altay, and Olon Bulag, Western Mongolia. It also offers management, secretarial and nominee, and coal transportation services, as well as mining and exploration advisory services. In addition, the company explores and mines minerals; trades in coal; and operates coal washing plants. Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited (MOAEF) currently trades at $0.0500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0578, implying the stock looks roughly 13.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.0578 per share, and 5 of the 12 models we run sit above the $0.0500 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.0287, and 7 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.0443 (bear) to $0.0841 (bull), the price of $0.0500 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited reported revenue of HK$2.9B in FY2025 versus HK$858M in FY2021, a compound +35.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.4B in FY2025.
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at 16%, MOAEF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0443Fair Value $0.0578Bull $0.0841
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.48/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +72.5% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
27.1% (2019) → 27.2% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Coking Coal · 27 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Above median
Fair Value upside+15.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets−17.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−82.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−5.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−48.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/FCF0.0× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)54· sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 21
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MOAEF
Frequently asked questions
Is Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited (MOAEF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0578 versus a price of $0.0500, about +16% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MOAEF?
Our model-based fair value for Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited is $0.0578 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0500.
What is the quality score of MOAEF?
Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited (MOAEF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0578 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0443, optimistic scenario $0.0841. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0578, about +16% upside versus a price of $0.0500 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.0443, optimistic scenario $0.0841. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited (MOAEF)?
Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited (MOAEF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited it is $0.0578 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $0.0500. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, MOAEF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0500, fair value $0.0578, a gap of about +16% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MOAEF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0578). For Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited the two are $0.0078 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited worth?
The market values Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited at about $9.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $0.0500; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0578 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MOAEF?
Our models span a range for Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited: cautious scenario $0.0443, base $0.0578, optimistic $0.0841 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $0.0500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited (MOAEF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MOAEF from its 52-week high?
Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited trades at $0.0500, about 55% below its 52-week high of $0.1100 and at the low of $0.0500 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0578 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Warrior Met Coal, Inc, PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk,, Shanxi Meijin Energy Co, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $0.0500, calculated fair value $0.0578 (+16%), Quality Score 41/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MOAEF calculated?
We run Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0578, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited currently trades 16 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited (MOAEF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $0.0500. Our model-based fair value is $0.0578, about +16% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited right now?
A fairly wide model range ($0.0443 to $0.0841) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited (MOAEF)?
The market capitalisation of Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited is $9.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited (MOAEF)?
Earnings per share at Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited are $−1.14. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited (MOAEF)?
The net margin of Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited is −48.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited (MOAEF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited is 17.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited (MOAEF)?
The operating margin of Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited is −5.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited (MOAEF)?
Revenue at Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited is growing −48.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +22.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited (MOAEF)?
Earnings per share at Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited are growing +27.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited (MOAEF) generate?
The free cash flow of Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited is HK$200M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited (MOAEF) carry?
The net debt of Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited is HK$5.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 26.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 27, 2026