Mongolia Energy Corporation (MOAEY) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $12.8M
Mongolia Energy Corporation
MOAEY · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $0.3573 to $0.3585 (+0.3%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price +5.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 19% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.2086 to $0.4470) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.3090 – $0.7970 · fair‑value band $0.2086 – $0.4470 · the $0.4440 price screens above the $0.3585 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Mongolia Energy Corporation (MOAEY) currently trades at $0.4440, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3585, implying the stock looks roughly 19.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Mongolia Energy Corporation generated revenue of $2.0B at a net margin of -82.4%. Revenue declined 48.8% year over year. Net debt stands at $5.3B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 0.1. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.2086 (bear case) to $0.4470 (bull case); at $0.4440, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at -19%, MOAEY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($0.3908) versus Earnings-Based ($0.1831). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 87
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the coal mining, exploration, processing, and other resources related operations in the People's Republic of China and Mongolia. It sells coking and thermal coal. The company's principal project is the Khushuut coking coal project in Western Mongolia.
Full company description
Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the coal mining, exploration, processing, and other resources related operations in the People's Republic of China and Mongolia. It sells coking and thermal coal. The company's principal project is the Khushuut coking coal project in Western Mongolia. It holds approximately 12,807 hectares of exploration and mining concession areas located in Khushuut, Gobi Altay, and Olon Bulag, Western Mongolia. It also offers management, secretarial and nominee, and coal transportation services, as well as mining and exploration advisory services. In addition, the company explores and mines minerals; trades in coal; and operates coal washing plants. Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Mongolia Energy Corporation reported revenue of $2.9B in FY2025 versus $858M in FY2021, a compound +35.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.4B in FY2025.
MOAEY screens 19% overvalued. Compare with PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, →
Peer Group
Coking Coal · 28 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR | 1,615 IDR | 1,251 IDR | -23% |
| Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC | $96.72 | $18.35 | -81% |
| Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 | ¥3.62 | ¥1.24 | -66% |
| Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR | $159.52 | $45.15 | -72% |
| Shougang Fushan Resources Group 0639 | HK$2.68 | HK$2.34 | -13% |
| Shanxi Coking Co 600740 | ¥3.54 | ¥1.75 | -51% |
| Kailuan Energy Chemical Co 600997 | ¥5.50 | ¥1.72 | -69% |
| Baotailong New Materials Co 601011 | ¥2.74 | ¥1.32 | -52% |
| SunCoke Energy, Inc SXC | $9.26 | $3.67 | -60% |
| Ramaco Resources, Inc METC | $10.91 | $1.80 | -84% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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