MOL fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 29, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of MOL stock CZK 428, price CZK 323, upside +32.4%, quality 58 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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MOL
MOL · PRThe stock costs 24% less than our calculation considers fair.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 49.52 CZK – 355.40 CZK · fair‑value band 320.68 CZK – 534.47 CZK · the 323.00 CZK price screens below the 427.58 CZK fair value. As of Oct 31, 2026.
Company profile
MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated oil and gas company in Hungary and internationally.
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The company offers MOL EVO fuel products; operates convenience store under the Fresh Corner brand; and provides e-charging solutions.
It also provides lubricants and autochemicals; gasoline, diesel, heating oil, and bunker diesel; JET A-1 aviation fuel; liquefied petroleum gas, including butanes, propane-butane mix, autogas, propane; petrochemicals; black products, such as bitumen, HFO, petrolcoke, and liquid sulphur, as well as other crude processing/petchem residues, including fcc residue, c9+, and pyrooil; and base oil, waxes, and finished lubricants.
In addition, the company is involved in the provision of retail services, which operates service stations under the MOL, Slovnaft, INA, Tifon, and Energopetrol brands; mobility solutions comprising e-mobility, car sharing, bike sharing, fleet management services; oilfield chemicals and technologies business; and oilfield services, such as drilling, workover, pressure pumping, cementing and stimulation, coiled tubing and nitrogen, tubular handling, well test, slickline, wireline mud logging, and seismic data processing service lines.
Further, it engages in the provision of digital factory services, including data science, master data management, loyalty, customer relationship management, campaign management, API integration, omnichannel and payment; and natural gas transmission business.
Additionally, the company produces, supplies, and treats water; fire and ambulance services; investment management; engineering activity and consultancy; hydrocarbon exploration; trading of oil products; financial services; exploration financing; private security; accounting; bookkeeping and auditing; tax consultancy; and computer facilities management activities.
The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Budapest, Hungary.
Stock analysis
MOL (MOL) currently trades at 323.00 CZK, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 427.58 CZK, implying the stock looks roughly 24.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 525.06 CZK per share, and 17 of the 25 models we run sit above the 323.00 CZK price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 213.72 CZK, and 8 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 320.68 CZK (bear) to 534.47 CZK (bull), the price of 323.00 CZK sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
MOL reported revenue of 8.7T HUF in FY2025 versus 5.8T HUF in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was 298B HUF in FY2025, compounding −13.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 255B CZK (≈ $11.7B) Large · P/E ratio 9.7 · P/S ratio 0.33 · EPS (TTM) 33.23 CZK · Dividend yield 5.5% · Net margin 3.4% · Return on equity 9.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 552% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −53% fair-value upside, at 32%, MOL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 25 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare MOL with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 117 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Energy sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- EBIT margin by industry
- P/S ratio by industry
- Undervalued stocks: Energy
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunoco LP, SUN | $72.94 | $53.89 | −26% | vs MOL |
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,196 | ₹865.31 | −28% | vs MOL |
| Türkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S., TUPRS | 355.00 TRY | 244.26 TRY | −31% | vs MOL |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 129,800 KRW | 79,035 KRW | −39% | vs MOL |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $111.96 | $52.92 | −53% | vs MOL |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $387.34 | $131.30 | −66% | vs MOL |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $273.76 | $86.38 | −68% | vs MOL |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $432.51 | $105.46 | −76% | vs MOL |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €28.37 | €5.85 | −79% | vs MOL |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 106.00 TWD | 20.61 TWD | −81% | vs MOL |
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