MOL PLC (MOL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of MOL PLC stock PLN 77.18, price PLN 59.85, upside +29.0%, quality 57 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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MOL PLC
MOL · WARThe stock costs 22% less than our calculation considers fair.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 23.13 PLN – 63.60 PLN · fair‑value band 57.88 PLN – 96.47 PLN · the 59.85 PLN price screens below the 77.18 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Company profile
MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated oil and gas company in Hungary and internationally.
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The company offers MOL EVO fuel products; operates convenience store under the Fresh Corner brand; and provides e-charging solutions.
It also provides lubricants and autochemicals; gasoline, diesel, heating oil, and bunker diesel; JET A-1 aviation fuel; liquefied petroleum gas, including butanes, propane-butane mix, autogas, propane; petrochemicals; black products, such as bitumen, HFO, petrolcoke, and liquid sulphur, as well as other crude processing/petchem residues, including fcc residue, c9+, and pyrooil; and base oil, waxes, and finished lubricants.
In addition, the company is involved in the provision of retail services, which operates service stations under the MOL, Slovnaft, INA, Tifon, and Energopetrol brands; mobility solutions comprising e-mobility, car sharing, bike sharing, fleet management services; oilfield chemicals and technologies business; and oilfield services, such as drilling, workover, pressure pumping, cementing and stimulation, coiled tubing and nitrogen, tubular handling, well test, slickline, wireline mud logging, and seismic data processing service lines.
Further, it engages in the provision of digital factory services, including data science, master data management, loyalty, customer relationship management, campaign management, API integration, omnichannel and payment; and natural gas transmission business.
Additionally, the company produces, supplies, and treats water; fire and ambulance services; investment management; engineering activity and consultancy; hydrocarbon exploration; trading of oil products; financial services; exploration financing; private security; accounting; bookkeeping and auditing; tax consultancy; and computer facilities management activities.
The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Budapest, Hungary.
Stock analysis
MOL PLC (MOL) currently trades at 59.85 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 77.18 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 22.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 96.67 PLN per share, and 17 of the 26 models we run sit above the 59.85 PLN price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 25.56 PLN, and 9 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 57.88 PLN (bear) to 96.47 PLN (bull), the price of 59.85 PLN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
MOL PLC reported revenue of 8.7T HUF in FY2025 versus 6.0T HUF in FY2021, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was 298B HUF in FY2025, compounding −13.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 46.2B PLN (≈ $11.7B) Large · P/E ratio 10.3 · P/S ratio 0.35 · EPS (TTM) 5.79 PLN · Dividend yield 5.7% · Net margin 3.4% · Return on equity 9.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −53% fair-value upside, at 29%, MOL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare MOL PLC with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 116 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Energy sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Quality Score by industry
- Return on equity by industry
- Piotroski F-Score screener with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: Energy
- Valuation of the Poland market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹284.90 | ₹833.95 | +193% | vs MOL |
| Sunoco LP, SUN | $70.84 | $53.89 | −24% | vs MOL |
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,165 | ₹865.31 | −26% | vs MOL |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 129,800 KRW | 79,035 KRW | −39% | vs MOL |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $111.96 | $52.92 | −53% | vs MOL |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $399.66 | $131.30 | −67% | vs MOL |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $282.83 | $86.38 | −69% | vs MOL |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $432.51 | $105.46 | −76% | vs MOL |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 98.30 TWD | 20.61 TWD | −79% | vs MOL |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €28.37 | €5.85 | −79% | vs MOL |
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