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Motorcar Parts of America, Inc (MPAA) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $291M

MP Motorcar Parts of America, Inc logo Motorcar Parts of America, Inc MPAA · US
Price$13.63
Fair Value$14.41
Upside+5.7%
Quality51/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 1.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 31/100
Evidence: High Range $10.65 – $18.01 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $21.15 to $14.41 (−31.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.0% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $10.65 (bear) to $18.01 (bull), base $14.41. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 51/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$25.45 $4.40 Fair Value $14.41 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.40 – $25.45 · fair‑value band $10.65 – $18.01 · the $13.63 price screens below the $14.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Motorcar Parts of America, Inc (MPAA) currently trades at $13.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.41, implying the stock looks roughly 5.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Motorcar Parts of America, Inc generated revenue of $790M at a net margin of 1.6%. Revenue grew 9.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.7%. Net debt stands at $185M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.65 (bear case) to $18.01 (bull case); at $13.63, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 6%, MPAA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $5.82 $8.92 $12.84 80
Residual Income $9.48 $8.96 $7.14 76
Rev-Margin DCF $16.84 $31.25 $48.69 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $5.88 $9.33 $13.94 38
Owner Earnings $7.28 $11.40 $16.92 31
5Y Revenue Exit $16.84 $31.72 $51.63 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $18.07 $34.14 $53.75 41
5Y P/E Exit $7.30 $13.07 $19.34 38
10Y Revenue Exit $11.21 $22.33 $38.71 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $12.55 $23.80 $40.15 37
10Y P/E Exit $6.56 $10.99 $16.75 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.45 $17.10 $23.17 54
Lynch FV $4.17 $5.96 $7.75 50
PEG = 1.0 $4.17 $5.96 $7.75 46
EPV $17.22 $19.44 $21.24 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0200 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0200 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $10.81 $14.41 $18.01 63
P/S Multiple $8.35 $11.13 $13.92 58
P/B Multiple $8.35 $11.13 $13.92 55
EV/EBIT $39.31 $52.84 $66.38 53
EV/EBITDA $30.43 $41.01 $51.58 54
EV/Revenue $26.08 $37.81 $49.54 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.03 $9.42 $14.06 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $5.82 $8.92 $12.84 80
Rev-Margin DCF $16.84 $31.25 $48.69 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.48 $8.96 $7.14 76
ROIC Compounder $17.98 $21.92 $26.49 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $7.77 $11.10 $14.43 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($14.41) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $790M
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.9%
Net margin 1.6%
Return on equity 4.7%
Free cash flow $15.5M FY2026
P/E ratio 24.8
More key figures
Operating margin 11.8%
EPS (TTM) $0.6200
EPS growth (YoY) -18.2%
Net debt $185M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 23
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 59
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. manufactures, remanufactures, and distributes heavy-duty truck, industrial, marine, and agricultural application replacement parts in the United States. It operates through three segments: Hard Parts, Test Solutions and Diagnostic Equipment, and Heavy Duty.

Full company description

Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. manufactures, remanufactures, and distributes heavy-duty truck, industrial, marine, and agricultural application replacement parts in the United States. It operates through three segments: Hard Parts, Test Solutions and Diagnostic Equipment, and Heavy Duty. The company offers light duty rotating electrical products, including alternators and starters; wheel hub assemblies and bearings; brake-related products comprising brake calipers, brake boosters, brake rotors, brake pads, and brake master cylinders; and turbochargers. It also provides test solutions and diagnostic equipment that include applications for combustion engine vehicles, such as bench-top testers for alternators and starters; equipment for the pre- and post-production of electric vehicles; and software emulation of power systems applications for the electrification of various forms of transportation. In addition, the company offers heavy duty parts, including non-discretionary automotive aftermarket replacement hard parts for heavy-duty truck, industrial, marine, and agricultural applications. It sells its products to automotive retail chain stores and warehouse distributors in North America, as well as various automobile manufacturers for their aftermarket programs and warranty replacement programs. The company provides its products under the Private Label, Quality-Built, Pure Energy, D&V Electronics, Dixie Electric, and DelStar brands. Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Torrance, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Motorcar Parts of America, Inc reported revenue of $790M in FY2026 versus $650M in FY2022, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was $12.4M in FY2026, compounding +13.9%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 63/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$790M
Latest YoY
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.1%
Revenue +5.0%/yr
FY22 $650M
FY23 $683M
FY24 $718M
FY25 $757M
FY26 $790M
Net income +13.9%/yr
FY22 $7.4M
FY23 −$4.2M
FY24 −$49.2M
FY25 −$19.5M
FY26 $12.4M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Motorcar Parts of America, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MPAA

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 641 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside +6% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.15× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.09× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.37× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 18.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.61× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 41 · sector 16
FUTURE 50 · sector 24
PAST 19 · sector 26
HEALTH 93 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 30

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Motorcar Parts of America, Inc (MPAA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.41 versus a price of $13.63, about +6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MPAA?
Our model-based fair value for Motorcar Parts of America, Inc is $14.41 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $13.63.
What is the quality score of MPAA?
Motorcar Parts of America, Inc has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Motorcar Parts of America, Inc (MPAA)?
Motorcar Parts of America, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $790M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MPAA?
The net profit margin of Motorcar Parts of America, Inc is about 1.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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