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PT Megapower Makmur Tbk (MPOW) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · ID · Market cap 78.4B IDR

PM PT Megapower Makmur Tbk MPOW · JK
Price107.00 IDR
Fair Value135.42 IDR
Upside+26.6%
Quality50/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -47.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Medium Range 91.90 IDR – 178.93 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +17.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 27% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (91.90 IDR to 178.93 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

165.00 IDR 50.00 IDR Fair Value 135.42 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 50.00 IDR – 165.00 IDR · fair‑value band 91.90 IDR – 178.93 IDR · the 107.00 IDR price screens below the 135.42 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Megapower Makmur Tbk (MPOW) currently trades at 107.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 135.42 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 26.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Megapower Makmur Tbk generated revenue of 29.5B IDR at a net margin of -47.3%. Revenue declined 56.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.0%. Net debt stands at 31.6B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 91.90 IDR (bear case) to 178.93 IDR (bull case); at 107.00 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 27%, MPOW screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 111.06 IDR 151.01 IDR 219.34 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 82.78 IDR 118.04 IDR 161.77 IDR 74
EV/EBITDA 131.91 IDR 175.43 IDR 218.94 IDR 54
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 106.18 IDR 147.33 IDR 223.56 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 76.25 IDR 105.66 IDR 160.12 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 82.78 IDR 115.59 IDR 163.17 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 110.41 IDR 163.42 IDR 233.65 IDR 41
10Y Revenue Exit 89.24 IDR 114.53 IDR 141.20 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 107.92 IDR 144.11 IDR 182.58 IDR 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 131.91 IDR 175.43 IDR 218.94 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 74.19 IDR 105.40 IDR 136.61 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 63.67 IDR 85.32 IDR 127.35 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 111.06 IDR 151.01 IDR 219.34 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 82.78 IDR 118.04 IDR 161.77 IDR 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (118.04 IDR) versus Asset-Based (85.32 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 29.5B IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) -56.6%
Net margin -47.3%
Return on equity -13.0%
Free cash flow 8.8B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 14.6
More key figures
Operating margin -151%
EPS (TTM) 6.58 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) -65.5%
Net debt 31.6B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 88
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Megapower Makmur Tbk operates as an independent power producer company in Indonesia. The company generates electricity from hydro, diesel, and solar sources.

Full company description

PT Megapower Makmur Tbk operates as an independent power producer company in Indonesia. The company generates electricity from hydro, diesel, and solar sources. It also engages in investment holdings, civil engineering and building management, development and property management, toll road concessions, mining, building materials industry, and power plants, as well as in the operation, maintenance, and repair of the power plants; technical support; and management and training of the plant personnel. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Jakarta Utara, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Megapower Makmur Tbk reported revenue of 34.0B IDR in FY2025 versus 42.0B IDR in FY2021, a compound −5.1%/yr. Reported net income was −11.2B IDR in FY2025.

Growth Quality 29/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
34.0B IDR
Latest YoY
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.0%
Revenue −5.1%/yr
FY21 42.0B IDR
FY22 40.1B IDR
FY23 28.8B IDR
FY24 32.7B IDR
FY25 34.0B IDR
Net income
FY21 2.5B IDR
FY22 −10.9B IDR
FY23 −3.3B IDR
FY24 −3.4B IDR
FY25 −11.2B IDR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Megapower Makmur Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MPOW

Peer Group

Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 77 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Above median
Fair Value upside +27% · Top 25%
Return on assets -5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -47% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -151% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -57% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.6× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 69 · sector 23
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 32
HEALTH 99 · sector 70
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 52

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Constellation Energy Corporation CEG $257.57 $89.08 -65%
Vistra Corp VST $158.86 $47.59 -70%
Adani Power Limited ADANIPOWER ₹218.45 ₹75.57 -65%
CGN Power Co 003816 ¥3.88 ¥3.13 -19%
NRG Energy, Inc NRG $137.90 $56.02 -59%
Gulf Development Public Company GULF 67.50 THB 40.44 THB -40%
Adani Energy Solutions Limited ADANIENSOL ₹1,730 ₹342.02 -80%
Talen Energy Corporation TLN $372.37 $44.67 -88%
Datang International Power Generation Co 601991 ¥5.80 ¥4.95 -15%
Power Assets Holdings 0006 HK$58.45 HK$31.90 -45%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Megapower Makmur Tbk (MPOW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 135.42 IDR versus a price of 107.00 IDR, about +27% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MPOW?
Our model-based fair value for PT Megapower Makmur Tbk is 135.42 IDR (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 107.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of MPOW?
PT Megapower Makmur Tbk has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Megapower Makmur Tbk (MPOW)?
PT Megapower Makmur Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 29.5B IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MPOW?
The net profit margin of PT Megapower Makmur Tbk is about -47.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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