MRS Logística S.A. (MRSA3B) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · BR · Market cap R$13.5B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from R$66.45 to R$49.97 (−24.8%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price −5.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 33% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (R$29.95 to R$91.67). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$17.94 – R$48.75 · fair‑value band R$29.95 – R$91.67 · the R$37.66 price screens below the R$49.97 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
MRS Logística S.A. (MRSA3B) currently trades at R$37.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$49.97, implying the stock looks roughly 32.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, MRS Logística S.A. generated revenue of R$7.6B at a net margin of 17.8%. Revenue declined 0.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.4%. Net debt stands at R$7.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$29.95 (bear case) to R$91.67 (bull case); at R$37.66, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 33%, MRSA3B screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (R$74.88) versus Dividend Discount (R$14.69). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
MRS Logística S.A. is a logistics operator that manages a railway network in Brazil. The company manages a railway network of 1,643 km in the states of Minas Gerais, Rio de Janeiro, and São Paulo.
Full company description
MRS Logística S.A. is a logistics operator that manages a railway network in Brazil. The company manages a railway network of 1,643 km in the states of Minas Gerais, Rio de Janeiro, and São Paulo. It transports containers; cement; bauxite; agricultural commodities, such as corn, sugar, soybeans, and soybean meal; and steel products, including iron ore, coal, and coke. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
MRS Logística S.A. reported revenue of R$7.6B in FY2025 versus R$4.4B in FY2021, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was R$1.6B in FY2025, compounding +22.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +9.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Railroads · 115 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $293.73 | $141.29 | -52% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $50.08 | $12.62 | -75% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $92.69 | $34.23 | -63% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNR | C$176.01 | C$92.68 | -47% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $335.41 | $114.55 | -66% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $295.54 | $144.80 | -51% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥5.04 | ¥5.65 | +12% |
| MTR Corporation 0066 | HK$32.30 | HK$17.85 | -45% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.98 | ¥9.53 | +59% |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.72 | ¥6.22 | +32% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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