MSGYO Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · TR · Market cap 2.4B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated today
Share price +1.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 122% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (35/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (9.41 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- A fairly wide model range (9.41 TRY to 17.47 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.8381 TRY – 9.35 TRY · fair‑value band 9.41 TRY – 17.47 TRY · the 6.06 TRY price screens below the 13.44 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
MSGYO (MSGYO) currently trades at 6.06 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.44 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 121.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, MSGYO generated revenue of 1.1B TRY at a net margin of -4.5%. Revenue grew 23.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 121.2. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 9.41 TRY (bear case) to 17.47 TRY (bull case); at 6.06 TRY, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 122%, MSGYO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (13.44 TRY) versus Dividend Discount (0.5500 TRY). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Mistral Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. invests primarily in real estate-based capital market instruments, projects, and real estate-based rights. The company was formerly known as Mistral Yapi Gayrimenkul Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. and changed its name to Mistral Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. in March 2016.
Full company description
Mistral Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. invests primarily in real estate-based capital market instruments, projects, and real estate-based rights. The company was formerly known as Mistral Yapi Gayrimenkul Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. and changed its name to Mistral Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. in March 2016. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Izmir, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
MSGYO reported revenue of 1.1B TRY in FY2025 versus 40.0M TRY in FY2021, a compound +129.4%/yr. Reported net income was 62.6M TRY in FY2025, compounding −26.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
REIT - Diversified · 174 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goodman Group GMG | A$29.11 | A$7.37 | -75% |
| VICI Properties Inc VICI | $26.73 | $41.74 | +56% |
| W. P. Carey Inc WPC | $70.00 | $34.80 | -50% |
| Charter Hall Group CHC | A$21.90 | A$11.46 | -48% |
| Fibra Uno FUNO11 | 31.10 MXN | 63.56 MXN | +104% |
| COV COV | €52.55 | €62.39 | +19% |
| The GPT Group GPT | A$4.89 | A$3.49 | -29% |
| Mirvac Group MGR | A$1.70 | A$0.5700 | -66% |
| KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS | 8.85 MYR | 6.91 MYR | -22% |
| CRRUN CRRUN | C$17.65 | C$17.89 | +1% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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