Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd (MSLOF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd $57.32, price $45.92, upside +24.8%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.46 – $46.27 · fair‑value band $44.90 – $57.32 · the $45.92 price screens below the $57.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Sep 28, 2026.
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Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine transportation and vessel chartering services in Japan, North America, Europe, Singapore, rest of Asia, and internationally.
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Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine transportation and vessel chartering services in Japan, North America, Europe, Singapore, rest of Asia, and internationally. It operates through Dry Bulk Business; Energy Business; Container Ships; Car Carriers, Terminal and Logistics; Ferries and Coastal RoRo Ships, Cruise; Real Property; and Associated Businesses segments. The company engages in the dry bulk shipping of raw materials, such as iron ore, coal, wood chips, and biomass fuels, as well as intermediate goods and finished products, including fertilizers, grain, cement, salt, and steel products; ocean freight transportation; owning and operation of a fleet of 10,000 ships; oil tanker, liquified gas and liquefied natural gas carriers, and offshore businesses; and operation of offshore wind power energy and marine projects. It also provides product transport services, including container shipping through Ocean Network Express brand; car carrier services under the Auto Carrier Express brand; container terminal management; cargo handling; and logistics services comprising heavy cargo transportation, air and ocean freight forwarding, trucking, customs clearance, warehousing, and buyers' consolidation. In addition, the company engages in the real estate, ferry and coastal RoRo vessel, and cruise businesses; associated businesses, such as tugboat operation, maritime and global HR consulting services, travel, finance, trading, insurance, ICT systems, accounting, and oil stockpiling projects; sale of nautical charts, fuel, marine materials, machinery, and other products; and corporate venture capital activities. Further, it is involved in loading and unloading work; time chartering and leasing of vessels; maintenance and management of operational systems and system development; and shipping agent activities. Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Ltd. was founded in 1884 and is headquartered in Minato, Japan.
Stock analysis
Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd (MSLOF) currently trades at $45.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $57.32, implying the stock looks roughly 19.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $65.60 per share, and 6 of the 13 models we run sit above the $45.92 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $12.47, and 7 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $44.90 (bear) to $57.32 (bull), the price of $45.92 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd reported revenue of ¥1.8T in FY2026 versus ¥1.3T in FY2022, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥215B in FY2026, compounding −25.8%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $15.8B · P/E ratio 11.8 · P/S ratio 1.38 · EPS (TTM) $3.88 · Dividend yield 3.4% · Net margin 11.7% · Return on equity 7.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 67% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 60% fair-value upside, at 25%, MSLOF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $44.90Fair Value $57.32Bull $57.32
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.7% a year
Revenue growth 30 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+31.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+28.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.20.0% vs 26.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → 7%
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (27 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Very negative
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 226 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−35.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7.6% · Below median
Return on assets1.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)11.7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)5.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.50× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
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Is Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd (MSLOF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $57.32 versus a price of $45.92, about +25% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MSLOF?
Our model-based fair value for Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd is $57.32 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $45.92.
What is the quality score of MSLOF?
Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd (MSLOF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $57.32 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $44.90, optimistic scenario $57.32. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $57.32, about +25% upside versus a price of $45.92 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $44.90, optimistic scenario $57.32. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd (MSLOF)?
Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥1.8T (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
Does Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd pay a dividend?
Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.44% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd (MSLOF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd it is $57.32 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of $45.92. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, MSLOF trades below its calculated fair value: price $45.92, fair value $57.32, a gap of about +25% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MSLOF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($45.92); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($57.32). For Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd the two are $11.40 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd worth?
The market values Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd at about $15.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is $45.92; our models calculate a fair value of $57.32 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MSLOF?
Our models span a range for Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd: cautious scenario $44.90, base $57.32, optimistic $57.32 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price $45.92). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MSLOF?
Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.8 (as of Sep 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $57.32 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 12.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd (MSLOF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity 7.6%, debt of 0.50 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MSLOF from its 52-week high?
Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd trades at $45.92, about 1% below its 52-week high of $46.27 and 67% above the low of $27.42 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $57.32 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price $45.92, calculated fair value $57.32 (+25%), Quality Score 39/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MSLOF calculated?
We run Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $57.32, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd currently trades 20 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd (MSLOF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $45.92. Our model-based fair value is $57.32, about +25% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd right now?
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd (MSLOF) come from?
Earnings per share at Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd grew +33.8 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.5 %, EBIT margin +32.1 %, tax rate +3.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd (MSLOF)?
The market capitalisation of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd is $15.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd (MSLOF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd is 1.38 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd (MSLOF)?
Earnings per share at Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd are $3.88 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd (MSLOF)?
The dividend yield of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd is 3.4% (payout 40.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd (MSLOF)?
The net margin of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd is 11.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd (MSLOF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd is 7.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd (MSLOF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd is 2.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd (MSLOF)?
The operating margin of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd (MSLOF)?
Revenue at Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd is growing +5.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd (MSLOF)?
Earnings per share at Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd are growing −41.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd (MSLOF) generate?
The free cash flow of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd is −¥88.6B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd (MSLOF) carry?
The net debt of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd is ¥2.3T (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 28, 2026