MISUMI Group (MSSMY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $6.4B
MISUMI Group
MSSMY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price −7.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 11% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from $7.48 (bear) to $13.19 (bull), base $10.55. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 74/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.02 – $21.12 · fair‑value band $7.48 – $13.19 · the $11.81 price screens above the $10.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
MISUMI Group (MSSMY) currently trades at $11.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.55, implying the stock looks roughly 10.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, MISUMI Group generated revenue of $441B at a net margin of 9.2%. Revenue grew 20.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $105B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $7.48 (bear case) to $13.19 (bull case); at $11.81, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 98% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -11%, MSSMY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($11.12) versus Asset-Based ($3.00). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
MISUMI Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the factory automation, die components, and VONA businesses in Japan, China, rest of Asia, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Factory Automation (FA) Business, Die Components Business, and Variation & One-stop by New Alliance (VONA) Business.
Full company description
MISUMI Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the factory automation, die components, and VONA businesses in Japan, China, rest of Asia, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Factory Automation (FA) Business, Die Components Business, and Variation & One-stop by New Alliance (VONA) Business. The company offers standardized mechanical components, including shafts, timing pulleys, linear bushings, flat belt conveyors, set collars, locating pins, gears, and couplings; and locator devices and measurement equipment comprising automatic stage units, actuators, optical measurement devices, and optical experimental equipment. It also provides standardized metal press and plastic mold components, such as punches, button dies, ejector pins, and sprue bushings. In addition, the company distributes mechanical components, including sensors and switches, pipe fittings, and castors, as well as screws, bolts, and nuts; connectors, switches, cables, and transformers; end mills, hexagonal wrenches, milling chips, and calipers; and carts, work gloves, and parts cleaners, as well as laboratory equipment and supplies. It sells its products under the MISUMI and third-party brands through online sales. MISUMI Group Inc. was incorporated in 1963 and is headquartered in Chiyoda, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
MISUMI Group reported revenue of $468B in FY2026 versus $366B in FY2022, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was $42.9B in FY2026, compounding +3.4%/yr from FY2022.
MSSMY screens 11% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- A Look At MISUMI Group (TSE:9962) Valuation After Recent Share Price Move
- MISUMI Americas Announces IMPRINT A One-Day Summit on the Future of Physical AI
- MISUMI Group Backs MISUMI Americas Expansion with $1B Global Investment in AI and Digital Manufacturing
- Assessing MISUMI Group (TSE:9962) Valuation After New Oishii Farm Agritech Agreement
Peer Group
Tools & Accessories · 120 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Techtronic Industries Company 0669 | HK$129.60 | HK$81.05 | -37% |
| Snap-on Incorporated SNA | $410.99 | $350.46 | -15% |
| RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC | $595.49 | $184.29 | -69% |
| Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO | $252.58 | $154.80 | -39% |
| Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK | $88.22 | $54.24 | -39% |
| AB SKF (publ) SKFB | kr 258.90 | kr 192.57 | -26% |
| The Timken Company TKR | $139.47 | $66.33 | -52% |
| The Toro Company TTC | $94.42 | $69.71 | -26% |
| SFS Group SFSN | CHF 140.00 | CHF 118.30 | -16% |
| Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 | ¥29.33 | ¥35.72 | +22% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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