Mostostal Zabrze S.A (MSZ) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · PL · Market cap 420M PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 18.64 PLN to 2.68 PLN (−85.6%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +1.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 59% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.35 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.23 PLN – 6.94 PLN · fair‑value band 2.01 PLN – 3.35 PLN · the 6.50 PLN price screens above the 2.68 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Mostostal Zabrze S.A (MSZ) currently trades at 6.50 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.68 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 58.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Mostostal Zabrze S.A generated revenue of 1.3B PLN at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue grew 32.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 124M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2.01 PLN (bear case) to 3.35 PLN (bull case); at 6.50 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -59%, MSZ screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (12.98 PLN) versus Dividend Discount (0.1700 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Mostostal Zabrze S.A. engages in the design, production, construction, and assembly activities. It constructs industrial facilities; and public facilities, such as hospitals, office buildings, residential buildings, swimming pools and commercial facilities; as well as engineering work including, roads, and sewage systems and treatment plants.
Full company description
Mostostal Zabrze S.A. engages in the design, production, construction, and assembly activities. It constructs industrial facilities; and public facilities, such as hospitals, office buildings, residential buildings, swimming pools and commercial facilities; as well as engineering work including, roads, and sewage systems and treatment plants. The company offers industrial and specialist construction works in various industries, including metallurgy, cement, building materials, automotive, mining, and cableways. It also provides installation of equipment and process plants, steel structures for bridges, and storage tanks for petroleum and chemicals, as well as oxygen plants and installations for production of hydrogen; power and environmental protection services; and steel structures, steel hall, secondary steel structure, ducts, siloses, drilling towers, and piping. In addition, the company offers cranes and turntables for mobile cranes, subcomponents for boom sections, bodies and locomotive frames, bogie frames, and machining and anticorrosive protection services. Further, it provides electrical services, which includes engineering, procurement, installation of distribution devices and apparatus for electrical power networks and systems; and industrial and general constructions, as well as for steel, coke, chemical, and petrochemical industries. Mostostal Zabrze S.A. was founded in 1945 and is based in Gliwice, Poland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Mostostal Zabrze S.A reported revenue of 1.2B PLN in FY2025 versus 770M PLN in FY2021, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was 38.1M PLN in FY2025, compounding +26.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +4.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
MSZ screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,815 | ₹1,994 | -48% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 346,000 KRW | 268,779 KRW | -22% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 99,000 KRW | 63,993 KRW | -35% |
| United Integrated Services Co 2404 | 1,250 TWD | 925.62 TWD | -26% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 42,550 KRW | 44,840 KRW | +5% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹232.67 | ₹61.46 | -74% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 16,240 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -60% |
| NBCC (India) Limited NBCC | ₹96.32 | ₹48.22 | -50% |
| Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO | ₹1,330 | ₹730.69 | -45% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 92,700 KRW | 20,172 KRW | -78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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